605 S Main St · Buffalo Center, IA 50424

$99,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,380 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 48 Days on market

Built 1940 0.30 ac lot Est $115k · 14% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +24.7/30.0
• ARV discount +13.6/15.0
• Appreciation +8.4/10.0
• DSCR +8.0/10.0
• 1% rule +6.0/10.0
• Schools +4.9/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks

Very Sharp 2 bedroom, 1 bath Ranch home sits on oversized Corner Lot! Has attached 28 x 24 double garage. Generous sized rooms. Main Level Laundry. This is a must see affordable home.

Key facts

• 0.3 acre lot
• 2 garage spots
• Built 1940

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $207 ($2k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
• Recommended offer: $96k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#227 in IA, #4,313 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
• North Iowa Community School District (rural): math 56% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #252 of 289 in IA (top 87%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
• Market conditions: 12 active listings in the ZIP; 6 units permitted in Winnebago County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• In year one you build about $7k of equity ($684 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (6.8% local appreciation)).
• Winnebago County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (6.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $96,030 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
4. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.10% ✓
• Cap rate: 8.80%
• Cash-on-cash: 8.95%
• DSCR: 1.40
• GRM: 7.6

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $114,540
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
204 2nd St NE	0.47mi	3/2.0 (+1)	1,312 (-5%)	5mo	$109,000	$83	57
410 2nd Ave NW	0.50mi	3/2.5 (+1)	1,238 (-10%)	13mo	$84,500	$68	38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.8% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 24.5%
• Equity multiple: 2.68×
• Total profit: $46,544
• Equity at exit: $67,337

10-year hold

• IRR: 22.7%
• Equity multiple: 5.53×
• Total profit: $125,565
• Equity at exit: $126,777

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Iowa: 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 50424

• Home prices YoY: 5.3%
• Active inventory: 12
• Price-to-rent: 7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,089 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$519
• Tax from tax record: −$93 /mo · $1,120/yr
• Insurance: −$41
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$229
• Net cashflow: $207

Break-even live

Break-even rent $828

Max offer price $99,000

Occupancy floor 76%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $24,750
• Closing costs: $2,970
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-03-17
   status Pending
2. 2026-02-10
   historical Active Under Contract
3. 2026-01-27
   listed $99,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,120 · $93/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,337 · $111/mo
• Expected delta: +$217/yr (+$18/mo · 19.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,071
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,546
• − Property taxes: −$1,120
• − Insurance: −$495
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,046
• − Management: −$1,046
• − Depreciation: −$2,880
• Taxable income: $939
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$225
• After-tax cash flow: $2,256/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: North Iowa Community School District
• NCES district ID: 1905750
• Math proficiency: 56% ▬ 0.00%
• Reading proficiency: 60% ▼ -5.00%
• Median HH income: $48,123
• Composite: 49.23/100
• National rank: #2034
• State rank: #252 of 289 in IA

Livability — Buffalo Center

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #227
• US rank: #4313

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Buffalo Center, IA
• Population (ZIP): 1,590

Population outlook (Winnebago County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 10,099 people
• By 2030: 9,831 · -2.7%
• By 2040: 9,326 · -7.7%
• By 2050: 9,073 · -10.2%
• By 2075: 9,448 · -6.4%
• By 2100: 10,279 · +1.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (96%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 96% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2%
• Common ancestry: Portuguese 28% Iranian 14% Lithuanian 4%
• Foreign-born: 1% · Canada, Vietnam
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Winnebago

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+30.7) · D 33.9% · R 64.6% · Other 1.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -39.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -30.7pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+30.7 2020: R+26.3 2016: R+26.5 2012: R+0.0 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▲ 6.80%
• Current HPI: 134.7177
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.48%
• F500 in state: 4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	1	$16B
▸Retail / Convenience	1	$15B

Price history

3 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-17 Pending — IAR
• 2026-02-10 Contingent — IAR
• 2026-01-27 Listed $99,000 IAR

Property tax history

+22.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,120 · +47.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.