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3850 ATLANTIC Ave #165
B Composite 71.5
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.7/15.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,000

3850 ATLANTIC Ave #165 · San Bernardino, CA 92346
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,440 sqft · Manufactured public records · 50 Days on market
Built 1978 $97/sqft · at area comps Est $146k · at est. ↓ 4% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

YES, THIS IS IT!! A beautifully upgraded "Country Charmer" is ready for her new owner! Located in the highly sought after 55+ Valencia Lea community in Highland! This 1978 Royal encompasses 1,440 sq. ft. and includes 2 beds & 2 bathrooms. Generous sized primary bedroom with XL closet with organizational shelving. Has Modern light fixtures and fans. * COMPLETELY REMODELED KITCHEN WITH MODERN FOOTPRINT * UPGRADED WINDOWS * 5 YEAR OLD ROOF * NEWER VINYL FLOORING * UPDATED ELECTRICAL AND PLUMBING * NEW HVAC INSTALLED IN DECEMBER 25' * Park has incredible amenities, pool, 2 jacuzzis, Gazebo, 2 clubhouses, weekly activities, gym, library, billiard, Redwood tree walking path

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Community pool
  • Built 1978

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot features: 0-1 unit per acre; Elevation measured in feet
  • Financial info: Land lease of $1,035 per month (seller provided); Rent includes trash and water
  • HOA & community: Senior community; Park and community pool; Located in VALENCIA LEA park

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 parking spaces; 2 carport spaces
  • Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
  • Home design: Single-story mobile home (24' x 60'); Mobile home remains on site
  • Construction: Year built per assessor; One story
  • Exterior features: Community pool; Park in the community; One shed on the property; East-facing

Interior

  • Kitchen: Quartz counters
  • Bedrooms: All bedrooms on ground/main level
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (furnace); Central cooling
  • Interior features: Quartz counters; Built-in storage; Storage space; Double-pane windows; Single-level home with main entry on the main level
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside the home

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
  • Recommended offer: $135k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.9% vs local median 3.5% in San Bernardino — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#661 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, housing A; Watch: schools D, employment D, crime F.
  • San Bernardino City Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #959 of 1,400 in CA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 147 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 4→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $134,830 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.79%
Cap rate
14.92%
Cash-on-cash
30.82%
DSCR
2.37
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$146,304
List price
$139,000
Delta
-4.99%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3850 Atlantic Ave #276 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 0mo $102,500 $71 100
3850 Atlantic Ave #207 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,428 (-1%) 1mo $208,000 $146 98
3850 Atlantic Ave #287 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 2mo $200,000 $139 98
3850 E Atlantic Ave #284 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 3mo $159,900 $111 98
3850 Atlantic Ave #212 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 1mo $145,000 $101 95
3850 Atlantic #260 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,440 (0%) 2mo $85,000 $59 94
3850 Atlantic Ave #189 0.00mi 2/2.0 1,344 (-7%) 2mo $90,000 $67 87
3850 Atlantic Ave #274 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,344 (-7%) 5mo $133,000 $99 81
3850 Atlantic Ave #151 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,600 (+11%) 1mo $90,000 $56 77
4040 Piedmont Dr #283 0.68mi 2/2.0 1,560 (+8%) 1mo $144,500 $93 54
4040 E Piedmont Dr #300 0.68mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,536 (+7%) 0mo $120,000 $78 52
4040 Piedmont Dr #324 0.68mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,646 (+14%) 2mo $225,400 $137 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.91% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.5%
Equity multiple
2.05×
Total profit
$40,950
Equity at exit
$20,725
10-year hold
IRR
33.1%
Equity multiple
4.00×
Total profit
$116,866
Equity at exit
$12,018

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92346

Rents YoY
2.9%
Active inventory
147
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,481 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax est. 1.5%
$174 /mo · $2,085/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$521
Net cashflow
$1,000

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,216
Max offer price $139,000
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3532 Rainbow Ln Highland, CA 2.0 1.0 882 $2,100 $2.38 1d 1 0.43mi
6787 Cole Ave Highland, CA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1005 $2,125 $2.11 1d 1 0.45mi
3495 21st St Unit B Highland, CA 2.0 2.0 1000 $2,000 $2.00 43d 1 0.47mi
3479 20th St Highland, CA 2.0 1.0 882 $1,995 $2.26 43d 1 0.48mi
2223 N Oakridge Ct Highland, CA 3.0 2.5 1600 $4,300 $2.69 43d 1 0.50mi
3317 Highland Ave Highland, CA 3.0 2.0 1250 $2,000 $1.60 24d 1 0.69mi
1991 Central Ave Highland, CA 2.0 3.0 1312 $2,500 $1.91 43d 1 0.82mi
26814 Mansfield St Highland, CA 3.0 1.0 1275 $2,850 $2.24 43d 1 1.04mi
7257 Wakefield Ct Highland, CA 3.0 2.0 1183 $2,395 $2.02 24d 1 1.21mi
7219 Seville Ave Highland, CA 3.0 2.0 1843 $3,000 $1.63 43d 1 1.24mi
7219 Seville Ave Highland, CA 3.0 2.0 1843 $3,000 $1.63 24d 1 1.24mi
27531 Temple St Highland, CA 3.0 2.0 1144 $2,650 $2.32 10d 1 1.25mi

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,000 Active 50 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,000 Active 49 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,000 Active 48 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,000 Active 47 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,000 Active 45 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,000 Active 41 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,000 Active 40 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,000 Active 39 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $139,000 Active 36 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,000 Active 35 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,000 Active 34 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,000 Active 33 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,000 Active 32 DOM
  14. 2026-04-29
    listed $145,000 Active 1094-char remark
  15. 2026-04-27
    historical $145,000 1094-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 8/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 4 d/yr ≥101°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 10/10 Extreme 29 unhealthy d/yr today · 35 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,774
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$2,085
− Insurance
−$695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,382
− Management
−$2,382
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable income
$10,401
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,496
After-tax cash flow
$9,498/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Bernardino City Unified
NCES district ID
0634170
Math proficiency
27% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$39,758
Composite
30.8/100
National rank
#11385
State rank
#959 of 1400 in CA

Livability — San Bernardino

Score
59/100
State rank
#661
US rank
#20479

Category grades

Amenities B- Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment D Housing A Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Bernardino, CA
County
San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
City population
255,614
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
Population (ZIP)
56,179
Household income
$85,163
Rent vs Own
32.9% rent · 67.1% own
Severe rent burden
1816.0

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,300,329 people
By 2030
2,378,907 · +3.4%
By 2040
2,523,137 · +9.7%
By 2050
2,642,388 · +14.9%
By 2075
2,880,769 · +25.2%
By 2100
2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 53% White 26% Two or more races 14% Black 8% Asian 8% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 46%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
19% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
Languages at home
60% English-only · Spanish 32% Vietnamese 2% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -328.00%
Current HPI
367.2829
Rent YoY
▲ 2.91%
Metro
Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-4.1% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-27 Price Changed $139,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $145,000 CRMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Coming Soon $145,000 CRMLS

Property tax history

-17.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $11 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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