271 Caravan Cir · North Fort Myers, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.5/30.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.0/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$87,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Here's another darling bungalow in the LAND OWNED community of Fountain View!!! You will love all the amenities of this 55+ community in North Fort Myers. This home offers two bedrooms with closets. In addition to the primary bedroom, the upper level has the kitchen, dining area, sitting area and a full bath. The kitchen has ample cabinet space and everything you need to start living the Florida lifestyle. The lower level has a family room with plenty of sitting space for entertaining and watching tv. The second bedroom is also on the lower level along with the stackable washer & dryer. There are lots of windows in the home, making it feel very bright and open. There is room to park two vehicles in the front of the home and a very private backyard area. You can sit on the patio where you are sure to see lots of Florida wildlife or just soak up the sun all day long. This home won't last long.
Key facts
- Ample cabinet space
- Patio
- 2,178 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed with conditions (call for details)
- HOA & community: Homeowners association (monthly fee of $230); Association covers management, grounds maintenance, and recreation facilities; On-site amenities: clubhouse, pool, spa/hot tub, tennis courts, sport court, bocce court, shuffleboard court, laundry, management; Senior community; Community of approximately 400 units
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned paved driveway parking for two vehicles
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; High-speed internet available
- Home design: Manufactured home with aluminum siding; One story; Entry on level 1; Faces west; East exposure
- Construction: Manufactured construction; Aluminum siding; Roof over
- Exterior features: Patio; Shutters (manual); Community pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Split bedroom layout; Includes a family room
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Built-in features; Cathedral ceilings; Fireplace; Living/dining room; Shower only with separate shower; Window treatments; Single-hung windows; Window coverings; Furnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry inside and in common area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $88k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $132 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $88k).
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.6% in North Fort Myers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#269 in FL, #4,409 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 472 active listings in the ZIP; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $605 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.47%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $61,500
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 169 Vista Mar Dr | 0.20mi | 1/1.0 | 386 (-6%) | 6mo | $30,000 | $78 | 76 |
| 10 Fountain View Blvd | 0.07mi | 1/1.5 | 442 (+8%) | 22mo | $66,500 | $150 | 63 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-9,213
- Equity at exit
- $13,047
- IRR
- -8.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.57×
- Total profit
- $-10,472
- Equity at exit
- $7,565
Cash invested: $24,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33903
- Rents YoY
- -1.9%
- Active inventory
- 472
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,231 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$459
- Tax from tax record
- −$115 /mo · $1,383/yr
- Insurance
- −$36
- HOA
- −$230
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$259
- Net cashflow
- $132
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,875
- Closing costs
- $2,625
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $230 · $2,760/yr
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $87,500 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $87,500 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $87,500 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $87,500 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 695-char remark
-
2026-06-13$87,500 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,383 · $115/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,383 · $115/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,775
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,901
- − Property taxes
- −$1,383
- − Insurance
- −$438
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,182
- − Management
- −$1,182
- − HOA
- −$2,760
- − Depreciation
- −$2,545
- Taxable income
- $383
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$92
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,493/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — North Fort Myers
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #269
- US rank
- #4409
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Fort Myers, FL
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- City population
- 57,035
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,655
- Household income
- $56,993
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 468.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -172.26%
- Current HPI
- 256.773
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.94%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+250.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $87,500 FORTMLS
- 2025-06-11 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2025-03-31 Price Changed $95,500 FORTMLS
- 2025-01-29 Price Changed $99,500 FORTMLS
- 2024-12-12 Listed $119,500 FORTMLS
- 2024-10-16 Sold (Public Records) $81,000 Public Records
- 2024-10-15 Sold (MLS) $81,000 FORTMLS
- 2024-09-25 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2024-09-23 Listed $79,900 FORTMLS
- 2020-02-24 Sold (Public Records) $72,500 Public Records
- 1995-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,383 · +34.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…