15071 Rialto Ave · Brookridge, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 27 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.9/30.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$157,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move-in ready | Beautifully updated 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home + carport, resting on a quiet lot in the desirable 55+ | Brookridge Golf Community, a gated and guard-attended neighborhood known for its active, golf-cart friendly atmosphere. 1,023 sq ft of comfortable living space, this home shines with thoughtful updates and inviting charm. Luxury Vinyl Flooring seamlessly throughout home enhancing spacious living, dining areas | Kitchen includes new Wood Cabinetry(2026), Granite countertops, Stainless steel sink (2026) and (2026) modern appliances with easy access to the dining room and living room - perfect for gatherings of any size. A built-in hutch/coffee bar adds character and convenience. The Primary suite includes new fan, large closet with its own En-Suite bath includes a walk-in shower and updated Bath Vanity Granite counter + new light fixtures, while the Bathroom 2 offers a tub/shower combo, updated Bath Vanity Granite counter + new light fixtures. Bedroom two provides a generous closet, new fan and flexible space for guests or hobbies. A covered carport leads to a screened in patio and versatile laundry/storage/workshop area--perfect for projects or extra organization. Golf-cart separate parking that you can keep locked up is around back. New Exterior Doors + Screen door for added peace of mind | a well-maintained roof-over and meticulous care throughout, this home is truly move-in-ready. Located in a well-kept community with low HOA fees, No Flood Zone, Brookridge offers gated, guard attended security and a welcoming neighborhood atmosphere to enjoy resort-style amenities including a golf course, pool, clubhouse, pickleball, and numerous social clubs and events. Quick access to the nearby hospitals, shopping, dining, medical facilities and Suncoast Parkway, making travel a breeze. This home is a must see! Don't wait, call today!
Key facts
- Golf-cart parking
- Low hoa fees
- New exterior doors
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: No lease restrictions; Unfurnished
- HOA & community: Brookridge Community Property Owners, Inc. HOA; Monthly HOA fee of $55; Association approval required; HOA covers grounds maintenance and other items; Community clubhouse, fitness center, pool, sauna; Pickleball, shuffleboard and tennis courts; Senior community; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Has carport; 1 carport space
- Security: Gated community
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available; Water connected
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One story; East-facing
- Construction: Other construction materials; Roof over; Pillar/post/pier foundation; Built in 1 building
- Exterior features: Porch (screened); Exterior lighting; Storage; Street lights; Trees and landscaped grounds
Interior
- Kitchen: Cooktop; Dishwasher; Disposal; Ice maker; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Built-in features; Ceiling fans; Kitchen/family room combo; Living room/dining room combo; Stone counters; Thermostat; Walk-in closets
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Washer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $157k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $217 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $157k).
- Recommended offer: $143k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 6.3% in Brookridge — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#421 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment C-, health & safety C-, amenities F.
- Hernando (suburban): math 50% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #38 of 73 in FL (top 52%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Pine Grove Elementary School (math 60% / reading 45%, grade C-, #976 of 2,144 statewide, top 46%, 991 students, 60% FRL); Central High School (math 34% / reading 44%, grade F, #312 of 667 statewide, top 48%, 1,426 students, 53% FRL) — zoned schools at 56% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 691 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,505 units permitted in Hernando County in 2024 (318 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($59k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hernando County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $56k; list at $157k implies a 183% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.95%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.93%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $132,990
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15645 Brookridge Blvd | 0.29mi | 2/2.0 | 1,000 (-2%) | 5mo | $132,500 | $133 | 78 |
| 8483 Fleetway Ave | 0.11mi | 2/2.0 | 920 (-10%) | 5mo | $120,000 | $130 | 74 |
| 15682 Brookridge Blvd | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 | 1,104 (+8%) | 0mo | $144,000 | $130 | 71 |
| 14233 Rialto Ave | 0.41mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (-6%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $130 | 68 |
| 9839 Scepter Ave | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 960 (-6%) | 2mo | $145,000 | $151 | 66 |
| 15472 Brookridge Blvd | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 960 (-6%) | 3mo | $166,000 | $173 | 65 |
| 14883 Rialto Ave | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 | 1,144 (+12%) | 0mo | $148,000 | $129 | 64 |
| 16247 Brookridge Blvd | 0.46mi | 2/2.0 | 1,104 (+8%) | 3mo | $150,000 | $136 | 63 |
| 8304 Weatherford Ave | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (+3%) | 1mo | $109,000 | $103 | 62 |
| 9259 Salvini Dr | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (+13%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $143 | 58 |
| 9250 Salvini Dr | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 | 912 (-11%) | 5mo | $118,000 | $129 | 57 |
| 8223 Fortune Hunter Dr | 0.48mi | 2/2.0 | 1,176 (+15%) | 1mo | $100,000 | $85 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-11,583
- Equity at exit
- $23,409
- IRR
- 2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $7,821
- Equity at exit
- $13,574
Cash invested: $43,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34613
- Home prices YoY
- -17.2%
- Active inventory
- 691
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,643 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$823
- Tax from tax record
- −$137 /mo · $1,648/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$55
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$345
- Net cashflow
- $217
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,250
- Closing costs
- $4,710
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8871 Southern Charm Cir Brooksville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1482 | $2,050 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 8917 Southern Charm Cir Brooksville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1437 | $1,695 | $1.18 | 4d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 9919 Scepter Ave Brooksville, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1188 | $1,250 | $1.05 | 5d | 1 | 0.38mi |
| 15466 Brookridge Blvd Brooksville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 828 | $1,225 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 8407 Weatherford Ave Brooksville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1104 | $1,500 | $1.36 | 18d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 14342 Starcross St Brooksville, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,025 | $1.14 | 22d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 14697 Brookridge Blvd Brooksville, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $1,350 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 1.30mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $55 · $660/yr
- Likely covers
- poolsecurity
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $157,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $157,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $159,900 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $159,900 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $159,900 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,900 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $159,900 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $159,900 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $159,900 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $159,900 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $159,900 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $159,900 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,900 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $159,900 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,900 Active 87 DOM
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2026-03-05$159,900 Active
-
2026-03-03$159,900 Active 1874-char remark
Show marketing remark (1874 chars)
Move-in ready | Beautifully updated 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom home + carport, resting on a quiet lot in the desirable 55+ | Brookridge Golf Community, a gated and guard-attended neighborhood known for its active, golf-cart friendly atmosphere. 1,023 sq ft of comfortable living space, this home shines with thoughtful updates and inviting charm. Luxury Vinyl Flooring seamlessly throughout home enhancing spacious living, dining areas | Kitchen includes new Wood Cabinetry(2026), Granite countertops, Stainless steel sink (2026) and (2026) modern appliances with easy access to the dining room and living room - perfect for gatherings of any size. A built-in hutch/coffee bar adds character and convenience. The Primary suite includes new fan, large closet with its own En-Suite bath includes a walk-in shower and updated Bath Vanity Granite counter + new light fixtures, while the Bathroom 2 offers a tub/shower combo, updated Bath Vanity Granite counter + new light fixtures. Bedroom two provides a generous closet, new fan and flexible space for guests or hobbies. A covered carport leads to a screened in patio and versatile laundry/storage/workshop area--perfect for projects or extra organization. Golf-cart separate parking that you can keep locked up is around back. New Exterior Doors + Screen door for added peace of mind | a well-maintained roof-over and meticulous care throughout, this home is truly move-in-ready. Located in a well-kept community with low HOA fees, No Flood Zone, Brookridge offers gated, guard attended security and a welcoming neighborhood atmosphere to enjoy resort-style amenities including a golf course, pool, clubhouse, pickleball, and numerous social clubs and events. Quick access to the nearby hospitals, shopping, dining, medical facilities and Suncoast Parkway, making travel a breeze. This home is a must see! Don't wait, call today!
-
2004-07-27soldstatus $55,500
-
2004-07-16soldstatus $55,500 65-char remark
Show marketing remark (65 chars)
partially furnished ,new golf cart garage,newer r/o carpet vinyl.
-
2004-07-08$58,900 65-char remark
Show marketing remark (65 chars)
partially furnished ,new golf cart garage,newer r/o carpet vinyl.
-
2003-12-01soldstatus $47,000
-
2003-08-18$52,900
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1989-04-01soldstatus $37,000
-
1986-03-01soldstatus $36,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,648 · $137/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,648 · $137/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 27 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,722
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,794
- − Property taxes
- −$1,648
- − Insurance
- −$785
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,578
- − Management
- −$1,578
- − HOA
- −$660
- − Depreciation
- −$4,567
- Taxable income
- $111
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$27
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,580/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hernando
- NCES district ID
- 1200810
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,985
- Composite
- 42.03/100
- National rank
- #3329
- State rank
- #38 of 73 in FL
Livability — Brookridge
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #421
- US rank
- #7529
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Brookridge, FL
- County
- Hernando County · 169,677 people
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,337
- Household income
- $58,596
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 307.0
Population outlook (Hernando County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 189,218 people
- By 2030
- 194,367 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 203,398 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 209,589 · +10.8%
- By 2075
- 218,452 · +15.4%
- By 2100
- 205,923 · +8.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 4% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hernando
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.0) · D 31.1% · R 68.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -33.5pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -37.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.0 2020: R+30.2 2016: R+29.0 2012: R+8.5 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -57.51%
- Current HPI
- 276.2229
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
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Price history
+338.1% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-05 Listed $159,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-03 Listed $159,900 HCAR
- 2004-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $55,500 Public Records
- 2004-07-16 Sold (MLS) $55,500 HCAR
- 2004-07-08 Listed $58,900 HCAR
- 2003-12-01 Sold (MLS) $47,000 HCAR
- 2003-08-18 Listed $52,900 HCAR
- 1989-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $37,000 Public Records
- 1986-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $36,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+7.7%/yrLatest (2025): $1,648 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…