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2604 30th St SW
D Composite 41.92
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.1/5.0

$277,990

2604 30th St SW · Lehigh Acres, FL 33976
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,400 sqft · Land · 89 Days on market
Built 2026 0.25 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

NEW BUILD COMPLETE - MOVE-IN-READY. WAS $303,990 - NOW $277,990. SPECIAL INCENTIVES: UP TO $20,000 towards CLOSING COST / PREPAIDS when using preferred lenders. The 1,400-square-foot (air-conditioned) Weston plan boasts a well-designed open floor plan that includes three bedrooms, two bathrooms, and a two-car garage. The kitchen boasts upgraded 36” contemporary shaker-style cabinets, a spacious 7’ wide kitchen island with upgraded countertops, Whirlpool dishwasher, microwave, and range, refrigerator, washer & dryer. The Kitchen overlooks a spacious great room that features beautiful tile-plank flooring and vaulted ceilings. The expansive owner’s suite features a pri

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • Kitchen island
  • Private bathroom

Tags

OPEN FLOOR PLANUPGRADED CABINETSKITCHEN ISLANDTILE-PLANK FLOORINGVAULTED CEILINGSPRIVATE BATHROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot is rectangular with approximate dimensions 80 x 137 x 80 x 137; Lot exposure: North; Zoning: RS-1
  • Financial info: Pets allowed
  • HOA & community: No association fee reported

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached 2-car garage; Garage door opener
  • Security: High impact doors
  • Utilities: Cable available; Well water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-story; New construction; Faces South; Entry level: 1
  • Construction: Block, concrete, and stucco construction; Shingle roof; Built as new construction
  • Exterior features: Security/high impact doors; Open porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: High ceilings; Living/dining room; Pantry; Cable TV; Walk-in closet(s); Split bedrooms; Unfurnished; Single hung windows; Impact glass windows
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Inside laundry

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $278k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-274 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $238k (14.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (25.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $209k (25.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, schools D-.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.5%/yr); 786 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($73k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$48k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($261k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $25k; list at $278k implies a 1012% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $208,508 (25.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
5.11%
Cash-on-cash
-4.22%
DSCR
0.81
GRM
11.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.4%
Equity multiple
2.64×
Total profit
$127,876
Equity at exit
$250,435
10-year hold
IRR
18.0%
Equity multiple
5.87×
Total profit
$379,414
Equity at exit
$540,073

Cash invested: $77,837 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33976

Home prices YoY
6.8%
Rents YoY
-1.5%
Active inventory
786
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,085 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,458
Tax est. 1.5%
$347 /mo · $4,170/yr
Insurance
$116
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$438
Net cashflow
$-274

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,432
Max offer price $238,354
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-82 -5% $-178 +0% $-274 +5% $-370 +10% $-466
Rent -10% $-439 -5% $-356 +0% $-274 +5% $-192 +10% $-109
Rate -1.0pp $-134 -0.5pp $-203 base $-274 +0.5pp $-346 +1.0pp $-419

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$69,498
Closing costs
$8,340
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2612 31st St Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1389 $1,799 $1.30 17d 1 0.12mi
2612 31st St Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1365 $1,799 $1.32 15d 1 0.12mi
20517 Hazelnut Ct S Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1564 $2,050 $1.31 24d 1 0.19mi
20559 Hazelnut Ct S Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1564 $1,750 $1.12 24d 1 0.21mi
2710 28th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1742 $2,450 $1.41 24d 1 0.26mi
2708 27th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1698 $2,280 $1.34 4d 1 0.27mi
20483 Copperhead Dr Unit 20483 Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 3.0 1849 $2,300 $1.24 11d 1 0.32mi
20673 Hazelnut Ct Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1564 $2,099 $1.34 24d 1 0.33mi
2602 24th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1358 $1,800 $1.33 4d 1 0.34mi
20699 Hazelnut Ct Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1564 $2,351 $1.50 24d 1 0.36mi
18451 Copperhead Dr #522 Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1120 $1,895 $1.69 24d 1 0.40mi
2811 25th St SW Unit NA Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1430 $1,990 $1.39 24d 1 0.47mi
18461 Copperhead Dr #421 Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1301 $1,895 $1.46 24d 1 0.57mi
18461 Copperhead Dr #436 Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $3,495 $3.03 24d 1 0.57mi
18461 Copperhead Dr #431 Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1301 $3,995 $3.07 24d 1 0.57mi
2805 20th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1151 $1,699 $1.48 4d 1 0.62mi
2914 24th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1537 $2,250 $1.46 24d 1 0.68mi
325 Paulcrest Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1619 $2,300 $1.42 24d 1 0.72mi
3001 37th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.5 1235 $1,705 $1.38 24d 1 0.75mi
3008 25th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1565 $1,711 $1.09 22d 1 0.76mi
9099 Leatherwood Loop Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1564 $2,400 $1.53 24d 1 0.78mi
18411 Copperhead Dr #346 Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1061 $1,695 $1.60 22d 1 0.78mi
3008 23rd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1640 $2,350 $1.43 24d 1 0.79mi
18421 Copperhead Dr #222 Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1154 $1,700 $1.47 24d 1 0.80mi
813 Alabama Rd S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,495 $1.25 24d 1 0.85mi
18451 Copperhead Ct N #535 Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1130 $4,950 $4.38 24d 1 0.86mi
18461 Copperhead Ct N #444 Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1120 $2,300 $2.05 24d 1 0.86mi
18461 Copperhead Dr Unit 1546499P Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1194 $1,941 $1.63 15d 1 0.86mi
749 Alabama Rd S Unit 749 Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1275 $1,800 $1.41 3d 1 0.88mi
18261 Minorea Ln Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1402 $1,800 $1.28 24d 1 0.91mi
18261 Minorea Ln Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1402 $1,595 $1.14 4d 1 0.91mi
18266 Minorea Ln Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1408 $1,650 $1.17 24d 1 0.94mi
177 Pennfield St Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,850 $1.48 24d 1 0.95mi
59 Camelot Gardens Blvd #110 Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1166 $1,800 $1.54 24d 1 0.95mi
10 Beth Stacey Blvd #206 Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1012 $1,100 $1.09 4d 1 0.96mi
234 Pullman St Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1392 $1,800 $1.29 24d 1 0.99mi
3012 40th St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1427 $1,950 $1.37 24d 1 1.00mi
2916 42nd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1399 $1,960 $1.40 4d 1 1.01mi
2916 42nd St SW Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1399 $1,930 $1.38 3d 1 1.01mi
9249 Aegean Cir Lehigh Acres, FL 2.0 2.0 1320 $1,800 $1.36 24d 1 1.01mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $277,990 Pending 89 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    pricedays on market $277,990 Active 85 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $278,990 Active 84 DOM
  4. 2026-06-01
    days on market $278,990 Active 83 DOM
  5. 2026-05-21
    price $279,490
  6. 2026-05-13
    price $279,990
  7. 2026-05-06
    price $286,990
  8. 2026-04-29
    price $289,990
  9. 2026-04-22
    price $294,990
  10. 2026-04-15
    price $296,990
  11. 2026-04-08
    price $298,990
  12. 2026-04-01
    price $299,990
  13. 2026-03-09
    listed $303,990 Active
  14. 2025-04-10
    soldstatus $25,000
  15. 2024-07-22
    soldstatus $736,286

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,021
− Mortgage interest
−$15,572
− Property taxes
−$4,170
− Insurance
−$1,390
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,002
− Management
−$2,002
− Depreciation
−$8,087
Taxable loss
−$8,201
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,968
After-tax cash flow
$-1,319/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lehigh Acres

Score
59/100
State rank
#826
US rank
#20055

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lehigh Acres, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
130,638
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
20,277
Household income
$72,679
Rent vs Own
28.2% rent · 71.8% own
Severe rent burden
574.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.65)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 50% Two or more races 30% White 24% Black 20% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 18% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 8% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
35% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
Languages at home
46% English-only · Spanish 43% French/Haitian/Cajun 8% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 21.77%
Current HPI
340.4255
Rent YoY
▼ -1.54%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-62.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Price Changed $279,490 FORTMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Price Changed $279,990 FORTMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $286,990 FORTMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $289,990 FORTMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Price Changed $294,990 FORTMLS
  • 2026-04-15 Price Changed $296,990 FORTMLS
  • 2026-04-08 Price Changed $298,990 FORTMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Price Changed $299,990 FORTMLS
  • 2026-03-09 Listed $303,990 FORTMLS
  • 2025-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 2024-07-22 Sold (Public Records) $736,286 Public Records

Property tax history

+20.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $520 · +36.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…