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3005 Sagamore Ln
D- Composite 39.15
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +14.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.3/30.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$215,000

3005 Sagamore Ln · Asheville, NC 28806
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 930 sqft · Condo public records · 40 Days on market
Built 1995 $231/sqft · 9% below area Est $254k · 15% under $293/mo HOA · 17% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Experience the perfect blend of comfort and convenience in this 2BR/2BA Biltmore Commons retreat. Featuring light filled space and a private screened in porch with serene views, this home offers a premier "lock-and-leave" lifestyle. Enjoy amenities including a heated pool, tennis courts and a fitness area-all within a secure gated community just minutes from downtown Asheville and the Blue Ridge Parkway. This condo is the lowest priced opportunity to join this coveted community. While the home needs some TLC and cosmetic updates, it offers a blank canvas for you to bring your vision to life while hopefully building instant equity. Bonus - end unit on the ground floor!

Key facts

  • Gated community
  • Fitness area
  • End unit

Tags

PRIVATE SCREENED IN PORCHHEATED POOLTENNIS COURTSFITNESS AREAGATED COMMUNITYEND UNIT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoning: RM6; Development completed; Land not included; Rental restrictions apply; see community rules
  • HOA & community: HOA present; mandatory monthly dues ($293/month); Community clubhouse; Fitness center; Outdoor pool; Tennis courts; Street lights; Pets allowed with conditions; cat(s) allowed (number limits apply)

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 assigned parking spaces in a parking lot
  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Underground utilities
  • Home design: Residential condominium; Site-built construction; One story; Entry level 1
  • Construction: Fiber cement exterior; Crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered rear porch with screened area; In-ground outdoor private pool; Asphalt-paved roads on private maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric range; Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Gas-log fireplace
  • Interior features: 8 total rooms; Main-level entry
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer in unit; Laundry located in hall on main level; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-291 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $164k (23.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $169k (21.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $164k (23.9% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 2.5% in Asheville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#96 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, health & safety A+, housing A-; Watch: crime F.
  • Buncombe County Schools (suburban): math 45% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #72 of 178 in NC (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Sand Hill-Venable Elem (math 38% / reading 43%, grade F, #682 of 1,410 statewide, top 49%, 534 students, 77% FRL); Enka Middle (math 39% / reading 50%, grade D, #169 of 475 statewide, top 37%, 602 students, 65% FRL); Enka High (math 77% / reading 63%, grade B+, #119 of 535 statewide, top 22%, 1,045 students, 58% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 47% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.1%/yr); 333 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 3,305 units permitted in Buncombe County in 2024 (1,855 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Buncombe County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $92k; list at $215k implies a 132% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $163,594 (23.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
4.67%
Cash-on-cash
-5.80%
DSCR
0.74
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$254,292
List price
$215,000
Delta
-15.45%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.06% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-27.3%
Equity multiple
0.09×
Total profit
$-54,847
Equity at exit
$32,057
10-year hold
IRR
-29.3%
Equity multiple
-0.29×
Total profit
$-77,554
Equity at exit
$18,589

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 28806

Rents YoY
2.1%
Active inventory
333
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,694 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$119 /mo · $1,428/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$293
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$356
Net cashflow
$-291

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,062
Max offer price $163,594
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-169 -5% $-230 +0% $-291 +5% $-352 +10% $-413
Rent -10% $-425 -5% $-358 +0% $-291 +5% $-224 +10% $-157
Rate -1.0pp $-183 -0.5pp $-236 base $-291 +0.5pp $-347 +1.0pp $-403

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
24 Triple H Dr Unit C Asheville, NC 1.0 1.0 730 $1,150 $1.58 45d 1 0.63mi
26 Triple H Dr Unit A Asheville, NC 2.0 2.0 880 $1,700 $1.93 45d 1 0.63mi
115 Featherdown Way Asheville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1108 $1,764 $1.59 16d 23 0.88mi
125 River Birch Grove Rd Asheville, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1127 $2,464 $2.18 16d 51 1.30mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$293 · $3,516/yr
Likely covers
poolsecurity
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $215,000 Active 40 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $215,000 Active 37 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $215,000 Active 36 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $215,000 Active 35 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $215,000 Active 34 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $215,000 Active 32 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $215,000 Active 29 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $215,000 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $215,000 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $215,000 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $215,000 Active 22 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $215,000 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $215,000 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    status $215,000 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 19 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $215,000 Active Under Contract 18 DOM
  17. 2026-05-12
    listed $215,000 Active 686-char remark
  18. 2002-05-03
    soldstatus $92,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,428 · $119/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,763 · $147/mo
Expected delta
+$335/yr (+$28/mo · 23.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 9 d/yr ≥97°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,326
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$1,428
− Insurance
−$1,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,626
− Management
−$1,626
− HOA
−$3,516
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable loss
−$7,244
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,739
After-tax cash flow
$-1,753/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buncombe County Schools
NCES district ID
3700450
Math proficiency
45% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$45,981
Composite
40.32/100
National rank
#3749
State rank
#72 of 178 in NC

Livability — Asheville

Score
72/100
State rank
#96
US rank
#6307

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living C+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A- Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Asheville, NC
County
Buncombe County · 241,085 people
City population
137,611
Metro
Asheville, NC
Population (ZIP)
43,433
Household income
$63,273
Rent vs Own
40.1% rent · 59.9% own
Severe rent burden
1783.0

Population outlook (Buncombe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
286,475 people
By 2030
302,237 · +5.5%
By 2040
330,687 · +15.4%
By 2050
356,370 · +24.4%
By 2075
409,383 · +42.9%
By 2100
437,270 · +52.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (77%)
Race & ethnicity
White 77% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 9% Black 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Serbian 3% Slovak 3% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, China
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 9% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Buncombe

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.8) · D 61.7% · R 36.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+10.9pp toward D · 2008: 13.9pp · 2024: 24.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.8 2020: D+21.1 2016: D+14.6 2012: D+12.4 2008: D+13.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -271.16%
Current HPI
350.3071
Rent YoY
▲ 2.06%
Metro
Asheville, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+132.4% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-31 Relisted CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-19 Contingent CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-12 Listed $215,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2002-05-03 Sold (Public Records) $92,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,428 · -10.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…