3850 ATLANTIC Ave #165 · San Bernardino, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 4 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 29 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 35 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +9.7/15.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
YES, THIS IS IT!! A beautifully upgraded "Country Charmer" is ready for her new owner! Located in the highly sought after 55+ Valencia Lea community in Highland! This 1978 Royal encompasses 1,440 sq. ft. and includes 2 beds & 2 bathrooms. Generous sized primary bedroom with XL closet with organizational shelving. Has Modern light fixtures and fans. * COMPLETELY REMODELED KITCHEN WITH MODERN FOOTPRINT * UPGRADED WINDOWS * 5 YEAR OLD ROOF * NEWER VINYL FLOORING * UPDATED ELECTRICAL AND PLUMBING * NEW HVAC INSTALLED IN DECEMBER 25' * Park has incredible amenities, pool, 2 jacuzzis, Gazebo, 2 clubhouses, weekly activities, gym, library, billiard, Redwood tree walking path
Key facts
- 2 parking spots
- Community pool
- Built 1978
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot features: 0-1 unit per acre; Elevation measured in feet
- Financial info: Land lease of $1,035 per month (seller provided); Rent includes trash and water
- HOA & community: Senior community; Park and community pool; Located in VALENCIA LEA park
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces; 2 carport spaces
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/public water
- Home design: Single-story mobile home (24' x 60'); Mobile home remains on site
- Construction: Year built per assessor; One story
- Exterior features: Community pool; Park in the community; One shed on the property; East-facing
Interior
- Kitchen: Quartz counters
- Bedrooms: All bedrooms on ground/main level
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (furnace); Central cooling
- Interior features: Quartz counters; Built-in storage; Storage space; Double-pane windows; Single-level home with main entry on the main level
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside the home
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $139k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
- Recommended offer: $135k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.9% vs local median 3.5% in San Bernardino — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#661 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: commute A+, housing A; Watch: schools D, employment D, crime F.
- San Bernardino City Unified (urban): math 27% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #959 of 1,400 in CA (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.9%/yr); 147 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($85k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.9% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 4→13/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 30.82%
- DSCR
- 2.37
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $146,304
- List price
- $139,000
- Delta
- -4.99%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3850 Atlantic Ave #276 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 0mo | $102,500 | $71 | 100 |
| 3850 Atlantic Ave #207 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,428 (-1%) | 1mo | $208,000 | $146 | 98 |
| 3850 Atlantic Ave #287 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $139 | 98 |
| 3850 E Atlantic Ave #284 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 3mo | $159,900 | $111 | 98 |
| 3850 Atlantic Ave #212 | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $101 | 95 |
| 3850 Atlantic #260 | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,440 (0%) | 2mo | $85,000 | $59 | 94 |
| 3850 Atlantic Ave #189 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-7%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $67 | 87 |
| 3850 Atlantic Ave #274 | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (-7%) | 5mo | $133,000 | $99 | 81 |
| 3850 Atlantic Ave #151 | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,600 (+11%) | 1mo | $90,000 | $56 | 77 |
| 4040 Piedmont Dr #283 | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 | 1,560 (+8%) | 1mo | $144,500 | $93 | 54 |
| 4040 E Piedmont Dr #300 | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,536 (+7%) | 0mo | $120,000 | $78 | 52 |
| 4040 Piedmont Dr #324 | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,646 (+14%) | 2mo | $225,400 | $137 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.91% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 25.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.05×
- Total profit
- $40,950
- Equity at exit
- $20,725
- IRR
- 33.1%
- Equity multiple
- 4.00×
- Total profit
- $116,866
- Equity at exit
- $12,018
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92346
- Rents YoY
- 2.9%
- Active inventory
- 147
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,481 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$174 /mo · $2,085/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$521
- Net cashflow
- $1,000
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3532 Rainbow Ln Highland, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $2,100 | $2.38 | 1d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 6787 Cole Ave Highland, CA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1005 | $2,125 | $2.11 | 1d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 3495 21st St Unit B Highland, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $2,000 | $2.00 | 43d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 3479 20th St Highland, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $1,995 | $2.26 | 43d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 2223 N Oakridge Ct Highland, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $4,300 | $2.69 | 43d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 3317 Highland Ave Highland, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,000 | $1.60 | 24d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 1991 Central Ave Highland, CA | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1312 | $2,500 | $1.91 | 43d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 26814 Mansfield St Highland, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1275 | $2,850 | $2.24 | 43d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 7257 Wakefield Ct Highland, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1183 | $2,395 | $2.02 | 24d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 7219 Seville Ave Highland, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1843 | $3,000 | $1.63 | 43d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 7219 Seville Ave Highland, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1843 | $3,000 | $1.63 | 24d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 27531 Temple St Highland, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1144 | $2,650 | $2.32 | 10d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $139,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $139,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $139,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $139,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $139,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $139,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-04-29$145,000 Active 1094-char remark
-
2026-04-27historical $145,000 1094-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 8/10 Severe 4 d/yr ≥101°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 29 unhealthy d/yr today · 35 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,774
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$2,085
- − Insurance
- −$695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,382
- − Management
- −$2,382
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable income
- $10,401
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,496
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,498/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Bernardino City Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0634170
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,758
- Composite
- 30.8/100
- National rank
- #11385
- State rank
- #959 of 1400 in CA
Livability — San Bernardino
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #661
- US rank
- #20479
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Bernardino, CA
- County
- San Bernardino County · 2,030,291 people
- City population
- 255,614
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 56,179
- Household income
- $85,163
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1816.0
Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,300,329 people
- By 2030
- 2,378,907 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 2,523,137 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 2,642,388 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 2,880,769 · +25.2%
- By 2100
- 2,909,436 · +26.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 53% White 26% Two or more races 14% Black 8% Asian 8% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 46%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Vietnam, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 60% English-only · Spanish 32% Vietnamese 2% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -328.00%
- Current HPI
- 367.2829
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.91%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
-4.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Price Changed $139,000 CRMLS
- 2026-04-29 Listed $145,000 CRMLS
- 2026-04-27 Coming Soon $145,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
-17.2%/yrLatest (2025): $11 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…