4849 Carbondale Dr · Columbus, OH
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.69%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +12.6/30.0
- ARV discount +11.2/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.8/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$210,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
3 BR split level home with attached garage plus covered carport. Large 1/4 acre lot. Huge family room. Newer windows, roof and hot water tank. Great price. .. cheaper than rent! Some no or low down payment options available.
Key facts
- 8,712 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1963
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: $2,899 annual taxes (2024)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Three levels; Built in 1963; No common walls
- Construction: Block foundation; Built in 1963
- Exterior features: Block foundation; Lot approximately 0.2 acre
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Interior features: Basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-27 ($-325/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $205k (2.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $178k (15.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $178k (15.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 3.8% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#97 in OH, #1,491 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Columbus City School District (urban): math 15% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #626 of 656 in OH (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Indianola Informal K-8 School (math 43% / reading 58%, grade D+, #896 of 1,584 statewide, top 57%, 684 students, 0% FRL); Arts Impact Middle School (Aims) (math 17% / reading 25%, grade F, #608 of 654 statewide, top 93%, 532 students, 0% FRL); Columbus Alternative High School (math 27% / reading 74%, grade D+, #380 of 781 statewide, top 49%, 758 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 72% district-wide (72 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 41% at this address vs 20% district-wide (+20 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Columbus City School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.4%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 8,139 units permitted in Franklin County in 2024 (5,940 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($51k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Franklin County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($207k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $175k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1963 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.55%
- DSCR
- 0.98
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $229,035
- List price
- $210,000
- Delta
- -8.31%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2446 Daily Rd | 0.19mi | 3/1.5 | 1,336 (0%) | 1mo | $257,000 | $192 | 88 |
| 2615 Carbondale Pl | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,336 (0%) | 4mo | $192,900 | $144 | 87 |
| 5115 Jameson Dr | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,336 (0%) | 1mo | $228,000 | $171 | 76 |
| 4915 Kresge Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.5 | 1,248 (-7%) | 1mo | $240,000 | $192 | 76 |
| 2908 Renfro Rd | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 1,352 (+1%) | 2mo | $247,000 | $183 | 72 |
| 5114 Carbondale Dr | 0.40mi | 3/1.5 | 1,410 (+6%) | 0mo | $165,000 | $117 | 70 |
| 2627 Hubbell Rd | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,410 (+6%) | 2mo | $240,000 | $170 | 63 |
| 2742 Denmark Rd | 0.53mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,428 (+7%) | 1mo | $275,000 | $193 | 56 |
| 5144 Botsford Dr | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,410 (+6%) | 2mo | $270,000 | $191 | 56 |
| 5123 Jameson Dr | 0.44mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,476 (+10%) | 3mo | $237,900 | $161 | 52 |
| 2608 Hubbell Rd | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,459 (+9%) | 3mo | $247,000 | $169 | 48 |
| 5278 Glenbriar Ct | 0.68mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,403 (+5%) | 4mo | $272,500 | $194 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.36% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-36,874
- Equity at exit
- $31,312
- IRR
- -11.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.34×
- Total profit
- $-38,876
- Equity at exit
- $18,157
Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43232
- Rents YoY
- 2.4%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,776 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,101
- Tax from tax record
- −$242 /mo · $2,899/yr
- Insurance
- −$88
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$373
- Net cashflow
- $-27
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $92 | -5% $32 | +0% $-27 | +5% $-86 | +10% $-146 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-167 | -5% $-97 | +0% $-27 | +5% $43 | +10% $113 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $79 | -0.5pp $26 | base $-27 | +0.5pp $-81 | +1.0pp $-137 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $52,500
- Closing costs
- $6,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2564 Maybury Rd Columbus, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1185 | $1,900 | $1.60 | 5d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2564 Maybury Rd Columbus, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1185 | $1,900 | $1.60 | 18d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 2258 Majestic Dr W Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1396 | $1,885 | $1.35 | 45d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 2705 Denmark Rd Columbus, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1504 | $2,199 | $1.46 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 5240 Carbondale Dr Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1239 | $2,000 | $1.61 | 45d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 2710 Moundcrest St Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1316 | $1,885 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 5293 Tuxworth Dr Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1164 | $1,935 | $1.66 | 45d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2859 Falcon Bridge Dr Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1350 | $1,900 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 2038 Noe Bixby Rd Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,365 | $1.36 | 4d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 5125 Cedar Dr Columbus, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 772 | $1,110 | $1.44 | 9d | 4 | 0.85mi |
| 3003 Falcon Bridge Dr Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1350 | $1,801 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3290 Beagle Blvd Columbus, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1787 | $2,300 | $1.29 | 3d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1843 Fleming Rd Unit 1 Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,595 | $1.59 | 25d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2680 Silver Oak Dr Columbus, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 965 | $1,549 | $1.60 | 3d | 21 | 1.24mi |
| 5623-5625 Chatford Dr Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1010 | $1,085 | $1.07 | 19d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 5623-5625 Chatford Dr Unit 5623 Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1010 | $1,085 | $1.07 | 19d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1660 Huxley Dr Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1248 | $1,695 | $1.36 | 9d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 1699 Lonsdale Rd Unit 1707 Columbus, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1038 | $995 | $0.96 | 25d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 5399 Inlet Dr Unit 1 Columbus, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,850 | $1.37 | 45d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 4728 E Livingston Ave Columbus, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1638 | $1,935 | $1.18 | 45d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 5106 Harbor Blvd Columbus, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,600 | $1.71 | 16d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 5400 Cove Ave Columbus, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,450 | $1.59 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-05-16status Pending 342-char remark
-
2026-04-27$210,000 Active 342-char remark
-
2023-12-16soldstatus $175,000 Closed
-
2023-12-15soldstatus $175,000
-
2023-11-14status Pending
-
2023-11-09price $180,000
-
2023-10-31price $190,000
-
2023-10-14$200,000 Active
-
2016-05-23soldstatus $76,000
-
2016-05-13soldstatus $76,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (224 chars)
3 BR split level home with attached garage plus covered carport. Large 1/4 acre lot. Huge family room. Newer windows, roof and hot water tank. Great price. .. cheaper than rent! Some no or low down payment options available.
-
2016-04-05historical Contingent Finance and Inspection
Show marketing remark (224 chars)
3 BR split level home with attached garage plus covered carport. Large 1/4 acre lot. Huge family room. Newer windows, roof and hot water tank. Great price. .. cheaper than rent! Some no or low down payment options available.
-
2016-03-01$79,900 Active
Show marketing remark (224 chars)
3 BR split level home with attached garage plus covered carport. Large 1/4 acre lot. Huge family room. Newer windows, roof and hot water tank. Great price. .. cheaper than rent! Some no or low down payment options available.
-
2008-07-29historical
-
2008-06-09$99,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,899 · $242/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,088 · $257/mo
- Expected delta
- +$188/yr (+$16/mo · 6.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,316
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,763
- − Property taxes
- −$2,899
- − Insurance
- −$1,050
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,705
- − Management
- −$1,705
- − Depreciation
- −$6,109
- Taxable loss
- −$3,916
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$940
- After-tax cash flow
- $615/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Columbus City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3904380
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,483
- Composite
- 17.19/100
- National rank
- #9105
- State rank
- #626 of 656 in OH
Livability — Columbus
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #97
- US rank
- #1491
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbus, OH
- County
- Franklin County · 1,351,780 people
- City population
- 612,189
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,364
- Household income
- $51,417
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2584.0
Population outlook (Franklin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,456,139 people
- By 2030
- 1,556,890 · +6.9%
- By 2040
- 1,757,349 · +20.7%
- By 2050
- 1,950,539 · +34.0%
- By 2075
- 2,376,171 · +63.2%
- By 2100
- 2,636,796 · +81.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 58% White 26% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Swiss 1% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Franklin
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+28.4) · D 63.7% · R 35.3% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.7pp toward D · 2008: 20.7pp · 2024: 28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+28.4 2020: D+31.4 2016: D+25.9 2012: D+21.7 2008: D+20.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -203.49%
- Current HPI
- 249.3708
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.36%
- Metro
- Columbus, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+110.2% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-16 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2026-04-27 Listed $210,000 CBRMLS
- 2023-12-16 Sold (MLS) $175,000 CBRMLS
- 2023-12-15 Sold (Public Records) $175,000 Public Records
- 2023-11-14 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2023-11-09 Price Changed $180,000 CBRMLS
- 2023-10-31 Price Changed $190,000 CBRMLS
- 2023-10-14 Listed $200,000 CBRMLS
- 2016-05-23 Sold (Public Records) $76,000 Public Records
- 2016-05-13 Sold (MLS) $76,000 CBRMLS
- 2016-04-05 Contingent — CBRMLS
- 2016-03-01 Listed $79,900 CBRMLS
- 2008-07-29 Listing Removed — CBRMLS
- 2008-06-09 Listed $99,900 CBRMLS
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2024): $2,899 · +9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…