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421 York St
B- Composite 66.93
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$160,000

421 York St · Hanover, PA 17331
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,924 sqft · Townhouse public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1914 2,117 sqft lot $83/sqft · 17% below area Est $192k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Use your $8,000 tax credit to buy this spacious row home. Updated furnace, relative maintenance free. Washer/dryer main level. Partially finished basement, lots ofcharm. Seller will consider the possibility of holding the mortgage for qualified applicants.

Key facts

  • Garage
  • Built 1914
  • Listed 5 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Taxes reported for 2025–2026

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached rear-entry garage (1 car)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service available
  • Home design: Semi-detached property; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Brick construction; Brick/mortar foundation; Built information per assessor
  • Exterior features: Not in a federal flood zone; Above-grade and below-grade structures

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms on the upper level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Hot water and central heating; Natural gas heating and natural gas hot water; Window AC units
  • Interior features: Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $303 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.9% in Hanover — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#373 in PA, #3,295 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment D, commute F.
  • Hanover Public SD (urban): math 34% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #294 of 539 in PA (top 54%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 386 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 62% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,328 units permitted in York County in 2024 (338 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $95k; list at $160k implies a 68% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $160,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
8.57%
Cash-on-cash
8.12%
DSCR
1.36
GRM
7.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$192,023
List price
$160,000
Delta
-16.68%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
552 Locust St 0.20mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,820 (-5%) 1mo $257,900 $142 70
56 Coop Ln 0.70mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,900 (-1%) 0mo $285,000 $150 54
233 Frederick St 0.64mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,928 (+0%) 6mo $255,000 $132 53
111 S Center St 0.52mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,790 (-7%) 4mo $280,000 $156 50
31 S Center St 0.45mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,710 (-11%) 4mo $300,000 $175 46
222 N Franklin St 0.75mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,795 (-7%) 2mo $209,000 $116 46
517 Charles Ave 0.55mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,696 (-12%) 2mo $297,900 $176 42
524 Charles Ave 0.52mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,730 (-10%) 9mo $255,000 $147 41
418 Springbrook Ct 0.54mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,648 (-14%) 4mo $254,900 $155 39
54 Coop Ln 0.70mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,720 (-11%) 0mo $290,000 $169 38
97 Overlook Dr 0.72mi 4/2.5 1,696 (-12%) 3mo $275,000 $162 38
144 Overlook Dr 0.65mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,690 (-12%) 1mo $295,000 $175 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.9%
Equity multiple
0.93×
Total profit
$-3,260
Equity at exit
$23,857
10-year hold
IRR
9.7%
Equity multiple
1.81×
Total profit
$36,293
Equity at exit
$13,834

Cash invested: $44,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17331

Home prices YoY
-33.8%
Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
386
Price-to-rent
7.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,917 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$305 /mo · $3,665/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$403
Net cashflow
$303

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,533
Max offer price $160,000
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$40,000
Closing costs
$4,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
76 Brookside Ave Hanover, PA 3.0 2.5 1625 $1,963 $1.21 21d 1 0.55mi
76 Brookside Ave Hanover, PA 3.0 2.5 1625 $1,906 $1.17 43d 1 0.55mi
88 Brookside Ave Hanover, PA 3.0 2.5 1625 $1,906 $1.17 43d 1 0.56mi
88 Brookside Ave Hanover, PA 3.0 2.5 1625 $1,963 $1.21 21d 1 0.56mi
28 McCosh St Hanover, PA 3.0 1.0 1800 $2,050 $1.14 13d 1 0.70mi
261 N Franklin St Unit 302 Hanover, PA 3.0 2.0 1398 $1,130 $0.81 43d 1 0.71mi
409 Carlisle St Unit A Hanover, PA 3.0 1.0 2372 $1,200 $0.51 13d 1 0.79mi
51 Overlook Dr Unit J Hanover, PA 3.0 2.5 1820 $2,120 $1.16 43d 1 0.86mi
51 Overlook Dr Unit F Hanover, PA 3.0 2.5 1820 $1,983 $1.09 43d 1 0.86mi
101 Pacer Dr Unit L Hanover, PA 3.0 2.5 1252 $1,901 $1.52 13d 1 0.86mi
101 Pacer Dr Unit K Hanover, PA 3.0 2.5 1252 $1,846 $1.47 43d 1 0.86mi
101 Pacer Dr Unit M Hanover, PA 3.0 2.5 1252 $1,751 $1.40 43d 1 0.86mi
22 Mustang Dr Hanover, PA 3.0 2.5 1625 $1,843 $1.13 43d 1 0.86mi
40 Mustang Dr Hanover, PA 4.0 2.5 1625 $1,843 $1.13 43d 1 0.87mi
20 Mustang Dr Hanover, PA 4.0 2.5 1625 $1,931 $1.19 43d 1 0.88mi
34 Overlook Dr Hanover, PA 3.0 2.5 1749 $2,000 $1.14 13d 1 0.88mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-18
    listed $160,000 Active 759-char remark
  2. 2026-04-27
    historical $160,000 759-char remark
  3. 2010-07-08
    soldstatus $95,000
  4. 2010-06-30
    soldstatus $95,000 256-char remark
    Show marketing remark (256 chars)

    Use your $8,000 tax credit to buy this spacious row home. Updated furnace, relative maintenance free. Washer/dryer main level. Partially finished basement, lots ofcharm. Seller will consider the possibility of holding the mortgage for qualified applicants.

  5. 2010-04-30
    historical 256-char remark
    Show marketing remark (256 chars)

    Use your $8,000 tax credit to buy this spacious row home. Updated furnace, relative maintenance free. Washer/dryer main level. Partially finished basement, lots ofcharm. Seller will consider the possibility of holding the mortgage for qualified applicants.

  6. 2009-07-03
    listed $97,900 256-char remark
    Show marketing remark (256 chars)

    Use your $8,000 tax credit to buy this spacious row home. Updated furnace, relative maintenance free. Washer/dryer main level. Partially finished basement, lots ofcharm. Seller will consider the possibility of holding the mortgage for qualified applicants.

  7. 2008-10-01
    soldstatus $68,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,665 · $305/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,665 · $305/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 8% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,000
− Mortgage interest
−$8,962
− Property taxes
−$3,665
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,840
− Management
−$1,840
− Depreciation
−$4,655
Taxable income
$1,238
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$297
After-tax cash flow
$3,339/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hanover Public SD
NCES district ID
4211450
Math proficiency
34% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$45,022
Composite
37.26/100
National rank
#4457
State rank
#294 of 539 in PA

Livability — Hanover

Score
76/100
State rank
#373
US rank
#3295

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hanover, PA
County
York County · 278,806 people
City population
56,443
Metro
York-Hanover, PA
Population (ZIP)
56,443
Household income
$79,488
Rent vs Own
23.6% rent · 76.4% own
Severe rent burden
1076.0

Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
454,205 people
By 2030
457,407 · +0.7%
By 2040
457,529 · +0.7%
By 2050
448,261 · -1.3%
By 2075
427,388 · -5.9%
By 2100
384,218 · -15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Black 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · York

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.3) · D 36.9% · R 62.1%
2008→2024 swing
-11.7pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -25.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.3 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+29.3 2012: R+21.2 2008: R+13.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -128.48%
Current HPI
251.8974
Rent YoY
▲ 4.67%
Metro
York-Hanover, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+135.3% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Pending BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-05-18 Listed $160,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-04-27 Coming Soon $160,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
  • 2010-06-30 Sold (MLS) $95,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-04-30 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-07-03 Listed $97,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2008-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2026): $3,665 · +1.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…