10527 Berry Branch Ln · Bryan, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.3/15.0
- Cash flow +13.6/30.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$241,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Some images shown may be from a previously built Stylecraft home of similar design. Actual options, colors, and selections may vary. Contact us for details! This two-story townhome offers a smart, efficient layout beginning with an open living room that welcomes you upon entry. To the left, a one-car garage connects to a small hallway that includes a convenient powder room. Beyond the living space is a galley-style kitchen featuring a walk-in pantry, with the staircase to the second floor located nearby. A back door sits just off the kitchen for easy outdoor access. Upstairs, you'll find three bedrooms, two full bathrooms, and a utility closet, all designed for everyday convenience.
Key facts
- Open living room
- Utility closet
- Walk in closet
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $242k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $13 ($159/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $213k (11.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $213k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.9% in Bryan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#99 in TX, #3,341 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, employment D+.
- Bryan ISD (urban): math 30% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #608 of 826 in TX (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Sam Houston El (math 57% / reading 57%, grade C+, #505 of 4,322 statewide, top 13%, 457 students, 38% FRL); Sam Rayburn (math 42% / reading 34%, grade F, #717 of 1,662 statewide, top 44%, 1,173 students, 74% FRL); Travis B Bryan H S (math 22% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,170 of 1,632 statewide, top 72%, 2,419 students, 67% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 1718 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,211 units permitted in Brazos County in 2024 (768 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brazos County population projected at +55% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 125 days — a 12% lower offer ($213k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 125 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.23%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $285,236
- List price
- $241,900
- Delta
- -15.19%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10604 Knox Landing Dr | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,415 (+5%) | 0mo | $268,420 | $190 | 73 |
| 10650 Knox Landing Dr | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,415 (+5%) | 4mo | $268,895 | $190 | 64 |
| 10700 Blocker Ct | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,446 (+7%) | 13mo | $279,900 | $194 | 59 |
| 10709 Blocker Ct | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,446 (+7%) | 12mo | $302,900 | $209 | 57 |
| 4533 Wisenbaker Way | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,446 (+7%) | 5mo | $289,900 | $200 | 55 |
| 4499 Wisenbaker Way | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,446 (+7%) | 11mo | $274,900 | $190 | 53 |
| 4525 Wisenbaker Way | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,446 (+7%) | 8mo | $274,900 | $190 | 53 |
| 10717 Blocker Ct | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 | 1,508 (+12%) | 10mo | $298,900 | $198 | 49 |
| 4410 Albritton Ave | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,508 (+12%) | 2mo | $292,900 | $194 | 48 |
| 4521 Wisenbaker Way | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,508 (+12%) | 6mo | $289,900 | $192 | 47 |
| 4527 Wisenbaker Way | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,508 (+12%) | 6mo | $289,900 | $192 | 46 |
| 4509 Wisenbaker Way | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,508 (+12%) | 16mo | $299,900 | $199 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.13% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-38,043
- Equity at exit
- $36,068
- IRR
- -7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.55×
- Total profit
- $-30,760
- Equity at exit
- $20,915
Cash invested: $67,732 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 47 active · 16 under contract
- Months of supply
- 28.2 mo (4%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $291,900 ($192/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 101 d
- This list price
- 9% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +10.5% above current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 77845
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 1718
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,133 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,269
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$302 /mo · $3,628/yr
- Insurance
- −$101
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$448
- Net cashflow
- $13
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $180 | -5% $97 | +0% $13 | +5% $-70 | +10% $-154 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-155 | -5% $-71 | +0% $13 | +5% $97 | +10% $182 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $135 | -0.5pp $75 | base $13 | +0.5pp $-49 | +1.0pp $-113 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $60,475
- Closing costs
- $7,257
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10618 Burgundy Berry Way College Station, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1509 | $2,200 | $1.46 | 6d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 10633 Burgundy Berry Way College Station, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1349 | $1,900 | $1.41 | 6d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 4760 Holm Oak Rd College Station, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1448 | $1,980 | $1.37 | 6d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 4777 Native Tree Ln Bryan, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1652 | $2,200 | $1.33 | 6d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 10652 Knox Landing Dr College Station, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1665 | $2,000 | $1.20 | 0d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1720 Summit Crossing Ln College Station, TX | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 983 | $2,205 | $2.24 | 0d | 24 | 1.15mi |
| 1710 Lonetree Dr College Station, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1599 | $1,900 | $1.19 | 6d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1762 Dakota Ln Unit 1328094P College Station, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1506 | $2,852 | $1.89 | 117d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1761 Dakota Ln College Station, TX | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1598 | $2,250 | $1.41 | 117d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 3819 Black Hawk Ln Unit 1328095P College Station, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1162 | $4,264 | $3.67 | 109d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 3806 Blackhawk Ln College Station, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1309 | $1,500 | $1.15 | 6d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info
- List price $237,900
Exterior
- Parking
- 1 garage space (1 total parking space)
- Home design
- Single-family property (spec new construction)
- Exterior features
- Property listed as active
Interior
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms and 1 half bathroom (2.5 total)
- Interior features
- Spec home — The 1340 planLiving area approximately 1346
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-09-24days on market $241,900 Active 125 DOM
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2026-09-24days on market $241,900 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-09-22days on market $241,900 Active 123 DOM
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2026-09-21days on market $241,900 Active 122 DOM
-
2026-09-20days on market $241,900 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-09-18days on market $241,900 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-09-17days on market $241,900 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-09-16days on market $241,900 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-09-15days on market $241,900 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-09-14days on market $241,900 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-09-13days on market $241,900 Active 114 DOM
-
2026-09-12days on market $241,900 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-09-11pricedays on market $241,900 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-09-05days on market $239,900 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-09-04days on market $239,900 Active 105 DOM
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2026-09-03days on market $239,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-08-30days on market $239,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-08-29days on market $239,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-08-28days on market $239,900 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-08-27days on market $239,900 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-08-26days on market $239,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-08-25days on market $239,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-08-24days on market $239,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-08-23days on market $239,900 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-08-22days on market $239,900 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $239,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $239,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $239,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $239,900 Active 88 DOM
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2026-08-17days on market $239,900 Active 87 DOM
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2026-08-16days on market $239,900 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $239,900 Active 85 DOM
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2026-08-14days on market $239,900 Active 84 DOM
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2026-08-13days on market $239,900 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $239,900 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $239,900 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $239,900 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $239,900 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $239,900 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $239,900 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $239,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $239,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $239,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $239,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $239,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $239,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $239,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $239,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $239,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $239,900 Active 61 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 6 d/yr ≥110°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,594
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,550
- − Property taxes
- −$3,628
- − Insurance
- −$1,210
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,048
- − Management
- −$2,048
- − Depreciation
- −$7,037
- Taxable loss
- −$3,926
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$942
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,101/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This two-story townhome is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers a smart, efficient layout and is ready for immediate move-in. Potential buyers will appreciate the curb appeal and interior updates.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value ↑
- Resale Kitchen appliances — Modernizes the kitchen and appeals to potential buyers ↑
- Resale Bathroom fixtures — Modernizes bathrooms and appeals to potential buyers ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bryan ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4811790
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,895
- Composite
- 26.26/100
- National rank
- #7253
- State rank
- #608 of 826 in TX
Livability — Bryan
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #99
- US rank
- #3341
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bryan, TX
- County
- Brazos County · 267,942 people
- City population
- 101,772
- Metro
- College Station-Bryan, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 76,764
- Household income
- $88,851
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 13% of renters
Population outlook (Brazos County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 267,942 people
- By 2030
- 296,630 · +10.7%
- By 2040
- 354,560 · +32.3%
- By 2050
- 414,616 · +54.7%
- By 2075
- 562,158 · +109.8%
- By 2100
- 678,828 · +153.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 16% Two or more races 9% Asian 8% Black 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Brazos
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.9) · D 36.9% · R 61.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.1pp toward D · 2008: -28.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.9 2020: R+14.3 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+35.3 2008: R+28.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -133.31%
- Current HPI
- 175.9669
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.13%
- Metro
- College Station-Bryan, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…