285 20th Ave · Longview, WA 98632

$510,000

4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,748 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 57 Days on market

Built 1928 4,800 sqft lot $292/sqft · 55% above area

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Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +25.3/30.0
• DSCR +8.3/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• 1% rule +5.3/10.0
• Schools +4.0/10.0
• Livability +3.6/5.0
• Rent growth +3.1/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 3 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Excellent Investment Opportunity. Triplex just completely renovated down to the studs. New electrical, new plumbing, new roof and new Hardie Plank Siding. New insulation, drywall, freshly painted, New carpet and Vinyl Plank flooring throughout. New Appliances and fixtures. Two units main level with one bedroom, one bath each. Upstairs is a two bedroom, one bath unit. All units have Washer and Dryer hookups. Parking off street. Perfect to live in one and rent the other two units or as an addition to your investment portfolio.

Key facts

• New plumbing
• New electrical
• Completely renovated

Tags

• COMPLETELY RENOVATED
• NEW ELECTRICAL
• NEW PLUMBING
• NEW ROOF
• NEW HARDIE PLANK SIDING
• NEW INSULATION

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3 × 4-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $510k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($14k/yr) — positive. Per door: $384/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $510k).
• Recommended offer: $495k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 3.0% in Longview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 71/100 on livability (#228 in WA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, commute F.
• Longview School District (urban): math 40% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #185 of 291 in WA (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 356 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 348 units permitted in Cowlitz County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $5,265/mo this rent would consume 95% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 2224% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $15k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Cowlitz County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($495k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $340k; list at $510k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1928 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $494,700 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
4. Built in 1928 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.03% ✓
• Cap rate: 9.00%
• Cash-on-cash: 9.67%
• DSCR: 1.43
• GRM: 8.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $328,447
• List price: $510,000
• Delta: 55.28%
• Verdict: OVERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
113 19th Ave	0.20mi	4/2.0	1,612 (-8%)	10mo	$326,000	$202	65

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -2.2%
• Equity multiple: 0.92×
• Total profit: $-11,765
• Equity at exit: $76,043

10-year hold

• IRR: 7.1%
• Equity multiple: 1.52×
• Total profit: $74,345
• Equity at exit: $44,095

Cash invested: $142,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 28 Tenant-Leaning
• State Washington: 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 98632

• Rents YoY: 2.6%
• Active inventory: 356
• Price-to-rent: 24.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $5,265 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$2,674
• Tax from tax record: −$122 /mo · $1,462/yr
• Insurance: −$212
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,106
• Net cashflow: $1,151

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,809

Max offer price $510,000

Occupancy floor 73%

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
▸ 3× units	4	1	$5,265
Total (3 units)			$5,265

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $127,500
• Closing costs: $15,300
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
228 25th Ave Unit 201 Longview, WA	3.0	1.0	1100	$1,350	$1.23	11d	1	0.29mi

Listing history 9 events

1. 2026-06-07
   statusdays on market $510,000 Pending 57 DOM
2. 2026-06-05
   days on market $510,000 Active 55 DOM
3. 2026-06-02
   days on market $510,000 Active 53 DOM
4. 2026-06-01
   days on market $510,000 Active 52 DOM
5. 2026-05-31
   days on market $510,000 Active 51 DOM
6. 2026-05-30
   days on market $510,000 Active 50 DOM
7. 2026-04-10
   listed $525,000 Active

   Show marketing remark (530 chars)

   Excellent Investment Opportunity. Triplex just completely renovated down to the studs. New electrical, new plumbing, new roof and new Hardie Plank Siding. New insulation, drywall, freshly painted, New carpet and Vinyl Plank flooring throughout. New Appliances and fixtures. Two units main level with one bedroom, one bath each. Upstairs is a two bedroom, one bath unit. All units have Washer and Dryer hookups. Parking off street. Perfect to live in one and rent the other two units or as an addition to your investment portfolio.

8. 2026-04-10
   listed $525,000 Active 530-char remark

   Show marketing remark (530 chars)

   Excellent Investment Opportunity. Triplex just completely renovated down to the studs. New electrical, new plumbing, new roof and new Hardie Plank Siding. New insulation, drywall, freshly painted, New carpet and Vinyl Plank flooring throughout. New Appliances and fixtures. Two units main level with one bedroom, one bath each. Upstairs is a two bedroom, one bath unit. All units have Washer and Dryer hookups. Parking off street. Perfect to live in one and rent the other two units or as an addition to your investment portfolio.

9. 2025-10-09
   soldstatus $340,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WA · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $1,462 · $122/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $4,998 · $416/mo
• Expected delta: +$3,536/yr (+$295/mo · 241.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥89°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $63,180
• − Mortgage interest: −$28,568
• − Property taxes: −$1,462
• − Insurance: −$2,550
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$5,054
• − Management: −$5,054
• − Depreciation: −$14,836
• Taxable income: $5,655
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,357
• After-tax cash flow: $12,449/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Longview School District
• NCES district ID: 5304470
• Math proficiency: 40% ▲ 1.00%
• Reading proficiency: 51% ▲ 3.00%
• Median HH income: $41,324
• Composite: 40.41/100
• National rank: #7732
• State rank: #185 of 291 in WA

Livability — Longview

• Score: 71/100
• State rank: #228
• US rank: #6972

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute F Cost of living A- Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Longview, WA
• County: Cowlitz County · 77,527 people
• City population: 50,635
• Metro: Longview, WA
• Population (ZIP): 50,635
• Household income: $66,305
• Rent vs Own: 39.2% rent · 60.8% own
• Severe rent burden: 2224.0

Population outlook (Cowlitz County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 104,780 people
• By 2030: 103,980 · -0.8%
• By 2040: 100,769 · -3.8%
• By 2050: 96,685 · -7.7%
• By 2075: 86,454 · -17.5%
• By 2100: 74,052 · -29.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (78%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 78% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 11% Asian 2% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 10%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 5% Lithuanian 3% Italian 3%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 91% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cowlitz

• 2024 margin: R (+19.9) · D 38.7% · R 58.6% · Other 2.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -31.1pp toward R · 2008: 11.2pp · 2024: -19.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+19.9 2020: R+17.4 2016: R+13.7 2012: D+4.4 2008: D+11.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -479.09%
• Current HPI: 230.8501
• Rent YoY: ▲ 2.59%
• Metro: Longview, WA
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.65%
• F500 in state: 22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Retail	2	$269B
▸Technology / Retail	1	$638B
▸Technology	1	$245B
▸Telecommunications	1	$38B
▸Food / Beverage	1	$36B
▸Automotive / Trucks	1	$34B

Price history

+54.4% since first listed

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-10 Listed $525,000 RMLS
• 2026-04-10 Listed $525,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2025-10-09 Sold (Public Records) $340,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,462 · -4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.