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240 Pebble Beach Blvd #712
B Composite 72.22
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,000

240 Pebble Beach Blvd #712 · Lely, FL 34113
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,298 sqft · Condo public records · 99 Days on market
Built 1992 $417/mo HOA · 11% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this beautiful 3-bedroom, 2-bath condo. This second-story residence offers peaceful open-space and golf course views, creating a bright and relaxing atmosphere. The home features an updated kitchen with stainless steel appliances, ample cabinetry, and a functional layout perfect for everyday living and entertaining. Enjoy the comfort of a quiet, well-kept community with a community pool just steps away. Conveniently located minutes from shopping, dining, and entertainment, this condo offers the perfect blend of tranquility and accessibility.

Key facts

  • Community pool
  • Updated kitchen
  • Golf course views

Tags

GOLF COURSE VIEWSUPDATED KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESCOMMUNITY POOL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Pets allowed on a conditional basis (maximum pet weight 25 lbs)
  • HOA & community: Part of a 60-unit community; Homeowners association with quarterly fee; Association covers management, insurance, irrigation water, legal/accounting, grounds maintenance, pest control, reserve fund, sewer, street lights and trash; Community amenities include clubhouse, pool, sidewalks, vehicle wash area and on-site management; Non-gated community with street lights

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned covered parking; Detached carport; One covered space (carport)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; High-speed internet available; Underground utilities
  • Home design: Single-story (1 story); Entry level at 2; Resale property
  • Construction: Block, concrete and stucco construction; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Patio; Community pool; Municipal irrigation; Paved road access; North exposure; Has a view; South-facing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Entry level: 2
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Cable TV available; Dual sinks in bath(s); Family/dining room layout; Living/dining room combination; Walk-in closet(s); Split bedroom floorplan; See remarks
  • Laundry & utility: Washer included; Laundry located inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $210k).
  • Recommended offer: $191k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#586 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Lely Elementary School (math 45% / reading 46%, grade D-, #1,247 of 2,144 statewide, top 59%, 499 students, 62% FRL); Manatee Middle School (math 61% / reading 43%, grade C+, #217 of 571 statewide, top 40%, 749 students, 64% FRL); Lely High School (math 40% / reading 39%, grade F, #304 of 667 statewide, top 47%, 1,504 students, 54% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 46% at this address vs 58% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Collier average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.6%/yr); 599 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.6% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 99 days — a 9% lower offer ($191k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $74k; list at $210k implies a 182% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $191,100 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 99 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.79%
Cap rate
12.72%
Cash-on-cash
22.96%
DSCR
2.02
GRM
4.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.59% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.7%
Equity multiple
1.74×
Total profit
$43,792
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
28.3%
Equity multiple
3.89×
Total profit
$169,878
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34113

Rents YoY
5.6%
Active inventory
599
Price-to-rent
4.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,764 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$243 /mo · $2,916/yr
Insurance
$88
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$417
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$790
Net cashflow
$1,059

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,424
Max offer price $210,000
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,177 -5% $1,118 +0% $1,059 +5% $999 +10% $940
Rent -10% $761 -5% $910 +0% $1,059 +5% $1,207 +10% $1,356
Rate -1.0pp $1,164 -0.5pp $1,112 base $1,059 +0.5pp $1,004 +1.0pp $949

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
240 Pebble Beach Blvd #702 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1090 $4,000 $3.67 26d 1 0.03mi
213 Bay Meadows Dr Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1650 $5,500 $3.33 26d 1 0.09mi
190 Pebble Beach Blvd #301 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 954 $1,700 $1.78 26d 1 0.11mi
232 Pebble Beach Blvd #104 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1298 $1,975 $1.52 26d 1 0.12mi
5419 Rattlesnake Hammock Rd Unit 307F Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1071 $1,950 $1.82 16d 1 0.32mi
5499 Rattlesnake Hammock Rd Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1071 $1,775 $1.66 16d 2 0.34mi
452 Bristle Cone Ln #27 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1129 $2,000 $1.77 26d 1 0.42mi
5535 Rattlesnake Hammock Rd #302 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1205 $2,800 $2.32 26d 1 0.44mi
332 Charlemagne Blvd Unit H101 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1082 $3,500 $3.23 26d 1 0.47mi
332 Charlemagne Blvd Unit H103 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1082 $3,495 $3.23 26d 1 0.47mi
255 Pine Valley Cir Naples, FL 3.0 1.5 1574 $3,500 $2.22 26d 1 0.47mi
5595 Greenwood Cir #92 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1450 $5,000 $3.45 26d 1 0.48mi
6875 Saona Ct Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1565 $8,000 $5.11 26d 1 0.48mi
5502 Greenwood Cir #1 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1450 $2,400 $1.66 26d 1 0.49mi
5635 Rattlesnake Hammock Rd Apt 203D Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1054 $1,700 $1.61 23d 1 0.51mi
300 Valley Stream Dr Unit 3D Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 979 $1,795 $1.83 26d 1 0.52mi
300 Valley Stream Dr Unit 3D Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 979 $1,795 $1.83 23d 1 0.52mi
200 Valley Stream Dr Unit 8B Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 979 $1,750 $1.79 26d 1 0.52mi
6984 Saona Ct Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1472 $7,500 $5.10 26d 1 0.53mi
5651 Rattlesnake Hammock Rd Unit C-108 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1054 $1,800 $1.71 26d 1 0.53mi
315 Saint Andrews Blvd Unit A25 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1126 $1,530 $1.36 26d 1 0.57mi
4977 Pepper Cir #205 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1250 $2,250 $1.80 23d 1 0.59mi
360 Charlemagne Blvd Unit D105 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1082 $3,200 $2.96 26d 1 0.59mi
7110 Cayo Coco Ln Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1387 $9,250 $6.67 26d 1 0.60mi
248 Pebble Beach Cir Unit G201 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1163 $2,300 $1.98 26d 1 0.61mi
7142 Cayo Coco Ln Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1490 $10,000 $6.71 26d 1 0.61mi
520 Augusta Blvd Unit B204 Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1294 $2,200 $1.70 26d 1 0.61mi
4410 Chantelle Dr Unit H-205 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1349 $3,500 $2.59 16d 1 0.61mi
7138 Cayo Coco Ln Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1205 $6,500 $5.39 26d 1 0.62mi
7124 Saona Ct Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1387 $8,000 $5.77 26d 1 0.63mi
7197 Saona Ct Unit 1545994P Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1291 $4,152 $3.22 16d 1 0.63mi
326 Bradstrom Cir Unit 103F Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1113 $1,800 $1.62 26d 1 0.63mi
326 Bradstrom Cir Unit 204F Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $3,500 $2.92 26d 1 0.63mi
5778 Greenwood Cir Naples, FL 3.0 2.0 1450 $4,000 $2.76 26d 1 0.65mi
413 Augusta Blvd #302 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1390 $5,500 $3.96 23d 1 0.65mi
7213 Saona Ct Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1308 $7,500 $5.73 26d 1 0.65mi
7204 Cayo Coco Ln Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1308 $7,500 $5.73 26d 1 0.65mi
7289 Saona Ct Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1411 $10,000 $7.09 26d 1 0.67mi
7162 Saona Ct Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1482 $9,000 $6.07 26d 1 0.67mi
332 Bradstrom Cir #201 Naples, FL 2.0 2.0 1257 $2,200 $1.75 26d 1 0.67mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$417 · $5,004/yr
Likely covers
pool
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    status $210,000 Pending 99 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $210,000 Active 99 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $210,000 Active 98 DOM
  4. 2026-05-30
    status $210,000 Active 97 DOM
  5. 2026-05-22
    status Pending
  6. 2026-04-09
    status Active
  7. 2026-04-09
    price $210,000
  8. 2026-03-22
    status Pending
  9. 2026-01-27
    listed $220,000 Active
  10. 2025-12-22
    historical
  11. 2025-10-30
    price $249,999
  12. 2025-08-28
    listed $269,999 Active
  13. 2024-08-21
    historical $2,450
  14. 2024-07-06
    price $2,450
  15. 2024-06-03
    listed $2,750
  16. 2009-12-16
    historical
  17. 2007-01-17
    listed $279,000
  18. 1992-05-01
    soldstatus $74,400

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,916 · $243/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,916 · $243/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$45,171
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$2,916
− Insurance
−$1,847
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,614
− Management
−$3,614
− HOA
−$5,004
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable income
$10,303
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,473
After-tax cash flow
$10,229/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Collier
NCES district ID
1200330
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$58,275
Composite
50.23/100
National rank
#1892
State rank
#16 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lely

Score
66/100
State rank
#586
US rank
#11224

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lely, FL
County
Collier County · 396,295 people
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
Population (ZIP)
26,056
Household income
$81,674
Rent vs Own
26.7% rent · 73.3% own
Severe rent burden
954.0

Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,858 people
By 2030
450,054 · +6.9%
By 2040
502,232 · +19.3%
By 2050
544,932 · +29.5%
By 2075
627,203 · +49.0%
By 2100
659,015 · +56.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Hispanic / Latino 28% Black 12% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 10% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
26% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
63% English-only · Spanish 24% French/Haitian/Cajun 9% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Collier

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -194.86%
Current HPI
279.4232
Rent YoY
▲ 5.59%
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+182.3% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Relisted FORTMLS
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $210,000 FORTMLS
  • 2026-03-22 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2026-01-27 Listed $220,000 FORTMLS
  • 2025-12-22 Listing Removed NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-10-30 Price Changed $249,999 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-08-28 Listed $269,999 NAPLESMLS
  • 2024-08-21 Rental Removed $2,450 NAPLESMLS
  • 2024-07-06 Price Changed $2,450 NAPLESMLS
  • 2024-06-03 Listed for Rent $2,750 NAPLESMLS
  • 2009-12-16 Listing Removed NAPLESMLS
  • 2007-01-17 Listed $279,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 1992-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $74,400 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,916 · +9.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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