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17 Rio Verde Way
B+ Composite 78.21
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$89,000

17 Rio Verde Way · Port St. Lucie, FL 34952
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,300 sqft · Manufactured · 40 Days on market
Built 1973 Good condition Est $127k · 30% under ↓ 3% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beauty & tranquility surround this 2bed/2bath home, nestled in back of a Lrg corner lot w/ Panoramic Lake Views. Watch wildlife & sunsets on this Expansive lot offering Privacy & Space -great for pets, gardening, grilling, entertaining & more! Step inside & beauty continues - fully remodeled Open Concept. Recent Updates; New Roofing, Flooring, Screens, Windows, Renovated Kitchen w/ SS Appli. , 5 ft Island, LARGE Bathrooms w/ DuraRock Showers & MarbleTops. Bedrooms w/ views! Master also boasts en-suite w/ walk-in closet. PRIMELOCATION; near Beach, Grocery, Postal, Banks, Hospitals, Pharmacy & more! LotRent of 992.53 incl LawnCare, Trash, Private FreeGol

Key facts

  • Expansive lot
  • 5 ft island
  • New roofing

Tags

PANORAMIC LAKE VIEWSEXPANSIVE LOTFULLY REMODELED OPEN CONCEPTNEW ROOFINGRENOVATED KITCHEN5 FT ISLAND

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Pets allowed with no restrictions
  • HOA & community: Located in a senior community; Land lease of $992.53 per month (land lease expires 05/09/2126)

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; Covered parking (1); Driveway; Total parking for 2 vehicles; Open parking space (1)
  • Security: Security patrol
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Cable available; Sewer available; Water available
  • Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One story; Faces southeast; Accessible approach with ramp; Resale
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Flat roof; Double wide construction
  • Exterior features: Oversized lot; Lake access (waterfront)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl; Other
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Kitchen island; Walk-in closet(s)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $89k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $924 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $89k).
  • Recommended offer: $86k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 18.8% vs local median 3.9% in Port St. Lucie — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 639 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $615 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.9% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $86,330 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.19%
Cap rate
18.75%
Cash-on-cash
44.49%
DSCR
2.98
GRM
3.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$127,400
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
31 Huarte Way 0.09mi 2/2.0 1,188 (-9%) 3mo $45,000 $38 79
7953 Horned Lark Cir 0.51mi 2/2.0 1,286 (-1%) 1mo $130,000 $101 73
25 Rio Verde Way 0.05mi 2/2.0 1,200 (-8%) 22mo $64,900 $54 67
82 Spanish Way 0.18mi 2/2.0 1,245 (-4%) 22mo $18,000 $14 66
2948 Fiddlewood Cir 0.70mi 2/2.0 1,280 (-2%) 1mo $122,000 $95 64
3005 Approach Shot Way 0.64mi 2/2.0 1,333 (+2%) 3mo $149,900 $112 64
38 Alta Loma 0.69mi 2/2.0 1,433 (+10%) 5mo $180,000 $126 47
3115 Palm Warbler Ct 0.72mi 2/2.0 1,429 (+10%) 9mo $140,000 $98 42
2816 Eagles Nest Way 0.68mi 2/2.0 1,134 (-13%) 7mo $146,000 $129 41
8 S Alhambra Ln 0.65mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,400 (+8%) 14mo $100,000 $71 40
7 Reforma Ln 0.55mi 2/2.0 1,150 (-12%) 20mo $37,000 $32 39
7912 Black Tern Dr 0.69mi 2/2.0 1,107 (-15%) 8mo $120,500 $109 37

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.92% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
40.3%
Equity multiple
2.70×
Total profit
$42,358
Equity at exit
$13,270
10-year hold
IRR
46.1%
Equity multiple
5.19×
Total profit
$104,366
Equity at exit
$7,695

Cash invested: $24,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34952

Home prices YoY
-29.6%
Rents YoY
1.9%
Active inventory
639
Price-to-rent
3.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,948 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$467
Tax est. 1.5%
$111 /mo · $1,335/yr
Insurance
$37
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$409
Net cashflow
$924

Break-even live

Break-even rent $779
Max offer price $89,000
Occupancy floor 48%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$22,250
Closing costs
$2,670
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1900 Bella Vista Way Port Saint Lucie, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 995 $1,764 $1.77 13d 15 0.67mi
7700 Pine Lakes Blvd Port Saint Lucie, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1022 $1,878 $1.84 13d 16 1.13mi
3784 Sapodilla Ct Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1121 $2,300 $2.05 23d 1 1.31mi
71 W Caribbean Port St. Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1417 $1,700 $1.20 23d 1 1.33mi
14 Lake Vista Trl #101 Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1170 $2,200 $1.88 23d 1 1.36mi
124 E Arbor Ave Port Saint Lucie, FL 3.0 1.0 964 $2,550 $2.65 13d 1 1.38mi
11 Lake Vista Trl #206 Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1080 $1,400 $1.30 23d 1 1.42mi
1810 SE Pinewood Trl Port Saint Lucie, FL 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1013 $2,055 $2.03 13d 7 1.45mi
26 Lake Vista Trl #201 Port Saint Lucie, FL 2.0 2.0 1170 $1,500 $1.28 23d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $89,000 Active 40 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $89,000 Active 39 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $89,000 Active 38 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $89,000 Active 37 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $89,000 Active 35 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $89,000 Active 34 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $89,000 Active 32 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $89,000 Active 31 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $89,000 Active 30 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $89,000 Active 29 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $89,000 Active 26 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $89,000 Active 25 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $89,000 Active 24 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $89,000 Active 23 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $89,000 Active 22 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $89,000 Active 21 DOM
  17. 2026-05-23
    price $89,000
  18. 2026-05-09
    listed $92,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,377
− Mortgage interest
−$4,985
− Property taxes
−$1,335
− Insurance
−$445
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,870
− Management
−$1,870
− Depreciation
−$2,589
Taxable income
$10,282
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,468
After-tax cash flow
$8,619/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 30 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This fully remodeled manufactured home offers a beautiful and tranquil living space with new flooring, countertops, cabinets, and appliances. The home is in excellent condition and ready for immediate occupancy.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Replace countertops and cabinets — Improves functionality and aesthetics in the kitchen and bathrooms.
  • Both Install new flooring — Enhances the overall look and feel of the home, improving both resale and rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior and interior — Enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Replace countertops and cabinets — Improves functionality and aesthetics in the kitchen and bathrooms.
  • Both Install new flooring — Enhances the overall look and feel of the home, improving both resale and rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Lucie
NCES district ID
1201770
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
48% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,737
Composite
37.28/100
National rank
#4449
State rank
#51 of 73 in FL

Livability — Port St. Lucie

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
City population
221,051
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
Population (ZIP)
42,655
Household income
$61,628
Rent vs Own
25.8% rent · 74.2% own
Severe rent burden
1759.0

Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
338,016 people
By 2030
355,687 · +5.2%
By 2040
385,521 · +14.1%
By 2050
406,106 · +20.1%
By 2075
441,054 · +30.5%
By 2100
436,885 · +29.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.57)
Race & ethnicity
White 62% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 14% Black 10% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2% Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
18% · Canada, Jamaica, China
Languages at home
76% English-only · Spanish 16% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Tagalog/Filipino 2%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
2008→2024 swing
-21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -155.80%
Current HPI
371.0573
Rent YoY
▲ 1.92%
Metro
Port St. Lucie, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-3.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-23 Price Changed $89,000 Beaches MLS
  • 2026-05-09 Listed $92,000 Beaches MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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