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271 Caravan Cir
D+ Composite 49.86
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.5/30.0
  • 1% rule +9.1/10.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.0/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$87,500

271 Caravan Cir · North Fort Myers, FL 33903
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 410 sqft · Manufactured public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1986 2,178 sqft lot Est $62k · 42% over $230/mo HOA · 19% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Here's another darling bungalow in the LAND OWNED community of Fountain View!!! You will love all the amenities of this 55+ community in North Fort Myers. This home offers two bedrooms with closets. In addition to the primary bedroom, the upper level has the kitchen, dining area, sitting area and a full bath. The kitchen has ample cabinet space and everything you need to start living the Florida lifestyle. The lower level has a family room with plenty of sitting space for entertaining and watching tv. The second bedroom is also on the lower level along with the stackable washer & dryer. There are lots of windows in the home, making it feel very bright and open. There is room to park two vehicles in the front of the home and a very private backyard area. You can sit on the patio where you are sure to see lots of Florida wildlife or just soak up the sun all day long. This home won't last long.

Key facts

  • Ample cabinet space
  • Patio
  • 2,178 sq ft lot

Tags

AMPLE CABINET SPACEPRIVATE BACKYARD AREAPATIO

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Pets allowed with conditions (call for details)
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association (monthly fee of $230); Association covers management, grounds maintenance, and recreation facilities; On-site amenities: clubhouse, pool, spa/hot tub, tennis courts, sport court, bocce court, shuffleboard court, laundry, management; Senior community; Community of approximately 400 units

Exterior

  • Parking: Assigned paved driveway parking for two vehicles
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; High-speed internet available
  • Home design: Manufactured home with aluminum siding; One story; Entry on level 1; Faces west; East exposure
  • Construction: Manufactured construction; Aluminum siding; Roof over
  • Exterior features: Patio; Shutters (manual); Community pool

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Split bedroom layout; Includes a family room
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Built-in features; Cathedral ceilings; Fireplace; Living/dining room; Shower only with separate shower; Window treatments; Single-hung windows; Window coverings; Furnished
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry inside and in common area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $88k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $132 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $88k).
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 3.6% in North Fort Myers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#269 in FL, #4,409 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.9%/yr); 472 active listings in the ZIP; 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $605 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $87,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.41%
Cap rate
8.10%
Cash-on-cash
6.47%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
5.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$61,500
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
169 Vista Mar Dr 0.20mi 1/1.0 386 (-6%) 6mo $30,000 $78 76
10 Fountain View Blvd 0.07mi 1/1.5 442 (+8%) 22mo $66,500 $150 63

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-10.7%
Equity multiple
0.62×
Total profit
$-9,213
Equity at exit
$13,047
10-year hold
IRR
-8.3%
Equity multiple
0.57×
Total profit
$-10,472
Equity at exit
$7,565

Cash invested: $24,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33903

Rents YoY
-1.9%
Active inventory
472
Price-to-rent
5.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,231 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$459
Tax from tax record
$115 /mo · $1,383/yr
Insurance
$36
HOA
$230
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$259
Net cashflow
$132

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,064
Max offer price $87,500
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,875
Closing costs
$2,625
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$230 · $2,760/yr

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $87,500 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $87,500 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $87,500 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $87,500 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    remarks 695-char remark
  6. 2026-06-13
    listed $87,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,383 · $115/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,383 · $115/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,775
− Mortgage interest
−$4,901
− Property taxes
−$1,383
− Insurance
−$438
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,182
− Management
−$1,182
− HOA
−$2,760
− Depreciation
−$2,545
Taxable income
$383
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$92
After-tax cash flow
$1,493/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — North Fort Myers

Score
74/100
State rank
#269
US rank
#4409

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
North Fort Myers, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
57,035
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
23,655
Household income
$56,993
Rent vs Own
17.6% rent · 82.4% own
Severe rent burden
468.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (81%)
Race & ethnicity
White 81% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 3% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Romanian 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -172.26%
Current HPI
256.773
Rent YoY
▼ -1.94%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+250.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $87,500 FORTMLS
  • 2025-06-11 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2025-03-31 Price Changed $95,500 FORTMLS
  • 2025-01-29 Price Changed $99,500 FORTMLS
  • 2024-12-12 Listed $119,500 FORTMLS
  • 2024-10-16 Sold (Public Records) $81,000 Public Records
  • 2024-10-15 Sold (MLS) $81,000 FORTMLS
  • 2024-09-25 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2024-09-23 Listed $79,900 FORTMLS
  • 2020-02-24 Sold (Public Records) $72,500 Public Records
  • 1995-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+10.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,383 · +34.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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