215 Scarborough St · Savannah, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.9/30.0
- DSCR +6.0/10.0
- Livability +4.3/5.0
- 1% rule +4.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- ARV discount +0.2/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice home located minutes from downtown Savannah. Needs updating Cash offers 200k obo Do not disturb
Key facts
- 5,602 sq ft lot
- Built 1971
- Listed 234 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $205 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (8.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $176k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 4.0% in Savannah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 86/100 on livability (#1 in GA, #397 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: employment D, schools F.
- Savannah-Chatham County (urban): math 20% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #134 of 174 in GA (top 77%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 76 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,694 units permitted in Chatham County in 2024 (973 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,824/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 613% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Chatham County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 234 days — a 12% lower offer ($176k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $200k implies a 300% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 234 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.91% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.53%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.40%
- DSCR
- 1.20
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $171,971
- List price
- $200,000
- Delta
- 16.30%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 227 Glass St | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (0%) | 5mo | $299,000 | $299 | 84 |
| 275 Scarborough St | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (+12%) | 4mo | $244,500 | $218 | 68 |
| 8 Newell St | 0.16mi | 3/2.5 | 1,114 (+11%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $238 | 65 |
| 230 Sugden St | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 | 910 (-9%) | 8mo | $105,000 | $115 | 59 |
| 2016 Eppinger St | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,018 (+2%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $206 | 58 |
| 2102 Patch St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 960 (-4%) | 4mo | $115,000 | $120 | 57 |
| 2011 Gugel St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 960 (-4%) | 4mo | $220,000 | $229 | 57 |
| 259 Brittany St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 934 (-7%) | 3mo | $69,500 | $74 | 50 |
| 105 Pitt St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,102 (+10%) | 4mo | $35,000 | $32 | 47 |
| 1424 Comer St | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 850 (-15%) | 7mo | $207,000 | $244 | 46 |
| 207 Cleland Ave | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 1,118 (+12%) | 4mo | $140,000 | $125 | 44 |
| 17 Nelson St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 | 1,122 (+12%) | 11mo | $220,000 | $196 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-19,387
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- -0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-289
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31415
- Home prices YoY
- -21.4%
- Active inventory
- 76
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,824 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$103 /mo · $1,241/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$383
- Net cashflow
- $205
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206 Ferrill St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,450 | $1.55 | 13d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 40 Eagle St Savannah, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 841 | $1,331 | $1.58 | 23d | 6 | 0.15mi |
| 1325 Exley St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1327 | $1,156 | $0.87 | 43d | 2 | 0.19mi |
| 1325 Exley St Savannah, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1193 | $1,432 | $1.20 | 21d | 6 | 0.19mi |
| 1402 New Castle St Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 928 | $1,500 | $1.62 | 43d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 1416 Chester St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $1,600 | $1.67 | 23d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 226 Fell St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,695 | $1.65 | 21d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 120 Jenks St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1042 | $1,600 | $1.54 | 43d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 17 Dutton St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 990 | $1,650 | $1.67 | 13d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2009 Eppinger St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $1,500 | $1.31 | 23d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2014 Lewden St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1164 | $1,600 | $1.37 | 23d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 2023 Gugel St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1008 | $1,900 | $1.88 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 646 W Bay St Savannah, GA | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0–4.0 | 1341 | $1,684 | $1.26 | 13d | 11 | 0.75mi |
| 905 Elliott Ave Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1032 | $1,800 | $1.74 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 808 Wexler St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1204 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 43d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 601 Indian St Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 816 | $3,521 | $4.31 | 13d | 19 | 0.85mi |
| 630 Indian St Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 824 | $3,125 | $3.79 | 13d | 17 | 0.86mi |
| 911 Crosby St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1116 | $2,000 | $1.79 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 540 Selma St Savannah, GA | 2.0–5.0 | 2.0–5.0 | 790 | $1,112 | $1.41 | 23d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 555 Berrien St Unit N Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1487 | $3,300 | $2.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 528 Selma St Unit B Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 974 | $2,625 | $2.70 | 13d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 1013 Carroll St Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 768 | $1,400 | $1.82 | 43d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 429 Montgomery St Unit A Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1200 | $2,600 | $2.17 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 227 W Broughton St #3 Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1188 | $2,400 | $2.02 | 43d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 528 Martin Luther King Junior Blvd Apt 2 Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1150 | $1,995 | $1.73 | 43d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 615 Montgomery St Savannah, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 902 | $3,164 | $3.51 | 13d | 18 | 1.19mi |
| 165 W Bay St Unit 1244806P Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1431 | $6,558 | $4.58 | 13d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 320 W Hall St Unit A Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,800 | $1.50 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 41 Whitaker St Unit A Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $3,000 | $2.31 | 13d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 41 Whitaker St Unit B Savannah, GA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $2,950 | $2.46 | 13d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1437 Audubon Dr Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,575 | $1.70 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1520 Audubon Dr Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1325 | $2,000 | $1.51 | 23d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 5 W Broughton St #401 Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,595 | $2.88 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 903 Montgomery St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,400 | $1.85 | 13d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 903 Montgomery St Unit 903 Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1300 | $2,400 | $1.85 | 13d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 905 Montgomery St Unit 905 Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,950 | $1.62 | 23d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 714 Tattnall St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1419 | $4,300 | $3.03 | 43d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 810 Jefferson St Unit B Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1400 | $3,200 | $2.29 | 13d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 24 E Liberty St Savannah, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1092 | $2,000 | $1.83 | 43d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 303 W Waldburg St Savannah, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $2,250 | $1.61 | 43d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $200,000 Active 234 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $200,000 Active 233 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $200,000 Active 232 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $200,000 Active 231 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $200,000 Active 229 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $200,000 Active 228 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $200,000 Active 226 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $200,000 Active 225 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $200,000 Active 224 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $200,000 Active 223 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $200,000 Active 220 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $200,000 Active 219 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $200,000 Active 218 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $200,000 Active 217 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $200,000 Active 216 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $200,000 Active 215 DOM
-
2025-10-27$200,000 Active 100-char remark
Show marketing remark (100 chars)
Nice home located minutes from downtown Savannah. Needs updating Cash offers 200k obo Do not disturb
-
2002-04-22soldstatus $50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,241 · $103/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,840 · $153/mo
- Expected delta
- +$599/yr (+$50/mo · 48.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,889
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$1,241
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,751
- − Management
- −$1,751
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable loss
- −$876
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$210
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,675/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Savannah-Chatham County
- NCES district ID
- 1301020
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,443
- Composite
- 20.14/100
- National rank
- #8639
- State rank
- #134 of 174 in GA
Livability — Savannah
- Score
- 86/100
- State rank
- #1
- US rank
- #397
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Savannah, GA
- County
- Chatham County · 271,602 people
- City population
- 216,564
- Metro
- Savannah, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,082
- Household income
- $37,109
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 613.0
Population outlook (Chatham County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 332,584 people
- By 2030
- 355,508 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 400,030 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 443,019 · +33.2%
- By 2075
- 534,579 · +60.7%
- By 2100
- 583,863 · +75.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 89% White 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Chatham
- 2024 margin
- D (+18.0) · D 58.6% · R 40.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.6pp toward D · 2008: 14.4pp · 2024: 18.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+18.0 2020: D+18.8 2016: D+14.5 2012: D+12.0 2008: D+14.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.36%
- Current HPI
- 203.0696
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Savannah, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+300.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2025-10-27 Listed $200,000 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2002-04-22 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,241 · +57.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…