17 Rio Verde Way · Port St. Lucie, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 6 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$89,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beauty & tranquility surround this 2bed/2bath home, nestled in back of a Lrg corner lot w/ Panoramic Lake Views. Watch wildlife & sunsets on this Expansive lot offering Privacy & Space -great for pets, gardening, grilling, entertaining & more! Step inside & beauty continues - fully remodeled Open Concept. Recent Updates; New Roofing, Flooring, Screens, Windows, Renovated Kitchen w/ SS Appli. , 5 ft Island, LARGE Bathrooms w/ DuraRock Showers & MarbleTops. Bedrooms w/ views! Master also boasts en-suite w/ walk-in closet. PRIMELOCATION; near Beach, Grocery, Postal, Banks, Hospitals, Pharmacy & more! LotRent of 992.53 incl LawnCare, Trash, Private FreeGol
Key facts
- Expansive lot
- 5 ft island
- New roofing
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed with no restrictions
- HOA & community: Located in a senior community; Land lease of $992.53 per month (land lease expires 05/09/2126)
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; Covered parking (1); Driveway; Total parking for 2 vehicles; Open parking space (1)
- Security: Security patrol
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Cable available; Sewer available; Water available
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One story; Faces southeast; Accessible approach with ramp; Resale
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Flat roof; Double wide construction
- Exterior features: Oversized lot; Lake access (waterfront)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl; Other
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Kitchen island; Walk-in closet(s)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $924 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
- Recommended offer: $86k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.8% vs local median 3.9% in Port St. Lucie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 639 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.75%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.49%
- DSCR
- 2.98
- GRM
- 3.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $127,400
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Huarte Way | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 1,188 (-9%) | 3mo | $45,000 | $38 | 79 |
| 7953 Horned Lark Cir | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 | 1,286 (-1%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $101 | 73 |
| 25 Rio Verde Way | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (-8%) | 22mo | $64,900 | $54 | 67 |
| 82 Spanish Way | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 | 1,245 (-4%) | 22mo | $18,000 | $14 | 66 |
| 2948 Fiddlewood Cir | 0.70mi | 2/2.0 | 1,280 (-2%) | 1mo | $122,000 | $95 | 64 |
| 3005 Approach Shot Way | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 | 1,333 (+2%) | 3mo | $149,900 | $112 | 64 |
| 38 Alta Loma | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 | 1,433 (+10%) | 5mo | $180,000 | $126 | 47 |
| 3115 Palm Warbler Ct | 0.72mi | 2/2.0 | 1,429 (+10%) | 9mo | $140,000 | $98 | 42 |
| 2816 Eagles Nest Way | 0.68mi | 2/2.0 | 1,134 (-13%) | 7mo | $146,000 | $129 | 41 |
| 8 S Alhambra Ln | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,400 (+8%) | 14mo | $100,000 | $71 | 40 |
| 7 Reforma Ln | 0.55mi | 2/2.0 | 1,150 (-12%) | 20mo | $37,000 | $32 | 39 |
| 7912 Black Tern Dr | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 | 1,107 (-15%) | 8mo | $120,500 | $109 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.92% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 40.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.70×
- Total profit
- $42,358
- Equity at exit
- $13,270
- IRR
- 46.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.19×
- Total profit
- $104,366
- Equity at exit
- $7,695
Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34952
- Home prices YoY
- -29.6%
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 639
- Price-to-rent
- 3.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,948 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$467
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$111 /mo · $1,335/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$409
- Net cashflow
- $924
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,250
- Closing costs
- $2,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1900 Bella Vista Way Port Saint Lucie, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 995 | $1,764 | $1.77 | 13d | 15 | 0.67mi |
| 7700 Pine Lakes Blvd Port Saint Lucie, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1022 | $1,878 | $1.84 | 13d | 16 | 1.13mi |
| 3784 Sapodilla Ct Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1121 | $2,300 | $2.05 | 23d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 71 W Caribbean Port St. Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1417 | $1,700 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 14 Lake Vista Trl #101 Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $2,200 | $1.88 | 23d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 124 E Arbor Ave Port Saint Lucie, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 964 | $2,550 | $2.65 | 13d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 11 Lake Vista Trl #206 Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1080 | $1,400 | $1.30 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1810 SE Pinewood Trl Port Saint Lucie, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1013 | $2,055 | $2.03 | 13d | 7 | 1.45mi |
| 26 Lake Vista Trl #201 Port Saint Lucie, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,500 | $1.28 | 23d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $89,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $89,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $89,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $89,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $89,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $89,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $89,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $89,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $89,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $89,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-23price $89,000
-
2026-05-09$92,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,377
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,985
- − Property taxes
- −$1,335
- − Insurance
- −$445
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,870
- − Management
- −$1,870
- − Depreciation
- −$2,589
- Taxable income
- $10,282
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,468
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,619/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 30 photos
This fully remodeled manufactured home offers a beautiful and tranquil living space with new flooring, countertops, cabinets, and appliances. The home is in excellent condition and ready for immediate occupancy.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
- Both Replace countertops and cabinets — Improves functionality and aesthetics in the kitchen and bathrooms.
- Both Install new flooring — Enhances the overall look and feel of the home, improving both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics. ↑
- Both Replace countertops and cabinets — Improves functionality and aesthetics in the kitchen and bathrooms. ↑
- Both Install new flooring — Enhances the overall look and feel of the home, improving both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Lucie
- NCES district ID
- 1201770
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,737
- Composite
- 37.28/100
- National rank
- #4449
- State rank
- #51 of 73 in FL
Livability — Port St. Lucie
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
- City population
- 221,051
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,655
- Household income
- $61,628
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1759.0
Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 338,016 people
- By 2030
- 355,687 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 385,521 · +14.1%
- By 2050
- 406,106 · +20.1%
- By 2075
- 441,054 · +30.5%
- By 2100
- 436,885 · +29.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 62% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14% Black 10% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 18% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 16% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -155.80%
- Current HPI
- 371.0573
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.92%
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-3.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Price Changed $89,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-05-09 Listed $92,000 Beaches MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…