21414 Ridgeview Dr · Lost Bridge Village, AR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,499 – $2,785
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +14.4/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.8/10.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$275,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Tucked atop a scenic ridge in Lost Bridge Village, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home offers an opportunity to re--imagine a truly one-of-a-kind property. Set on a compact, yet desirable home site with incredible view potential, this 1,216 sq ft single-level ranch features a 2-car attached garage and a setting that invites creativity and vision. Originally constructed as a log cabin, the home has been uniquely expanded with a fully enclosed, framed exterior structure. .. creating a distinctive layered design, and a relaxing sun room that spans across the back of the house. This encapsulated layout offers a blank canvas for those looking to restore, renovate, or completely transform the space into
Key facts
- Relaxing sun room
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Part of Lost Bridge Village Community Association; Association fee $160 annually; Association management included; Community amenities: clubhouse, playground, recreation area, tennis courts, pool
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage with garage door opener; 2 covered parking spaces
- Utilities: Electricity available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Residential zoning; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Asphalt shingle roof; Construction details: see remarks; Built with crawlspace foundation
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Concrete driveway; Storage structure; Community pool; Hot tub/Spa (on-site); Beaver Lake view; Level lot; Located on a cul-de-sac; Outside city limits; Part of a subdivision; Paved public road frontage; Scenic views
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Refrigerator; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Bedrooms located on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (heat pump); Central electric cooling
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Hot tub/Spa; Wood burning stove; Living room fireplace (wood burning)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $275k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($25k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $275k).
- Recommended offer: $267k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 4.6% in Lost Bridge Village — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#348 in AR) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, crime B+, employment B; Watch: cost of living C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Rogers School District (urban): math 45% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #31 of 238 in AR (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 130 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,359 units permitted in Benton County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $23k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $21k appreciation (7.6% local appreciation)).
- Benton County population projected at +56% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (7.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $77k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($267k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $275k implies a 358% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.73% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.81%
- DSCR
- 2.46
- GRM
- 4.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $324,672
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21293 Ridgeview Dr | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,395 (+15%) | 21mo | $400,000 | $287 | 44 |
| 11823 Dogwood Dr | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 1,346 (+11%) | 20mo | $293,000 | $218 | 38 |
| 21271 Maple Dr | 0.74mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,368 (+12%) | 9mo | $365,000 | $267 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.61% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 45.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.12×
- Total profit
- $240,423
- Equity at exit
- $201,624
- IRR
- 41.4%
- Equity multiple
- 8.76×
- Total profit
- $597,699
- Equity at exit
- $393,452
Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Arkansas
- 92 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 72732
- Home prices YoY
- 2.1%
- Active inventory
- 130
- Price-to-rent
- 4.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,755 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,442
- Tax from tax record
- −$82 /mo · $982/yr
- Insurance
- −$115
- HOA
- −$13
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$999
- Net cashflow
- $2,105
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,261 | -5% $2,183 | +0% $2,105 | +5% $2,027 | +10% $1,950 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,730 | -5% $1,917 | +0% $2,105 | +5% $2,293 | +10% $2,481 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,244 | -0.5pp $2,175 | base $2,105 | +0.5pp $2,034 | +1.0pp $1,961 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $68,750
- Closing costs
- $8,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11889 White Oak Dr Unit 1221899P Garfield, AR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $5,605 | $4.38 | 45d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 10800 Red Bluff Rd Garfield, AR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,250 | $1.50 | 24d | 1 | 1.13mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $13 · $156/yr
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-05status $275,000 Pending 56 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $275,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $275,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $275,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $275,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $275,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-04-08$275,000 Active
-
1994-01-05soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $982 · $82/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,760 · $147/mo
- Expected delta
- +$778/yr (+$65/mo · 79.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $57,065
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,404
- − Property taxes
- −$982
- − Insurance
- −$1,375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,565
- − Management
- −$4,565
- − HOA
- −$156
- − Depreciation
- −$8,000
- Taxable income
- $22,017
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$5,284
- After-tax cash flow
- $19,979/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rogers School District
- NCES district ID
- 0511970
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,712
- Composite
- 38.81/100
- National rank
- #4113
- State rank
- #31 of 238 in AR
Livability — Lost Bridge Village
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #348
- US rank
- #21912
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lost Bridge Village, AR
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,493
Population outlook (Benton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 318,683 people
- By 2030
- 353,481 · +10.9%
- By 2040
- 425,280 · +33.4%
- By 2050
- 497,239 · +56.0%
- By 2075
- 662,114 · +107.8%
- By 2100
- 776,431 · +143.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Two or more races 27% Hispanic / Latino 11% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Danish 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Benton
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+27.0) · D 35.2% · R 62.1% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: -36.5pp · 2024: -27.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+27.0 2020: R+26.4 2016: R+34.9 2012: R+40.4 2008: R+36.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.61%
- Current HPI
- 368.3932
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.80%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Retail | 1 | $681B |
|
||
| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $53B |
|
||
| Retail / Energy | 1 | $22B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Energy | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+358.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Listed $275,000 NWARMLS
- 1994-01-05 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.3%/yrLatest (2025): $982 · -8.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…