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119 Vincent St
B Composite 72.52
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

119 Vincent St · Syracuse, NY 13210
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,162 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1946 6,250 sqft lot Est $180k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Outer Comstock 3 Bdrm Cape. .. Private Fenced Backyard w/ Large Shed for extra storage. 1 1/2 Baths. Open Floor Plan. Taxes estimated without exemptions * * * Delayed Showing - Friday June 20 @ 8am. Seller reserves right to set deadline for offers.

Key facts

  • Open floor plan
  • 6,250 sq ft lot
  • Built 1946

Tags

PRIVATE FENCED BACKYARDLARGE SHED FOR EXTRA STORAGEOPEN FLOOR PLAN

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Sewer connected; Public water; Cable available; High-speed internet available; Circuit breaker electric
  • Home design: Single-story home; Existing (previously built); City street frontage; Rectangular residential lot (50 x 125)
  • Construction: Shake siding; Asphalt roof; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Enclosed porch; Open porch; Shed(s) / storage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric oven; Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood; Tile; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; 1 main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Separate/formal dining room; Kitchen island; Natural woodwork; Bedroom on main level; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $454 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Cap rate 9.9% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
  • Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.2%/yr); 58 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,786/mo this rent would consume 51% of the median local household income ($42k/yr) (locally 2307% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $50k; list at $150k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $150,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.19%
Cap rate
9.92%
Cash-on-cash
12.96%
DSCR
1.58
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$180,110
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
415 Thurber St 0.25mi 3/1.5 1,165 (+0%) 1mo $165,000 $142 87
212 Boise Dr 0.28mi 3/1.5 1,154 (-1%) 7mo $180,250 $156 80
120 Goodrich Ave 0.36mi 3/1.0 1,152 (-1%) 1mo $150,000 $130 79
140 Ruth Ave 0.20mi 3/1.5 1,088 (-6%) 2mo $180,000 $165 78
222 Vincent St 0.14mi 3/1.0 1,071 (-8%) 2mo $190,000 $177 77
144 Ruth Ave 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,085 (-7%) 4mo $168,000 $155 74
435 Jamesville Ave 0.09mi 3/1.0 1,296 (+12%) 3mo $179,000 $138 72
315 Thurber St 0.18mi 3/1.0 1,248 (+7%) 8mo $171,000 $137 70
1447 Comstock Ave 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,134 (-2%) 9mo $209,250 $185 68
133 Hobart Ave 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,248 (+7%) 1mo $145,000 $116 56
141 Tejah Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,120 (-4%) 7mo $156,000 $139 56
313 Goodrich Ave 0.52mi 3/1.0 992 (-15%) 4mo $279,000 $281 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.1%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$13,995
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
21.1%
Equity multiple
3.20×
Total profit
$92,250
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13210

Home prices YoY
-9.0%
Rents YoY
11.2%
Active inventory
58
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,786 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$108 /mo · $1,300/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$375
Net cashflow
$454

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,212
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 70%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
260 Robert Dr Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.5 1200 $2,097 $1.75 44d 1 0.34mi
259 Robert Dr Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.5 1350 $699 $0.52 44d 1 0.34mi
2859 S Salina St Unit 2 Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 44d 1 0.43mi
116 Newbury Hollow Ln Syracuse, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 825 $1,295 $1.57 14d 7 0.52mi
102 Newbury Hollow Ln Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.5 1200 $1,550 $1.29 14d 1 0.54mi
147 E Matson Ave Syracuse, NY 3.0 2.5 1421 $2,000 $1.41 21d 1 0.59mi
508-10 W Brighton Ave Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 735 $1,350 $1.84 13d 13 0.99mi
620 Euclid Ave Apt 1 Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1248 $1,700 $1.36 44d 1 1.19mi
953-55 Westcott St Unit 955 Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1286 $1,500 $1.17 44d 1 1.20mi
247 Roosevelt Ave Unit 2 Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 822 $1,450 $1.76 44d 1 1.25mi
101 Waldorf Pkwy Unit 14 Syracuse, NY 2.0 1.0 800 $1,450 $1.81 14d 1 1.27mi
822 Westcott St Unit 1 Syracuse, NY 4.0 2.0 941 $575 $0.61 44d 1 1.28mi
113 Croyden Ln Syracuse, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 622 $1,825 $2.93 13d 9 1.40mi
154 Seeley Ave Syracuse, NY 4.0 1.0 1312 $2,100 $1.60 14d 1 1.41mi
158 Parkway Dr Syracuse, NY 4.0 3.0 1029 $2,250 $2.19 21d 1 1.43mi
683 E Seneca Tpke Syracuse, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 937 $1,550 $1.65 14d 4 1.43mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    remarks 250-char remark
  3. 2026-06-17
    listed $150,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,300 · $108/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,917 · $160/mo
Expected delta
+$618/yr (+$51/mo · 47.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,432
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$1,300
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,715
− Management
−$1,715
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$3,187
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$765
After-tax cash flow
$4,677/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Syracuse City School District
NCES district ID
3628590
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$32,097
Composite
17.83/100
National rank
#9007
State rank
#590 of 590 in NY

Livability — Syracuse

Score
77/100
State rank
#187
US rank
#2869

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Syracuse, NY
County
Onondaga County · 247,257 people
City population
152,627
Metro
Syracuse, NY
Population (ZIP)
19,803
Household income
$41,738
Rent vs Own
70.6% rent · 29.4% own
Severe rent burden
2307.0

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 18% Asian 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 8%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
18% · China, Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
78% English-only · Chinese 5% Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -37.59%
Current HPI
378.0277
Rent YoY
▲ 11.18%
Metro
Syracuse, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+118.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $150,000 CNYIS
  • 2001-08-30 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
  • 1994-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $68,700 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,300 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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