1097 Wayne 459 · Piedmont, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 3.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +3.8/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Completely remodeled and move in ready! Cute and comfortable mobile home sitting on a level, wooded, corner lot. Open floor plan, living room, kitchen and dining room, split floor plan, 2 bedrooms and one bath. Front and back decks for entertaining or just sitting and relaxing. Nice starter home or weekend getaway. Black River Retreat gives you access to community boat launch and swimming.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Front and back decks
- 0.46 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Electricity connected (single phase); Sewer connected; Water connected
- Home design: Residential mobile home; Single-story (one level); Private ownership
- Construction: Metal siding
- Exterior features: Back yard; Front yard; Corner lot; A few trees
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing electric oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level); Bedroom sizes approximately 10 x 13 and 8 x 13
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Free-standing electric oven; Refrigerator; Living room; Utility room
- Laundry & utility: Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $50k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $282 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($793 rent vs $50k).
- Cap rate 13.1% vs local median 4.3% in Piedmont — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 52/100 on livability (#854 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Clearwater R-I (rural): math 33% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #255 of 324 in MO (top 79%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Clearwater Elementary (math 42% / reading 32%, grade F, #611 of 1,115 statewide, top 59%, 414 students, 72% FRL); Clearwater High (math 34% / reading 57%, grade D-, #174 of 521 statewide, top 33%, 239 students, 55% FRL) — zoned schools at 64% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 70 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($345 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
- Wayne County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (5.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 10, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.59% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.07%
- Cash-on-cash
- 24.19%
- DSCR
- 2.08
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.89% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 35.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.29×
- Total profit
- $32,043
- Equity at exit
- $31,035
- IRR
- 33.1%
- Equity multiple
- 6.75×
- Total profit
- $80,314
- Equity at exit
- $55,993
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63957
- Home prices YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 70
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $793 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$62 /mo · $748/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$167
- Net cashflow
- $282
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $316 | -5% $299 | +0% $282 | +5% $264 | +10% $247 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $219 | -5% $250 | +0% $282 | +5% $313 | +10% $344 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $307 | -0.5pp $294 | base $282 | +0.5pp $269 | +1.0pp $256 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $49,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $49,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-09remarks 392-char remark
-
2026-06-09$49,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 3% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $9,516
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$748
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$761
- − Management
- −$761
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $2,749
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$660
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,720/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 6 photos
This mobile home is in good condition with a cosmetic rehab level, ready for a fresh coat of paint and some landscaping improvements to enhance its curb appeal and value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Landscaping improvements — Aesthetic improvements can attract more buyers and renters.
- Both HVAC maintenance — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency, attracting more potential buyers and renters.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Painting exterior and interior — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Aesthetic improvements can attract more buyers and renters. ↑
- Both HVAC maintenance — Ensures comfort and energy efficiency, attracting more potential buyers and renters. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clearwater R-I
- NCES district ID
- 2909750
- Math proficiency
- 33% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,119
- Composite
- 26.89/100
- National rank
- #7095
- State rank
- #255 of 324 in MO
Livability — Piedmont
- Score
- 52/100
- State rank
- #854
- US rank
- #24925
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,068
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,005 people
- By 2030
- 12,767 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 12,319 · -5.3%
- By 2050
- 11,828 · -9.1%
- By 2075
- 10,806 · -16.9%
- By 2100
- 9,610 · -26.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+72.6) · D 13.4% · R 86.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.6pp toward R · 2008: -25.0pp · 2024: -72.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+72.6 2020: R+70.5 2016: R+64.4 2012: R+34.6 2008: R+25.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.89%
- Current HPI
- 165.6832
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-08 Listed $49,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…