13601 387th Ave #2 · Aberdeen, SD 57401

$44,600

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 896 sqft · Manufactured · 17 Days on market

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Livability +4.0/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Key facts

• Listed 16 days

Property features AI

Finance

• HOA & community: Homeowners association present

Exterior

• Utilities: Public sewer (connected)
• Home design: Manufactured home; Single level (one story); Residential property
• Construction: Manufactured construction
• Exterior features: Composition roof; Lot is rented

Interior

• Heating & cooling: Central air; Forced air (electric)
• Interior features: Electric water heater; Central air conditioning; Forced air electric heating; Total of 6 rooms

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $45k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $107 ($1k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
• Recommended offer: $44k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 20.6% vs local median 2.9% in Aberdeen — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 81/100 on livability (#7 in SD, #1,411 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F.
• Aberdeen School District 06-1 (town): math 45% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #33 of 59 in SD (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 174 active listings in the ZIP; 86 units permitted in Brown County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $308 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Brown County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($44k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
• Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $43,931 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.39% ✓
• Cap rate: 20.65%
• Cash-on-cash: 51.27%
• DSCR: 3.28
• GRM: 3.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -0.3%
• Equity multiple: 0.99×
• Total profit: $-137
• Equity at exit: $6,650

10-year hold

• IRR: 9.9%
• Equity multiple: 1.78×
• Total profit: $9,783
• Equity at exit: $3,856

Cash invested: $12,488 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State South Dakota: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; mostly landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 57401

• Active inventory: 174
• Price-to-rent: 3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,065 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$234
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$56 /mo · $669/yr
• Insurance: −$19
• Flood insurance flood zone: −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$224
• Net cashflow: $107

Break-even live

Break-even rent $930

Max offer price $44,600

Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $138	-5% $122	+0% $107	+5% $92	+10% $76
Rent	-10% $23	-5% $65	+0% $107	+5% $149	+10% $191
Rate	-1.0pp $129	-0.5pp $118	base $107	+0.5pp $95	+1.0pp $84

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $11,150
• Closing costs: $1,338
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 12 events

1. 2026-06-19
   days on market $44,600 Active 17 DOM
2. 2026-06-18
   days on market $44,600 Active 16 DOM
3. 2026-06-17
   days on market $44,600 Active 15 DOM
4. 2026-06-16
   days on market $44,600 Active 14 DOM
5. 2026-06-15
   days on market $44,600 Active 13 DOM
6. 2026-06-14
   days on market $44,600 Active 11 DOM
7. 2026-06-12
   days on market $44,600 Active 10 DOM
8. 2026-06-09
   days on market $44,600 Active 7 DOM
9. 2026-06-08
   days on market $44,600 Active 6 DOM
10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $44,600 Active 5 DOM
11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $44,600 Active 2 DOM
12. 2026-06-03
    listed $44,600 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone AE · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $12,786
• − Mortgage interest: −$2,498
• − Property taxes: −$669
• − Insurance: −$5,342
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,023
• − Management: −$1,023
• − Depreciation: −$1,297
• Taxable income: $934
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$224
• After-tax cash flow: $1,059/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Aberdeen School District 06-1
• NCES district ID: 4602070
• Math proficiency: 45% ▼ -5.00%
• Reading proficiency: 54% ▼ -4.00%
• Median HH income: $49,230
• Composite: 42.27/100
• National rank: #3273
• State rank: #33 of 59 in SD

Livability — Aberdeen

• Score: 81/100
• State rank: #7
• US rank: #1411

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• County: Brown County · 31,939 people
• City population: 31,939
• Metro: Aberdeen, SD
• Population (ZIP): 31,939
• Household income: $68,835
• Rent vs Own: 35.3% rent · 64.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 1220.0

Population outlook (Brown County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 43,830 people
• By 2030: 46,663 · +6.5%
• By 2040: 52,852 · +20.6%
• By 2050: 59,898 · +36.7%
• By 2075: 82,750 · +88.8%
• By 2100: 112,639 · +157.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (83%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 83% Two or more races 6% Native American 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 12% Scotch-Irish 3% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada, South Korea, Philippines
• Languages at home: 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Brown

• 2024 margin: Strong R (+26.8) · D 35.6% · R 62.5% · Other 1.9%
• 2008→2024 swing: -32.4pp toward R · 2008: 5.6pp · 2024: -26.8pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+26.8 2020: R+23.0 2016: R+25.8 2012: R+6.7 2008: D+5.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -224.77%
• Current HPI: 185.713
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Aberdeen, SD
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 0.70%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SD)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Utilities	1	$1B

Price history

1 event — show timeline

• 2026-06-02 Listed $44,600 ABOR

Property tax history

-0.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $30 · -2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.