7122 EL Greco St · Pasadena Hills, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.1/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$99,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Your beautiful dream Florida home awaits in an active 55+ community where you own your own land (NO LOT RENT) with a low HOA fee of $80/month. This spacious completely redone home offers 2 BR 2 bath with open floor plan between family room, dining room, and kitchen. This home is in great condition with new laminate flooring in all rooms, new appliances, new kitchen cabinets, counter tops, fresh paint, new hot water tank, new plumbing, new walk-in shower in Master bath, new tub/shower in guest bath, beautiful tile work in both bathrooms, and many updated fixtures. The open floor plan is great for entertaining. The all new kitchen has updated fixtures, plenty of cabinets, and laminate flooring. Master bathroom offers step in shower and updated fixtures. This beautiful Florida home has curb appeal that starts outside and does not stop throughout! Don't miss this opportunity to own your vacation get away. Incredible location across the road from club house and pool area. Your low monthly fees get you access to all the subdivisions' amenities which includes access to pool, spa, club house and community functions. Two pets permitted with limits and trash pick-up covered in fee. Call for an appointment today.
Key facts
- Gated community
- Fully renovated
- Laminate flooring
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Association name listed as Margaret Thomas
- Financial info: Total monthly association fees: $114 (total annual fees $1,368); Lease restrictions apply
- HOA & community: Has HOA (monthly $114) — association approval required; Association amenities: clubhouse, pool, pickleball courts, private road, recreational facilities, trash; Community features: clubhouse, community mailbox, deed restrictions, golf carts allowed, association-owned recreation, buyer approval required; Senior community; Pets allowed (max 25 lb)
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Security: Gated community (association amenity)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity connected; Phone available; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Residential mobile home; Single wide; One story; Faces west; Completed condition
- Construction: Metal siding; Membrane roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built on a 0.11-acre lot (private maintained paved road)
- Exterior features: Rain gutters; Outdoor storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate; Crawlspace foundation (access)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Double-pane windows
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room (outside); Washer; Dryer; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $99k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $374 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
- Recommended offer: $87k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 3.7% in Pasadena Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#723 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-, cost of living A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Pasco (suburban): math 50% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #32 of 73 in FL (top 44%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.5%/yr); 856 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,765 units permitted in Pasco County in 2024 (1,250 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Pasco County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 303 days — a 12% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $62k; list at $99k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 303 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.41% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.18%
- DSCR
- 1.72
- GRM
- 5.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $72,576
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37512 Attica Ave | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 684 (+2%) | 3mo | $74,000 | $108 | 71 |
| 7045 EL Dewitt St | 0.09mi | 2/2.0 | 732 (+9%) | 12mo | $55,000 | $75 | 71 |
| 37826 Daughtery Rd | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 | 720 (+7%) | 11mo | $126,500 | $176 | 70 |
| 38533 Ethel Ave | 0.67mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+7%) | 1mo | $69,900 | $97 | 52 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $3,710
- Equity at exit
- $14,761
- IRR
- 9.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.66×
- Total profit
- $18,231
- Equity at exit
- $8,560
Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33541
- Home prices YoY
- -15.2%
- Rents YoY
- -2.5%
- Active inventory
- 856
- Price-to-rent
- 5.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,400 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$519
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $696/yr
- Insurance
- −$41
- HOA
- −$114
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$294
- Net cashflow
- $374
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $24,750
- Closing costs
- $2,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 38112 Townview Ave Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,100 | $1.57 | 24d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 6991 Fort King Rd Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $899 | $1.80 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 38706 Daughtery Rd Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 445 | $974 | $2.19 | 16d | 2 | 0.82mi |
| 6302 Abbott Station Dr Zephyrhills, FL | 3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 855 | $1,732 | $2.02 | 1d | 142 | 1.02mi |
| 6052 10th St Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 644 | $1,200 | $1.86 | 24d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 38748 Calumet Ave Zephyrhills, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,100 | $1.47 | 4d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 8129 Cass Rd Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 540 | $1,100 | $2.04 | 24d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 38010 14th Ave Apt 3 Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 537 | $1,195 | $2.23 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 39029 Kirkland Dr Zephyrhills, FL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $950 | $1.90 | 24d | 1 | 1.41mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $114 · $1,368/yr
- Likely covers
- watertrashpool
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-06-15status $99,000 Pending 303 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $99,000 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $99,000 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $99,000 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $99,000 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $99,000 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $99,000 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $99,000 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $99,000 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $99,000 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $99,000 Active 288 DOM
-
2026-05-06price $99,000
-
2026-03-12price $104,000
-
2026-02-04price $114,000
-
2025-10-20price $114,999
-
2025-08-27price $119,999
-
2025-08-16$124,000 Active
-
2020-09-16soldstatus $61,500
-
2020-08-31soldstatus $61,500 Sold 1221-char remark
Show marketing remark (1221 chars)
Your beautiful dream Florida home awaits in an active 55+ community where you own your own land (NO LOT RENT) with a low HOA fee of $80/month. This spacious completely redone home offers 2 BR 2 bath with open floor plan between family room, dining room, and kitchen. This home is in great condition with new laminate flooring in all rooms, new appliances, new kitchen cabinets, counter tops, fresh paint, new hot water tank, new plumbing, new walk-in shower in Master bath, new tub/shower in guest bath, beautiful tile work in both bathrooms, and many updated fixtures. The open floor plan is great for entertaining. The all new kitchen has updated fixtures, plenty of cabinets, and laminate flooring. Master bathroom offers step in shower and updated fixtures. This beautiful Florida home has curb appeal that starts outside and does not stop throughout! Don't miss this opportunity to own your vacation get away. Incredible location across the road from club house and pool area. Your low monthly fees get you access to all the subdivisions' amenities which includes access to pool, spa, club house and community functions. Two pets permitted with limits and trash pick-up covered in fee. Call for an appointment today.
-
2020-08-18status Pending 1221-char remark
Show marketing remark (1221 chars)
Your beautiful dream Florida home awaits in an active 55+ community where you own your own land (NO LOT RENT) with a low HOA fee of $80/month. This spacious completely redone home offers 2 BR 2 bath with open floor plan between family room, dining room, and kitchen. This home is in great condition with new laminate flooring in all rooms, new appliances, new kitchen cabinets, counter tops, fresh paint, new hot water tank, new plumbing, new walk-in shower in Master bath, new tub/shower in guest bath, beautiful tile work in both bathrooms, and many updated fixtures. The open floor plan is great for entertaining. The all new kitchen has updated fixtures, plenty of cabinets, and laminate flooring. Master bathroom offers step in shower and updated fixtures. This beautiful Florida home has curb appeal that starts outside and does not stop throughout! Don't miss this opportunity to own your vacation get away. Incredible location across the road from club house and pool area. Your low monthly fees get you access to all the subdivisions' amenities which includes access to pool, spa, club house and community functions. Two pets permitted with limits and trash pick-up covered in fee. Call for an appointment today.
-
2020-06-11status Active 1221-char remark
Show marketing remark (1221 chars)
Your beautiful dream Florida home awaits in an active 55+ community where you own your own land (NO LOT RENT) with a low HOA fee of $80/month. This spacious completely redone home offers 2 BR 2 bath with open floor plan between family room, dining room, and kitchen. This home is in great condition with new laminate flooring in all rooms, new appliances, new kitchen cabinets, counter tops, fresh paint, new hot water tank, new plumbing, new walk-in shower in Master bath, new tub/shower in guest bath, beautiful tile work in both bathrooms, and many updated fixtures. The open floor plan is great for entertaining. The all new kitchen has updated fixtures, plenty of cabinets, and laminate flooring. Master bathroom offers step in shower and updated fixtures. This beautiful Florida home has curb appeal that starts outside and does not stop throughout! Don't miss this opportunity to own your vacation get away. Incredible location across the road from club house and pool area. Your low monthly fees get you access to all the subdivisions' amenities which includes access to pool, spa, club house and community functions. Two pets permitted with limits and trash pick-up covered in fee. Call for an appointment today.
-
2020-06-05status Pending 1221-char remark
Show marketing remark (1221 chars)
Your beautiful dream Florida home awaits in an active 55+ community where you own your own land (NO LOT RENT) with a low HOA fee of $80/month. This spacious completely redone home offers 2 BR 2 bath with open floor plan between family room, dining room, and kitchen. This home is in great condition with new laminate flooring in all rooms, new appliances, new kitchen cabinets, counter tops, fresh paint, new hot water tank, new plumbing, new walk-in shower in Master bath, new tub/shower in guest bath, beautiful tile work in both bathrooms, and many updated fixtures. The open floor plan is great for entertaining. The all new kitchen has updated fixtures, plenty of cabinets, and laminate flooring. Master bathroom offers step in shower and updated fixtures. This beautiful Florida home has curb appeal that starts outside and does not stop throughout! Don't miss this opportunity to own your vacation get away. Incredible location across the road from club house and pool area. Your low monthly fees get you access to all the subdivisions' amenities which includes access to pool, spa, club house and community functions. Two pets permitted with limits and trash pick-up covered in fee. Call for an appointment today.
-
2020-05-29$67,500 Active 1221-char remark
Show marketing remark (1221 chars)
Your beautiful dream Florida home awaits in an active 55+ community where you own your own land (NO LOT RENT) with a low HOA fee of $80/month. This spacious completely redone home offers 2 BR 2 bath with open floor plan between family room, dining room, and kitchen. This home is in great condition with new laminate flooring in all rooms, new appliances, new kitchen cabinets, counter tops, fresh paint, new hot water tank, new plumbing, new walk-in shower in Master bath, new tub/shower in guest bath, beautiful tile work in both bathrooms, and many updated fixtures. The open floor plan is great for entertaining. The all new kitchen has updated fixtures, plenty of cabinets, and laminate flooring. Master bathroom offers step in shower and updated fixtures. This beautiful Florida home has curb appeal that starts outside and does not stop throughout! Don't miss this opportunity to own your vacation get away. Incredible location across the road from club house and pool area. Your low monthly fees get you access to all the subdivisions' amenities which includes access to pool, spa, club house and community functions. Two pets permitted with limits and trash pick-up covered in fee. Call for an appointment today.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $696 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $822 · $68/mo
- Expected delta
- +$126/yr (+$11/mo · 18.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,802
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,546
- − Property taxes
- −$696
- − Insurance
- −$495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,344
- − Management
- −$1,344
- − HOA
- −$1,368
- − Depreciation
- −$2,880
- Taxable income
- $3,130
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$751
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,734/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pasco
- NCES district ID
- 1201530
- Math proficiency
- 50% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 52% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,039
- Composite
- 43.14/100
- National rank
- #3074
- State rank
- #32 of 73 in FL
Livability — Pasadena Hills
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #723
- US rank
- #15499
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pasadena Hills, FL
- County
- Pasco County · 524,098 people
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,654
- Household income
- $56,579
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 393.0
Population outlook (Pasco County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 570,045 people
- By 2030
- 605,844 · +6.3%
- By 2040
- 674,806 · +18.4%
- By 2050
- 736,022 · +29.1%
- By 2075
- 862,900 · +51.4%
- By 2100
- 906,364 · +59.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 8% Black 5% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Romanian 3% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 9% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Pasco
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+25.2) · D 36.9% · R 62.1% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.6pp toward R · 2008: -3.6pp · 2024: -25.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+25.2 2020: R+20.1 2016: R+21.6 2012: R+6.7 2008: R+3.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.21%
- Current HPI
- 308.0619
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.51%
- Metro
- Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+46.7% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Price Changed $99,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $104,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-04 Price Changed $114,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-20 Price Changed $114,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-27 Price Changed $119,999 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-16 Listed $124,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-09-16 Sold (Public Records) $61,500 Public Records
- 2020-08-31 Sold (MLS) $61,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-08-18 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-06-11 Relisted — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-06-05 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2020-05-29 Listed $67,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+15.3%/yrLatest (2025): $696 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…