4608 39th Ave · Kenosha, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.8/30.0
- ARV discount +12.8/15.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- 1% rule +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Fixer-upper with great potential! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers 864 sq ft, a 2-car garage, and a nice yard with plenty of possibilities. With some TLC and the right vision, this property could truly shine. Being sold as-is.
Key facts
- 7,405 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1964
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type zoning: RG-1
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage with opener
- Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer
- Home design: Single-family, 1-story home; Less than 1/2 acre lot
- Construction: Aluminum/steel exterior; Year built: public/assessor records
- Exterior features: Aluminum/steel exterior
Interior
- Kitchen: Microwave; Oven/Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom (Main) — 11 x 10; Bedroom 2 (Main) — 10 x 11; Bedroom 3 (Main) — 8 x 9
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air; Window/Wall AC; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Full basement; Shower stall
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $55 ($659/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $172k (13.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $172k (13.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.6% vs local median 3.8% in Kenosha — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#31 in WI, #680 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-.
- Kenosha School District (suburban): math 26% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #287 of 342 in WI (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Strange Elementary (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #885 of 1,041 statewide, top 86%, 431 students, 79% FRL); Mahone Middle (math 30% / reading 41%, grade F, #200 of 383 statewide, top 53%, 933 students, 43% FRL); Bradford High (math 11% / reading 21%, grade F, #412 of 483 statewide, top 85%, 1,389 students, 66% FRL) — zoned schools average 63% FRL vs 45% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 259 units permitted in Kenosha County in 2024 (8 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1964 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.86% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.18%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 9.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $226,368
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4906 44th Ct | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 | 888 (+3%) | 10mo | $233,000 | $262 | 71 |
| 4113 31st Ave | 0.59mi | 3/1.0 | 864 (0%) | 3mo | $229,900 | $266 | 70 |
| 4033 32nd Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 | 884 (+2%) | 2mo | $265,000 | $300 | 67 |
| 5518 40th Ave | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 876 (+1%) | 4mo | $175,000 | $200 | 63 |
| 4608 Pershing Blvd | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 974 (+13%) | 7mo | $235,000 | $241 | 56 |
| 5601 44th Ave | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (+8%) | 2mo | $250,000 | $267 | 52 |
| 4416 31st Ave | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 768 (-11%) | 3mo | $190,000 | $247 | 52 |
| 2717 45th St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 828 (-4%) | 5mo | $170,000 | $205 | 52 |
| 3914 31st Ave | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 848 (-2%) | 12mo | $175,000 | $206 | 49 |
| 5503 44th Ave | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 | 902 (+4%) | 13mo | $268,000 | $297 | 49 |
| 5409 40th Ave | 0.51mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 742 (-14%) | 12mo | $255,000 | $344 | 38 |
| 5419 35th Ave | 0.59mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 960 (+11%) | 12mo | $241,500 | $252 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.48×
- Total profit
- $-28,915
- Equity at exit
- $29,806
- IRR
- -5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.63×
- Total profit
- $-20,756
- Equity at exit
- $17,284
Cash invested: $55,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53144
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 9.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,723 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,048
- Tax from tax record
- −$175 /mo · $2,101/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$362
- Net cashflow
- $55
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $168 | -5% $111 | +0% $55 | +5% $-2 | +10% $-58 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-81 | -5% $-13 | +0% $55 | +5% $123 | +10% $191 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $156 | -0.5pp $106 | base $55 | +0.5pp $3 | +1.0pp $-50 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $49,975
- Closing costs
- $5,997
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4802 34th Ave Kenosha, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 905 | $1,750 | $1.93 | 45d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 4048 29th Ave Kenosha, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $2,375 | $2.42 | 45d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 4042 Washington Rd Kenosha, WI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 730 | $1,400 | $1.92 | 5d | 8 | 0.73mi |
| 4051 28th Ave Unit 2 Kenosha, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,250 | $1.39 | 14d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4812 25th Ave Kenosha, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $995 | $1.31 | 26d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 3529 30th Ave Unit B3 Kenosha, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,675 | $1.64 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 5103 24th Ave Kenosha, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,095 | $1.12 | 6d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 5912 50th Ave Kenosha, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,325 | $1.47 | 26d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 5912 50th Ave Kenosha, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,325 | $1.47 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 5912 50th Ave Kenosha, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,325 | $1.47 | 6d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 5414 58th Ave Unit 18 Kenosha, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,150 | $1.35 | 26d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 5414 58th Ave Unit 8 Kenosha, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 760 | $1,300 | $1.71 | 1d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 5414 58th Ave Apt 2 Kenosha, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,465 | $1.54 | 20d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 4610 17th Ave Kenosha, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 9d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2614 63rd St #2 Kenosha, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,295 | $1.44 | 26d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 5807 20th Ave Unit 1 Kenosha, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $2,000 | $1.88 | 20d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 5807 20th Ave Unit 2 Kenosha, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $2,400 | $2.26 | 20d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-05-20$199,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,101 · $175/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,899 · $242/mo
- Expected delta
- +$799/yr (+$67/mo · 38.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,682
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,198
- − Property taxes
- −$2,101
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,655
- − Management
- −$1,655
- − Depreciation
- −$5,815
- Taxable loss
- −$2,740
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$658
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,317/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kenosha School District
- NCES district ID
- 5507320
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,407
- Composite
- 25.17/100
- National rank
- #7516
- State rank
- #287 of 342 in WI
Livability — Kenosha
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #31
- US rank
- #680
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kenosha, WI
- County
- Kenosha County · 130,343 people
- City population
- 85,271
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,652
- Household income
- $76,507
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1084.0
Population outlook (Kenosha County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 174,032 people
- By 2030
- 174,923 · +0.5%
- By 2040
- 173,895 · -0.1%
- By 2050
- 170,102 · -2.3%
- By 2075
- 162,952 · -6.4%
- By 2100
- 154,781 · -11.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (64%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 64% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 12% Black 10% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Portuguese 4% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Kenosha
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.2) · D 46.2% · R 52.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.3pp toward R · 2008: 18.1pp · 2024: -6.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.2 2020: R+3.1 2016: R+0.3 2012: D+12.3 2008: D+18.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -144.10%
- Current HPI
- 238.1217
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
|
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $199,900 METROMLS
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,101 · +6.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…