415 Gene Reed Dr · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.74%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.7/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$114,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Opportunity awaits at 415 Gene Reed Dr in Birmingham! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers classic single-level living with plenty of potential for buyers looking to add their personal touch. Situated on a spacious lot, the property features a large front yard, covered front entry, and a convenient 1-car carport for added parking and storage. The home’s traditional layout provides a functional footprint with great possibilities for customization and updates to suit your style. Mature trees offer shade and privacy, while the generous outdoor space allows room for landscaping, entertaining, or future enhancements. Conveniently located near local schools, shopping, dining, and major roadwa
Key facts
- 1-car carport
- Large front yard
- Covered front entry
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 0.33 acres; Subdivision: Roebuck Park
- HOA & community: No association fee
Exterior
- Parking: Attached parking; One carport space
- Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Electric water heater; Internet availability unknown
- Home design: Existing (previously built) property
- Construction: Siding (other) exterior; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; No pool, patio, deck, or garden/patio; Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Laminate countertops; Electric stove
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom with tub/shower combo
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Ceilings noted as 'Other (See Remarks)'; No attic; No loft; No split level or split foyer; No special interior features listed
- Laundry & utility: Main-level laundry room; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $115k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $189 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $115k).
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, employment F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Huffman High Schoolmagnet (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 1,147 students, 72% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 334 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $794 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1956 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1956 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.07% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.04%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $115,444
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 808 Meadowbrook Dr | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 | 1,112 (-6%) | 1mo | $149,900 | $135 | 78 |
| 201 Carol Dr | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,096 (-7%) | 2mo | $154,000 | $141 | 71 |
| 328 Pat Ave | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,244 (+6%) | 1mo | $93,500 | $75 | 67 |
| 940 Meadowbrook Dr | 0.50mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,149 (-2%) | 6mo | $108,000 | $94 | 62 |
| 505 Ferndale Rd | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,215 (+3%) | 1mo | $92,500 | $76 | 62 |
| 437 Dalton Dr | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,002 (-15%) | 4mo | $103,000 | $103 | 60 |
| 321 Joan Ave | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,294 (+10%) | 2mo | $121,000 | $94 | 58 |
| 458 Gene Reed Rd | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,350 (+15%) | 8mo | $145,000 | $107 | 58 |
| 936 Parkway Dr | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,062 (-10%) | 3mo | $104,500 | $98 | 56 |
| 204 Boxwood Cir | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,252 (+6%) | 4mo | $70,000 | $56 | 55 |
| 120 Roebuck Dr | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 | 1,247 (+6%) | 8mo | $105,000 | $84 | 47 |
| 744 Rose Dr NE | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 | 1,008 (-14%) | 5mo | $135,000 | $134 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-6,532
- Equity at exit
- $17,132
- IRR
- 4.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $10,046
- Equity at exit
- $9,934
Cash invested: $32,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35215
- Home prices YoY
- -34.4%
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 334
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,230 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$603
- Tax from tax record
- −$132 /mo · $1,586/yr
- Insurance
- −$48
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$258
- Net cashflow
- $189
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,725
- Closing costs
- $3,447
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 529 Robison Dr Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $960 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 628 Annie Laura Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 844 | $1,195 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 818 Sunset Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,000 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 832 Meadowbrook Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1228 | $1,225 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 216 Sanford Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1134 | $1,200 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 201 Rose Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 972 | $1,100 | $1.13 | 16d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 912 Meadowbrook Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1178 | $1,100 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 603 Camp Ct Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,300 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 932 Five Mile Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1200 | $1,175 | $0.98 | 19d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 945 Elizabeth Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1227 | $1,125 | $0.92 | 3d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 940 Meadowbrook Dr Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1149 | $1,300 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 726 Orchard Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,095 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 736 Gene Reed Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1353 | $1,220 | $0.90 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 9228 Brookhurst Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1146 | $999 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 9844 Greenlee Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1046 | $950 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 221 Lawson Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1102 | $1,325 | $1.20 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 957 Hickory Cir Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1364 | $1,195 | $0.88 | 3d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 252 Westwood Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1124 | $1,400 | $1.25 | 2d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 204 McCormick Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $980 | $1.11 | 3d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 520 Camellia Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1053 | $1,100 | $1.04 | 3d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 208 Sam Pate Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 988 | $1,385 | $1.40 | 2d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 316 Pine St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1232 | $1,100 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 252 Meadowdale Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $995 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 209 Tucker Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1044 | $1,100 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 600 Sundale Dr Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $800 | $0.84 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1112 Violet Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1414 | $1,600 | $1.13 | 12d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 426 Buckingham Cir Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1080 | $1,013 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 241 Mamie Ln Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1242 | $1,495 | $1.20 | 3d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 848 Old Trail Rd Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 930 | $925 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 433 Orchid Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1162 | $1,255 | $1.08 | 16d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 837 Wear Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $1,295 | $1.38 | 2d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 217 Killough Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1212 | $1,200 | $0.99 | 15d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 8917 Roebuck Blvd Apt 11 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $725 | $0.82 | 16d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 120 Shawnee Ln NW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1120 | $1,075 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1108 Sherwood Forest Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1118 | $1,370 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1153 Linwood St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,295 | $1.04 | 3d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 925 Eldorado Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1312 | $1,231 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1028 Broadmoor Dr Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1079 | $1,085 | $1.01 | 3d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1225 Birchwood St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1092 | $1,175 | $1.08 | 3d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1232 Oakwood St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1301 | $1,223 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $114,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $114,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $114,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $114,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-13$114,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,586 · $132/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,586 · $132/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 74% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,756
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,436
- − Property taxes
- −$1,586
- − Insurance
- −$574
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,180
- − Management
- −$1,180
- − Depreciation
- −$3,343
- Taxable income
- $455
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$109
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,156/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 43,903
- Household income
- $52,793
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1729.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 75% White 15% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -112.97%
- Current HPI
- 215.0607
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.04%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+70.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Listed $114,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2025-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $951,400 Public Records
- 2018-10-25 Sold (Public Records) $148,000 Public Records
- 2003-10-10 Sold (Public Records) $67,250 Public Records
Property tax history
+10.6%/yrLatest (2025): $1,586 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…