125 Vicksburg Ave · Richland, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.9/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Hurry to snag this MOVE IN READY opportunity located in Richland MS before it's gone! This mobile home is 3 bed 2 bath with a nice living area, storage space, and ready for its new owners! Call your Realtor today for a showing!
Key facts
- 5,662 sq ft lot
- Built 2009
- Listed 4 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $532 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Cap rate 12.7% vs local median 5.1% in Richland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#125 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Rankin County School District (rural): math 56% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #6 of 130 in MS (top 5%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Richland Upper Elementary (math 41% / reading 35%, grade F, #133 of 375 statewide, top 35%, 503 students, 99% FRL); Richland High School (math 37% / reading 34%, grade F, #66 of 197 statewide, top 34%, 807 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 35% district-wide (65 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 37% at this address vs 52% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Rankin County School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 343 units permitted in Rankin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rankin County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 23.03%
- DSCR
- 2.02
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $115,520
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112 Canton Ave | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (+7%) | 18mo | $75,000 | $58 | 65 |
| 171 Tazan Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (-1%) | 10mo | $75,000 | $63 | 56 |
| 223 Southgate Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,064 (-12%) | 1mo | $115,900 | $109 | 53 |
| 404 Southgate Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,364 (+12%) | 5mo | $130,000 | $95 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.64×
- Total profit
- $17,792
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 24.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.13×
- Total profit
- $58,945
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39218
- Home prices YoY
- -17.8%
- Active inventory
- 36
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,410 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$21 /mo · $256/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$296
- Net cashflow
- $532
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $588 | -5% $560 | +0% $532 | +5% $504 | +10% $476 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $421 | -5% $476 | +0% $532 | +5% $588 | +10% $643 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $582 | -0.5pp $557 | base $532 | +0.5pp $506 | +1.0pp $480 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 103 Wedgewood Cir Richland, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,395 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 132 Southridge Rd Richland, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,395 | $1.37 | 15d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 129 Southridge Rd Richland, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1020 | $1,395 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 260 Lowe Cir Richland, MS | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1030 | $1,500 | $1.46 | 15d | 1 | 1.26mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-13status Pending
-
2026-04-09$99,000 Active
-
2022-05-31soldstatus
-
2007-07-23soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $256 · $21/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $782 · $65/mo
- Expected delta
- +$526/yr (+$44/mo · 205.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,916
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$256
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,353
- − Management
- −$1,353
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $5,033
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,208
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,175/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rankin County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2803830
- Math proficiency
- 56% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,867
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2587
- State rank
- #6 of 130 in MS
Livability — Richland
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #125
- US rank
- #13704
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Richland, MS
- City population
- 6,786
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,786
Population outlook (Rankin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 164,317 people
- By 2030
- 171,013 · +4.1%
- By 2040
- 182,723 · +11.2%
- By 2050
- 192,376 · +17.1%
- By 2075
- 209,535 · +27.5%
- By 2100
- 209,534 · +27.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (70%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 70% Black 18% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Serbian 2% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Rankin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.1) · D 25.9% · R 73.0% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.4pp toward D · 2008: -53.5pp · 2024: -47.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.1 2020: R+45.4 2016: R+52.9 2012: R+51.9 2008: R+53.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -42.37%
- Current HPI
- 196.2686
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-04-09 Listed $99,000 MLSU
- 2022-05-31 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2007-07-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $256 · -24.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…