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172 Main St 🏷️ Likely Rental
C Composite 57.65
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +16.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Schools +6.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • DSCR +5.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$799,000

172 Main St · Cold Spring, NY 10516
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,415 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1860 4,615 sqft lot $331/sqft · 49% below area Est $1571k · 49% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Strong investment opportunity in the heart of Cold Spring Village. This well-positioned 2-family property offers immediate income with one unit currently occupied by a long-term tenant, providing stable, flexible cash flow with upside potential. The second unit is available for occupancy or leasing, allowing the next owner to optimize rents to market rates and enhance overall return. Each unit is 2 bedrooms and 1 bathroom. The main floor unit has a laundry room and basement access. This corner lot with its prime walk-to-town location, proximity to Metro-North, shops, dining, and the Hudson River, this property benefits from consistently strong rental demand and low vacancy risk. Ideal for i

Key facts

  • 2 family property
  • Strong rental demand
  • Corner lot

Tags

2 FAMILY PROPERTYSECOND UNIT AVAILABLECORNER LOTWALK TO TOWN LOCATIONPROXIMITY TO METRO NORTHSTRONG RENTAL DEMAND

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity available
  • Home design: Duplex
  • Construction: Wood siding construction
  • Exterior features: Wood siding; Not waterfront

Interior

  • Kitchen: Eat-in kitchen(s)
  • Bedrooms: Two 2-bedroom units (duplex configuration)
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Oil-fired heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bath; Eat-in kitchen; Entrance foyer; Finished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏷️ Possibly a rental listed for sale. The $799,000 price doesn't fit this home's estimated sale value (~$1,570,788) and the remarks read like a rental — treat the cards below with caution.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $799k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $431 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $215/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $799k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#97 in NY, #1,466 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: commute C-, amenities F, cost of living F.
  • Haldane Central School District (town): math 65% / reading 83% proficiency, ranked #84 of 590 in NY (top 14%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 8% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Haldane Elementary School (math 57% / reading 77%, grade B+, #525 of 2,108 statewide, top 27%, 292 students, 18% FRL); Haldane Middle School (math 57% / reading 82%, grade A, #89 of 729 statewide, top 12%, 197 students, 16% FRL); Haldane High School (math 98% / reading 92%, grade A+, #93 of 1,100 statewide, top 10%, 314 students, 17% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 142 units permitted in Putnam County in 2024 (75 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $6k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Putnam County population projected to shrink 3% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $270k; list at $799k implies a 196% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1860 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $799,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1860 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
7.02%
Cash-on-cash
2.61%
DSCR
1.12
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$1,570,788
List price
$799,000
Delta
-49.13%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
197-199 Main St 0.09mi 4/2.0 2,280 (-6%) 17mo $745,000 $327 72

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-12.6%
Equity multiple
0.55×
Total profit
$-101,584
Equity at exit
$119,133
10-year hold
IRR
-3.4%
Equity multiple
0.77×
Total profit
$-51,326
Equity at exit
$69,083

Cash invested: $223,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 10516

Home prices YoY
-31.9%
Active inventory
38
Price-to-rent
16.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$8,187 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$4,190
Tax from tax record
$1,458 /mo · $17,499/yr
Insurance
$333
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,719
Net cashflow
$431

Break-even live

Break-even rent $7,641
Max offer price $799,000
Occupancy floor 90%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $8,187

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$199,750
Closing costs
$23,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
376 Lane Gate Rd Cold Spring, NY 4.0 3.0 2616 $6,500 $2.48 44d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-04-14
    listed $799,000 Active 846-char remark
  2. 1993-04-30
    soldstatus $270,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$17,499 · $1,458/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$17,499 · $1,458/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$98,244
− Mortgage interest
−$44,756
− Property taxes
−$17,499
− Insurance
−$4,662
− Repairs & maintenance
−$7,860
− Management
−$7,860
− Depreciation
−$23,244
Taxable loss
−$7,636
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,833
After-tax cash flow
$7,004/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Haldane Central School District
NCES district ID
3613230
Math proficiency
65% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
83% ▲ 11.00%
Median HH income
$81,824
Composite
65.66/100
National rank
#462
State rank
#84 of 590 in NY

Livability — Cold Spring

Score
81/100
State rank
#97
US rank
#1466

Category grades

Amenities F Commute C- Cost of living F Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Cold Spring, NY
Population (ZIP)
5,607

Population outlook (Putnam County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
99,705 people
By 2030
99,650 · -0.1%
By 2040
98,641 · -1.1%
By 2050
96,348 · -3.4%
By 2075
94,412 · -5.3%
By 2100
88,728 · -11.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 5% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Russian 5% Romanian 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Putnam

2024 margin
R (+13.7) · D 43.2% · R 56.8%
2008→2024 swing
-6.2pp toward R · 2008: -7.5pp · 2024: -13.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.7 2020: R+7.9 2016: R+17.8 2012: R+11.2 2008: R+7.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -121.80%
Current HPI
259.5306
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+195.9% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Pending OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $799,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1993-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $270,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+14.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $17,499 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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