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Ashton Plan 🏗️ New Construction
D- Composite 36.3
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Cash flow +5.7/30.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.2/10.0
  • DSCR +0.1/10.0

$396,990

Ashton Plan · Aurora, IL 60503
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,794 sqft · SingleFamily · 265 Days on market

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Introducing the Ashton townhome at our Wheatland Crossing community in Aurora, Illinois, where every square foot is designed for comfort and functionality. This 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath, 2-story home offers 1,794 square feet of living space, combining modern convenience and timeless elegance. Enjoy 9-foot ceilings and luxury vinyl flooring throughout the main level. As you step inside, you are greeted by an inviting entry and flex room lead to the heart of the home. The open-concept layout connects the kitchen and great room, ideal for entertaining. A large great room window fills the space with natural light, and there's ample seating for gathering or relaxing. The kitchen includes 42-inch designer cabinetry with soft-close drawers, crown molding, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, a pantry, and an expansive eat-in island with overhang seating. Upstairs, a roomy loft works perfectly as a home office or kids' game room. The primary bedroom has an attached bath with a walk-in closet and double vanity. Two additional bedrooms with carpet and closets offer flexibility for any family member. Contact us today to learn more about the Ashton townhome floorplan at Wheatland Crossing!

Key facts

  • 9 foot ceilings
  • Large kitchen
  • Open concept layout

Tags

WHEATLAND CROSSING COMMUNITY9 FOOT CEILINGSLUXURY VINYL FLOORINGOPEN CONCEPT LAYOUTLARGE KITCHEN42 INCH DESIGNER CABINETRY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🏗️ New construction. The $396,990 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $476,472.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $397k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-977 ($-12k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $335k (15.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $293k (26.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $293k (26.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#232 in IL, #4,272 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: schools F, amenities F, health & safety F.
  • CUSD 308 (suburban): math 29% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #179 of 620 in IL (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 20% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 124 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 706 units permitted in Kendall County in 2024 (263 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $51k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $48k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Kendall County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$82k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 265 days — a 12% lower offer ($349k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Recommended offer $293,152 (26.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 265 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.62%
Cap rate
3.83%
Cash-on-cash
-8.79%
DSCR
0.61
GRM
13.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$476,472
List price
$396,990
Delta
-16.68%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2047 James Leigh Dr 0.22mi 3/2.0 1,901 (+6%) 5mo $396,000 $208 74
1966 Congrove Dr 0.33mi 3/2.5 1,990 (+11%) 2mo $430,600 $216 65
1900 Canyon Creek Dr 0.12mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,051 (+14%) 3mo $499,990 $244 63
1830 Canyon Creek Dr 0.12mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,051 (+14%) 3mo $514,990 $251 63
1870 Canyon Creek Dr 0.12mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,051 (+14%) 5mo $528,990 $258 61
1973 Eastwick Ln 0.21mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,563 (-13%) 3mo $440,000 $282 60
2100 Hammel Ave 0.54mi 3/2.5 1,936 (+8%) 2mo $401,000 $207 60
1875 Keating Dr 0.28mi 4/2.5 (+1) 2,051 (+14%) 1mo $513,990 $251 57
1961 Wilson Creek Cir 0.56mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,718 (-4%) 6mo $465,000 $271 55
3156 Adelwood Cir 0.61mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,871 (+4%) 3mo $546,040 $292 55
1629 Silver Springs Ct 0.74mi 3/2.5 1,699 (-5%) 5mo $380,000 $224 53
1672 Edinburgh Ln 0.71mi 3/1.5 1,620 (-10%) 7mo $390,000 $241 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.1%
Equity multiple
2.48×
Total profit
$197,325
Equity at exit
$429,244
10-year hold
IRR
16.9%
Equity multiple
5.72×
Total profit
$630,106
Equity at exit
$925,681

Cash invested: $133,412 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60503

Home prices YoY
4.6%
Active inventory
124
Price-to-rent
11.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,932 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,499
Tax est. 1.5%
$596 /mo · $7,147/yr
Insurance
$199
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$616
Net cashflow
$-977

Break-even live

Break-even rent $4,168
Max offer price $335,114
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$119,118
Closing costs
$14,294
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 29 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1801 Turtle Creek Dr Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1794 $3,300 $1.84 18d 1 0.09mi
2048 Canyon Creek Ct Aurora, IL 4.0 2.5 1794 $3,400 $1.90 21d 1 0.11mi
1998 Conway Ln Aurora, IL 4.0 2.5 2304 $3,200 $1.39 43d 1 0.26mi
1847 Clubhouse Dr Aurora, IL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1238 $2,781 $2.25 1d 24 0.49mi
2333 Summerlin Dr #2333 Aurora, IL 2.0 2.0 1572 $2,500 $1.59 43d 1 0.49mi
2337 Summerlin Dr Aurora, IL 3.0 1.5 1700 $2,500 $1.47 43d 1 0.49mi
669 Lincoln Station Dr #669 Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1315 $2,250 $1.71 20d 1 0.59mi
616 Lincoln Station Dr Oswego, IL 2.0 2.5 1318 $2,250 $1.71 24d 1 0.61mi
640 Lincoln Station Dr Oswego, IL 2.0 2.5 1318 $2,100 $1.59 43d 1 0.63mi
644 Lincoln Station Dr #644 Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1318 $2,250 $1.71 43d 1 0.63mi
652 Lincoln Station Dr Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,999 $1.33 3d 1 0.65mi
652 Lincoln Station Dr Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1500 $1,999 $1.33 17d 1 0.65mi
690 Lincoln Station Dr Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1318 $2,100 $1.59 2d 1 0.65mi
2205 Daybreak Dr #2205 Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1700 $2,500 $1.47 5d 1 0.67mi
2226 Daybreak Dr #2226 Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1627 $2,500 $1.54 43d 1 0.70mi
2516 Hillsboro Blvd Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1482 $2,300 $1.55 17d 1 0.97mi
2460 Georgetown Cir Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1532 $2,400 $1.57 1d 1 0.98mi
2036 Antietam Ct Aurora, IL 4.0 2.5 2345 $3,450 $1.47 2d 1 1.00mi
2531 Congress Ave #2531 Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1532 $2,500 $1.63 43d 1 1.05mi
2550 Providence Ave Aurora, IL 2.0 2.5 1550 $2,300 $1.48 43d 1 1.08mi
2575 Hillsboro Blvd Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1530 $2,500 $1.63 43d 1 1.08mi
2598 Hillsboro Blvd Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1482 $2,395 $1.62 20d 1 1.10mi
2270 Georgetown Cir Unit 2270 Aurora, IL 3.0 2.5 1533 $2,800 $1.83 43d 1 1.13mi
1419 Farrington Ln Aurora, IL 3.0 1.5 1476 $2,959 $2.00 2d 1 1.13mi
347 Devoe Dr Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1520 $2,595 $1.71 12d 1 1.23mi
337 Devoe Dr #337 Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1500 $2,600 $1.73 24d 1 1.23mi
260 Devoe Dr Oswego, IL 3.0 2.5 1704 $2,400 $1.41 12d 1 1.38mi
2420 Harbor Ct Aurora, IL 3.0 2.0 1705 $3,150 $1.85 24d 1 1.46mi
159 Chapin Way Oswego, IL 4.0 3.5 2415 $3,500 $1.45 18d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $396,990 Active 265 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $396,990 Active 264 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $396,990 Active 263 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $396,990 Active 262 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $396,990 Active 260 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $396,990 Active 256 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $396,990 Active 255 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $396,990 Active 254 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $396,990 Active 251 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $396,990 Active 250 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $396,990 Active 249 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $396,990 Active 248 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $396,990 Active 247 DOM
  14. 2026-02-05
    price $396,990 1202-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1202 chars)

    Introducing the Ashton townhome at our Wheatland Crossing community in Aurora, Illinois, where every square foot is designed for comfort and functionality. This 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath, 2-story home offers 1,794 square feet of living space, combining modern convenience and timeless elegance. Enjoy 9-foot ceilings and luxury vinyl flooring throughout the main level. As you step inside, you are greeted by an inviting entry and flex room lead to the heart of the home. The open-concept layout connects the kitchen and great room, ideal for entertaining. A large great room window fills the space with natural light, and there's ample seating for gathering or relaxing. The kitchen includes 42-inch designer cabinetry with soft-close drawers, crown molding, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, a pantry, and an expansive eat-in island with overhang seating. Upstairs, a roomy loft works perfectly as a home office or kids' game room. The primary bedroom has an attached bath with a walk-in closet and double vanity. Two additional bedrooms with carpet and closets offer flexibility for any family member. Contact us today to learn more about the Ashton townhome floorplan at Wheatland Crossing!

  15. 2026-01-22
    price $395,990 1202-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1202 chars)

    Introducing the Ashton townhome at our Wheatland Crossing community in Aurora, Illinois, where every square foot is designed for comfort and functionality. This 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath, 2-story home offers 1,794 square feet of living space, combining modern convenience and timeless elegance. Enjoy 9-foot ceilings and luxury vinyl flooring throughout the main level. As you step inside, you are greeted by an inviting entry and flex room lead to the heart of the home. The open-concept layout connects the kitchen and great room, ideal for entertaining. A large great room window fills the space with natural light, and there's ample seating for gathering or relaxing. The kitchen includes 42-inch designer cabinetry with soft-close drawers, crown molding, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, a pantry, and an expansive eat-in island with overhang seating. Upstairs, a roomy loft works perfectly as a home office or kids' game room. The primary bedroom has an attached bath with a walk-in closet and double vanity. Two additional bedrooms with carpet and closets offer flexibility for any family member. Contact us today to learn more about the Ashton townhome floorplan at Wheatland Crossing!

  16. 2025-09-27
    status Active 1202-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1202 chars)

    Introducing the Ashton townhome at our Wheatland Crossing community in Aurora, Illinois, where every square foot is designed for comfort and functionality. This 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath, 2-story home offers 1,794 square feet of living space, combining modern convenience and timeless elegance. Enjoy 9-foot ceilings and luxury vinyl flooring throughout the main level. As you step inside, you are greeted by an inviting entry and flex room lead to the heart of the home. The open-concept layout connects the kitchen and great room, ideal for entertaining. A large great room window fills the space with natural light, and there's ample seating for gathering or relaxing. The kitchen includes 42-inch designer cabinetry with soft-close drawers, crown molding, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, a pantry, and an expansive eat-in island with overhang seating. Upstairs, a roomy loft works perfectly as a home office or kids' game room. The primary bedroom has an attached bath with a walk-in closet and double vanity. Two additional bedrooms with carpet and closets offer flexibility for any family member. Contact us today to learn more about the Ashton townhome floorplan at Wheatland Crossing!

  17. 2025-04-23
    historical 1202-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1202 chars)

    Introducing the Ashton townhome at our Wheatland Crossing community in Aurora, Illinois, where every square foot is designed for comfort and functionality. This 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath, 2-story home offers 1,794 square feet of living space, combining modern convenience and timeless elegance. Enjoy 9-foot ceilings and luxury vinyl flooring throughout the main level. As you step inside, you are greeted by an inviting entry and flex room lead to the heart of the home. The open-concept layout connects the kitchen and great room, ideal for entertaining. A large great room window fills the space with natural light, and there's ample seating for gathering or relaxing. The kitchen includes 42-inch designer cabinetry with soft-close drawers, crown molding, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, a pantry, and an expansive eat-in island with overhang seating. Upstairs, a roomy loft works perfectly as a home office or kids' game room. The primary bedroom has an attached bath with a walk-in closet and double vanity. Two additional bedrooms with carpet and closets offer flexibility for any family member. Contact us today to learn more about the Ashton townhome floorplan at Wheatland Crossing!

  18. 2025-04-22
    listed $394,990 Active 1202-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1202 chars)

    Introducing the Ashton townhome at our Wheatland Crossing community in Aurora, Illinois, where every square foot is designed for comfort and functionality. This 3-bedroom, 2.5-bath, 2-story home offers 1,794 square feet of living space, combining modern convenience and timeless elegance. Enjoy 9-foot ceilings and luxury vinyl flooring throughout the main level. As you step inside, you are greeted by an inviting entry and flex room lead to the heart of the home. The open-concept layout connects the kitchen and great room, ideal for entertaining. A large great room window fills the space with natural light, and there's ample seating for gathering or relaxing. The kitchen includes 42-inch designer cabinetry with soft-close drawers, crown molding, quartz countertops, stainless steel appliances, a pantry, and an expansive eat-in island with overhang seating. Upstairs, a roomy loft works perfectly as a home office or kids' game room. The primary bedroom has an attached bath with a walk-in closet and double vanity. Two additional bedrooms with carpet and closets offer flexibility for any family member. Contact us today to learn more about the Ashton townhome floorplan at Wheatland Crossing!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$35,178
− Mortgage interest
−$26,690
− Property taxes
−$7,147
− Insurance
−$2,382
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,814
− Management
−$2,814
− Depreciation
−$13,861
Taxable loss
−$20,531
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4,927
After-tax cash flow
$-6,795/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
CUSD 308
NCES district ID
1730270
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$89,945
Composite
31.25/100
National rank
#6028
State rank
#179 of 620 in IL

Livability — Aurora

Score
75/100
State rank
#232
US rank
#4272

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime B- Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Aurora, IL
County
Will County · 412,448 people
City population
186,692
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
16,789
Household income
$136,726
Rent vs Own
9.8% rent · 90.2% own
Severe rent burden
19.0

Population outlook (Kendall County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
138,283 people
By 2030
144,935 · +4.8%
By 2040
156,944 · +13.5%
By 2050
165,424 · +19.6%
By 2075
174,715 · +26.3%
By 2100
168,523 · +21.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 49% Asian 19% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 10% Scandinavian 3% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
22% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
68% English-only · Other Indo-European 11% Spanish 8% Other Asian/Pacific 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Kendall

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.5% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-5.7pp toward R · 2008: 7.2pp · 2024: 1.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.5 2020: D+5.7 2016: R+1.5 2012: R+4.1 2008: D+7.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 10.31%
Current HPI
232.382
Rent YoY
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.5% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-05 Price Changed $396,990 Zillow
  • 2026-01-22 Price Changed $395,990 Zillow
  • 2025-09-27 Relisted Zillow
  • 2025-04-23 Delisted Zillow
  • 2025-04-22 Listed $394,990 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…