100 S Westwood St #17 · Porterville, CA
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 33 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 37 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Located in the sought-after 55+ Westwood community in west Porterville! Quiet, gated community & mobile park with amenities like use of pool, clubhouse, billiards, library, pickleball, court, Bocce ball, fire-pit and BBQ area. This 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom residence offers 1,200 sq. ft. of comfortable living space. Step inside & enjoy your spacious kitchen with an abundance of storage. The low maintenance front & backyard feature artificial turf + concrete for easy care! Additional storage is available with an extra storage shed! Other modern upgrades include fresh paint inside & out, solar screens on all windows & door, newer AC, water heater, and kitchen appl
Key facts
- Gated community
- Community amenities
- Swimming pool
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $691 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
- Cap rate 17.4% vs local median 2.7% in Porterville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#561 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A, commute A-; Watch: crime C-, cost of living D+, schools F.
- Burton Elementary (urban): math 31% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #805 of 1,400 in CA (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 320 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 1,447 units permitted in Tulare County in 2024 (307 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Tulare County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask is 9% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.94% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 39.51%
- DSCR
- 2.76
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.07% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.59×
- Total profit
- $33,462
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 44.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.40×
- Total profit
- $92,449
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 93257
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 320
- Price-to-rent
- 4.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,458 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $432/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$306
- Net cashflow
- $691
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $734 | -5% $713 | +0% $691 | +5% $670 | +10% $649 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $576 | -5% $634 | +0% $691 | +5% $749 | +10% $807 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $729 | -0.5pp $711 | base $691 | +0.5pp $672 | +1.0pp $652 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1776 W Olive Ave Apt 8 Porterville, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 710 | $1,150 | $1.62 | 14d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1711 W Henderson Ave Porterville, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 889 | $1,700 | $1.91 | 14d | 1 | 1.27mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-06-19pricestatusdays on market $75,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-04-30status Pending
-
2026-03-12historical
-
2026-02-05$69,000 Active
-
2025-10-10price $69,000
-
2025-07-10price $72,000
-
2025-06-04price $77,568
-
2025-04-03price $79,000
-
2024-04-10price $125,000
-
2024-04-10$25,000 Active
-
2021-08-09soldstatus $83,000
-
2015-10-26soldstatus $55,750
-
2015-05-14$59,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $432 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $570 · $48/mo
- Expected delta
- +$138/yr (+$11/mo · 31.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 33 unhealthy d/yr today · 37 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,500
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$432
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,400
- − Management
- −$1,400
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $7,510
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,802
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,496/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Burton Elementary
- NCES district ID
- 0606570
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▲ 4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $57,171
- Composite
- 34.83/100
- National rank
- #10012
- State rank
- #805 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Porterville
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #561
- US rank
- #18537
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Porterville, CA
- County
- Tulare County · 323,826 people
- City population
- 80,467
- Metro
- Visalia, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 80,467
- Household income
- $59,704
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3028.0
Population outlook (Tulare County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 484,681 people
- By 2030
- 496,241 · +2.4%
- By 2040
- 518,507 · +7.0%
- By 2050
- 534,920 · +10.4%
- By 2075
- 548,417 · +13.2%
- By 2100
- 513,085 · +5.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 72% Two or more races 23% White 21% Native American 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 69%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 45% English-only · Spanish 52% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Arabic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tulare
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.7) · D 38.5% · R 59.2% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.4pp toward R · 2008: -15.3pp · 2024: -20.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.7 2020: R+7.8 2016: R+12.1 2012: R+17.8 2008: R+15.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -375.52%
- Current HPI
- 362.656
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.07%
- Metro
- Visalia, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+16.9% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Pending — TCMLS
- 2026-03-12 Delisted — TCMLS
- 2026-02-05 Listed $69,000 TCMLS
- 2025-10-10 Price Changed $69,000 TCMLS
- 2025-07-10 Price Changed $72,000 TCMLS
- 2025-06-04 Price Changed $77,568 TCMLS
- 2025-04-03 Price Changed $79,000 TCMLS
- 2024-04-10 Price Changed $125,000 TCMLS
- 2024-04-10 Listed $25,000 TCMLS
- 2021-08-09 Sold (MLS) $83,000 TCMLS
- 2015-10-26 Sold (MLS) $55,750 TCMLS
- 2015-05-14 Listed $59,000 TCMLS
Property tax history
-6.5%/yrLatest (2021): $432 · -0.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…