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2520 Forest Park Ave
C Composite 56.11
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.1/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.7/10.0
  • DSCR +4.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.9/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$135,000

2520 Forest Park Ave · San Angelo, TX 76901
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 940 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 51 Days on market
Built 1958 7,013 sqft lot $144/sqft · at area comps Est $140k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Check out this 2 bedroom, 1 bath home! Located on a corner lot, with a large backyard, this home features a 2-year-old roof, a workshop with electricity and a window unit, 2 extra storage sheds, and new exterior paint. Inside, you'll find a functional layout with opportunity to update and customize to your style. This home offers great value and endless possibilities!

Key facts

  • 2 year old roof
  • New exterior paint
  • Large backyard

Tags

CORNER LOTLARGE BACKYARD2 YEAR OLD ROOFWORKSHOP WITH ELECTRICITYEXTRA STORAGE SHEDSNEW EXTERIOR PAINT

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No specific parking details provided
  • Security: Smoke detector(s)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas connected; Water connected; Sewer available
  • Home design: Single family residence; One story; Corner lot; City street frontage; Paved, publicly maintained road
  • Construction: Frame and other construction materials; Composition roof; Pillar/post/pier and slab foundation; Built on a 0.16-acre lot
  • Exterior features: Porch; Shed(s); Workshop; Privacy fencing / fenced yard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Built-in electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Vented exhaust fan
  • Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (includes bedrooms and living areas)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air; Electric cooling; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Laminate counters; Ceiling fan(s); Storage
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup inside; Electric dryer hookup; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $43 ($513/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $132k (2.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $131k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 3.8% in San Angelo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • San Angelo ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #627 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Fannin El (math 27% / reading 12%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 306 students, 92% FRL); Lincoln Middle (math 19% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,387 of 1,662 statewide, top 85%, 844 students, 78% FRL); Lake View H S (math 6% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,527 of 1,632 statewide, top 94%, 1,085 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 78% FRL vs 53% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 331 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 53% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 233 units permitted in Tom Green County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $14k of equity ($933 loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Tom Green County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $38k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($131k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 12y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $130,950 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.97%
Cap rate
6.67%
Cash-on-cash
1.36%
DSCR
1.06
GRM
8.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$139,923
List price
$135,000
Delta
-3.52%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2410 Lindell Ave 0.22mi 2/1.0 960 (+2%) 2mo $157,000 $164 85
2223 Coleman St 0.36mi 2/1.0 894 (-5%) 6mo $80,000 $89 70
1825 N St St 0.64mi 2/1.0 940 (0%) 5mo $100,000 $106 66
2006 Howard Ave 0.63mi 2/1.0 940 (0%) 7mo $127,000 $135 65
2414 Chestnut St 0.60mi 2/1.0 910 (-3%) 4mo $142,000 $156 63
1906 Juanita Ave 0.59mi 2/2.0 964 (+3%) 3mo $165,000 $171 62
2510 Glenwood Dr 0.47mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,000 (+6%) 2mo $150,000 $150 59
2104 Juanita Ave 0.43mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,040 (+11%) 6mo $175,000 $168 52
2019 Freeland Ave 0.69mi 2/1.0 1,008 (+7%) 4mo $127,500 $126 52
2526 Chestnut St 0.59mi 2/1.0 810 (-14%) 2mo $115,000 $142 48
1908 Woodlawn Dr 0.57mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,016 (+8%) 6mo $145,900 $144 46
2840 Field St 0.50mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,053 (+12%) 5mo $105,000 $100 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 5.78% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.3%
Equity multiple
3.12×
Total profit
$80,087
Equity at exit
$121,619
10-year hold
IRR
23.9%
Equity multiple
7.41×
Total profit
$242,406
Equity at exit
$262,275

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76901

Home prices YoY
6.4%
Rents YoY
5.8%
Active inventory
331
Price-to-rent
8.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,316 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax from tax record
$232 /mo · $2,789/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$276
Net cashflow
$43

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,261
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 92%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $119 -5% $81 +0% $43 +5% $5 +10% $-34
Rent -10% $-61 -5% $-9 +0% $43 +5% $95 +10% $147
Rate -1.0pp $111 -0.5pp $77 base $43 +0.5pp $8 +1.0pp $-28

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2630 Waco St San Angelo, TX 3.0 2.0 1024 $1,600 $1.56 22d 1 0.32mi
1405 Hassell St San Angelo, TX 3.0 2.0 1064 $1,950 $1.83 44d 1 0.34mi
705 Childress St San Angelo, TX 2.0 1.0 872 $1,400 $1.61 44d 1 0.35mi
2102 Raney St San Angelo, TX 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,295 $1.25 22d 1 0.59mi
1929 Raney St San Angelo, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 765 $1,000 $1.31 22d 4 0.61mi
1717 Greenwood St San Angelo, TX 1.0 1.0 754 $625 $0.83 22d 1 0.98mi
121 N Van Buren St Unit A San Angelo, TX 2.0 1.0 715 $1,095 $1.53 22d 1 1.01mi
212 S Fillmore St Unit B San Angelo, TX 2.0 1.0 800 $999 $1.25 44d 1 1.10mi
3755 Arden Rd San Angelo, TX 2.0–3.0 1.0 875 $925 $1.06 22d 1 1.11mi
3801 Arden Rd Apt 108 San Angelo, TX 2.0 2.0 1025 $1,215 $1.19 44d 1 1.20mi
3801 Arden Rd Apt 93 San Angelo, TX 1.0 1.0 670 $971 $1.45 44d 1 1.20mi
3801 Arden Rd Unit 131 San Angelo, TX 1.0 1.0 670 $933 $1.39 44d 1 1.20mi
3801 Arden Rd Apt 65 San Angelo, TX 2.0 2.0 1025 $1,199 $1.17 22d 1 1.20mi
3130 W Beauregard Ave San Angelo, TX 1.0–2.0 1.0 690 $875 $1.27 22d 1 1.21mi
2065 Live Oak St San Angelo, TX 2.0 1.0 720 $950 $1.32 44d 1 1.28mi
902 Shiloh St Unit RE-908-16 San Angelo, TX 2.0 1.0 875 $1,125 $1.29 44d 1 1.36mi
902 Shiloh St Unit RE-908-C San Angelo, TX 2.0 1.5 925 $1,175 $1.27 44d 1 1.36mi
902 Shiloh St Unit RE-908-20 San Angelo, TX 1.0 1.0 800 $1,025 $1.28 44d 1 1.36mi
810 W 19th St San Angelo, TX 3.0 2.0 1090 $1,249 $1.15 22d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $135,000 Active 51 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $135,000 Active 50 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $135,000 Active 49 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $135,000 Active 48 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $135,000 Active 47 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $135,000 Active 45 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $135,000 Active 44 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $135,000 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $135,000 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $135,000 Active 40 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $135,000 Active 39 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $135,000 Active 34 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $135,000 Active 33 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    pricedays on market $135,000 Active 32 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $145,000 Active 31 DOM
  16. 2026-04-29
    listed $145,000 Active 370-char remark
  17. 2023-07-20
    listed $119,000 Active
  18. 2023-07-15
    listed $129,000 Active
  19. 2014-11-21
    soldstatus
  20. 2014-11-20
    soldstatus
  21. 2014-08-09
    listed $71,500
  22. 2005-05-23
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,789 · $232/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,789 · $232/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,787
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$2,789
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,263
− Management
−$1,263
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable loss
−$1,692
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$406
After-tax cash flow
$919/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Angelo ISD
NCES district ID
4838700
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,501
Composite
25.56/100
National rank
#7427
State rank
#627 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Angelo

Score
73/100
State rank
#199
US rank
#5030

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Angelo, TX
County
Tom Green County · 113,188 people
City population
81,357
Metro
San Angelo, TX
Population (ZIP)
31,831
Household income
$69,450
Rent vs Own
29.0% rent · 71.0% own
Severe rent burden
1034.0

Population outlook (Tom Green County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
135,110 people
By 2030
144,090 · +6.6%
By 2040
162,561 · +20.3%
By 2050
182,158 · +34.8%
By 2075
232,274 · +71.9%
By 2100
268,218 · +98.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (55%)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 17% Black 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 38%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
77% English-only · Spanish 21% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Tom Green

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.5% · R 73.5% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-6.3pp toward R · 2008: -41.7pp · 2024: -48.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.0 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+47.9 2012: R+47.9 2008: R+41.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 47.96%
Current HPI
798.58
Rent YoY
▲ 5.78%
Metro
San Angelo, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+88.8% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-30 Price Changed $135,000 SAAR TX
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $145,000 SAAR TX
  • 2023-07-20 Listed $119,000 SAAR TX
  • 2023-07-15 Listed $129,000 SAAR TX
  • 2014-11-21 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2014-11-20 Sold (MLS) SAAR TX
  • 2014-08-09 Listed $71,500 SAAR TX
  • 2005-05-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,789 · +15.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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