20071 Timberidge Rd · Harrah, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 5.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.0/30.0
- ARV discount +5.1/15.0
- DSCR +4.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome home!!!!!! 3 bed, 1.1 bath attached 1 car garage is waiting for a new owner! The back of the home is peaceful as it looks to a field! For stormy nights simply go into your storm shelter. If you loose electricity you can buy a generator since the home is already set up for one! Come take a look today!
Key facts
- New concrete
- Front porch
- Covered back patio
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Below-ground outdoor storm shelter; Homestead eligible; Existing property (not new construction)
- HOA & community: No mandatory association dues
Exterior
- Parking: Backyard parking on concrete; 1-car garage
- Utilities: Electricity available; Public utilities
- Home design: Single family residence; One-level home; Faces south; Residential property
- Construction: Brick construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Outdoor storage; Wood fencing; Interior lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing electric range; Free-standing electric oven
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Window treatments
- Laundry & utility: Garage door lift
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $179k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $87 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $158k (11.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $158k (11.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.3% in Harrah — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#163 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Harrah (town): math 24% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #82 of 270 in OK (top 30%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Clara Reynolds Es (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #311 of 845 statewide, top 40%, 313 students, 0% FRL); Harrah Ms (math 18% / reading 27%, grade F, #122 of 345 statewide, top 37%, 528 students, 0% FRL); Harrah Hs (math 27% / reading 27%, grade F, #125 of 447 statewide, top 31%, 630 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 42% district-wide (42 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 194 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 5,365 units permitted in Oklahoma County in 2024 (569 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Oklahoma County population projected at +41% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 46 days — a 3% lower offer ($174k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $140k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 46 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.88%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.09%
- DSCR
- 1.09
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $169,850
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20061 Palmer Rd | 0.07mi | 3/1.5 | 1,111 (+3%) | 3mo | $165,000 | $149 | 86 |
| 465 Echo Ln | 0.36mi | 3/1.5 | 1,075 (0%) | 7mo | $165,000 | $153 | 75 |
| 20040 Roman Rd | 0.16mi | 3/1.5 | 1,164 (+8%) | 4mo | $185,000 | $159 | 73 |
| 19 Echo Ln | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 | 1,075 (0%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $153 | 69 |
| 318 Park Ln | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,158 (+8%) | 6mo | $254,885 | $220 | 69 |
| 470 Timberidge Rd | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,233 (+15%) | 0mo | $209,500 | $170 | 67 |
| 20320 Rockhollow Dr | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,111 (+3%) | 6mo | $168,000 | $151 | 67 |
| 20 Echo Ln | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 | 1,115 (+4%) | 0mo | $165,000 | $148 | 65 |
| 20300 Rockhollow Dr | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,113 (+4%) | 10mo | $175,000 | $157 | 64 |
| 290 Hickory Stick Ln | 0.43mi | 3/1.5 | 1,128 (+5%) | 8mo | $185,000 | $164 | 63 |
| 134 Echo Ln | 0.48mi | 3/1.5 | 1,140 (+6%) | 4mo | $179,900 | $158 | 62 |
| 20160 Park Ln | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,234 (+15%) | 8mo | $264,891 | $215 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.53×
- Total profit
- $-23,461
- Equity at exit
- $26,689
- IRR
- -4.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-13,350
- Equity at exit
- $15,477
Cash invested: $50,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 73045
- Home prices YoY
- -16.9%
- Active inventory
- 194
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,583 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$939
- Tax from tax record
- −$150 /mo · $1,795/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$332
- Net cashflow
- $87
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $189 | -5% $138 | +0% $87 | +5% $37 | +10% $-14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-38 | -5% $25 | +0% $87 | +5% $150 | +10% $212 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $178 | -0.5pp $133 | base $87 | +0.5pp $41 | +1.0pp $-6 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,750
- Closing costs
- $5,370
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20061 Palmer Rd Harrah, OK | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1111 | $1,495 | $1.35 | 3d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 20150 Park Ln Harrah, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1464 | $1,850 | $1.26 | 21d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 20635 Penney Ln Harrah, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1050 | $1,450 | $1.38 | 3d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 20542 Frontier Pl Harrah, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1350 | $1,600 | $1.19 | 3d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 20618 Frontier Pl Harrah, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $1,549 | $1.19 | 12d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 20849 Landmark Cir Unit 15 Harrah, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,400 | $1.08 | 3d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 20849 Landmark Dr Harrah, OK | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $2,000 | $1.54 | 3d | 5 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-08statusdays on market $179,000 Pending 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-04-23$179,000 Active
-
2022-10-03soldstatus $140,000
-
2022-09-30soldstatus $140,000 Closed 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
Welcome home!!!!!! 3 bed, 1.1 bath attached 1 car garage is waiting for a new owner! The back of the home is peaceful as it looks to a field! For stormy nights simply go into your storm shelter. If you loose electricity you can buy a generator since the home is already set up for one! Come take a look today!
-
2022-09-20status Pending 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
Welcome home!!!!!! 3 bed, 1.1 bath attached 1 car garage is waiting for a new owner! The back of the home is peaceful as it looks to a field! For stormy nights simply go into your storm shelter. If you loose electricity you can buy a generator since the home is already set up for one! Come take a look today!
-
2022-08-29status Pending 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
Welcome home!!!!!! 3 bed, 1.1 bath attached 1 car garage is waiting for a new owner! The back of the home is peaceful as it looks to a field! For stormy nights simply go into your storm shelter. If you loose electricity you can buy a generator since the home is already set up for one! Come take a look today!
-
2022-08-26$130,000 Active 310-char remark
Show marketing remark (310 chars)
Welcome home!!!!!! 3 bed, 1.1 bath attached 1 car garage is waiting for a new owner! The back of the home is peaceful as it looks to a field! For stormy nights simply go into your storm shelter. If you loose electricity you can buy a generator since the home is already set up for one! Come take a look today!
-
2018-05-31soldstatus $97,500
-
2018-05-25soldstatus $97,500 Sold 418-char remark
Show marketing remark (418 chars)
Eligible for 100% USDA Financing!! This Charming, Newly Remodeled Home is nestled in the Heart of Harrah. Newly tiled floors, fresh paint and updated bathrooms make this house Move-In-Ready! All bedrooms have spacious closets. The attached garage features a work space area and room for storage. The big backyard includes a storm shelter and has plenty of room for play! Check out this great deal before it's gone!
-
2018-04-20status Pending 418-char remark
Show marketing remark (418 chars)
Eligible for 100% USDA Financing!! This Charming, Newly Remodeled Home is nestled in the Heart of Harrah. Newly tiled floors, fresh paint and updated bathrooms make this house Move-In-Ready! All bedrooms have spacious closets. The attached garage features a work space area and room for storage. The big backyard includes a storm shelter and has plenty of room for play! Check out this great deal before it's gone!
-
2018-03-23$94,500 Active 418-char remark
Show marketing remark (418 chars)
Eligible for 100% USDA Financing!! This Charming, Newly Remodeled Home is nestled in the Heart of Harrah. Newly tiled floors, fresh paint and updated bathrooms make this house Move-In-Ready! All bedrooms have spacious closets. The attached garage features a work space area and room for storage. The big backyard includes a storm shelter and has plenty of room for play! Check out this great deal before it's gone!
-
1994-12-06soldstatus $43,000
-
1978-11-01soldstatus $34,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,795 · $150/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,795 · $150/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 5% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,991
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,027
- − Property taxes
- −$1,795
- − Insurance
- −$895
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,519
- − Management
- −$1,519
- − Depreciation
- −$5,207
- Taxable loss
- −$1,971
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$473
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,522/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrah
- NCES district ID
- 4013890
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,737
- Composite
- 23.55/100
- National rank
- #7860
- State rank
- #82 of 270 in OK
Livability — Harrah
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #163
- US rank
- #13659
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Harrah, OK
- City population
- 11,542
- Population (ZIP)
- 11,542
Population outlook (Oklahoma County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 911,875 people
- By 2030
- 982,413 · +7.7%
- By 2040
- 1,130,468 · +24.0%
- By 2050
- 1,288,422 · +41.3%
- By 2075
- 1,711,482 · +87.7%
- By 2100
- 2,088,448 · +129.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Native American 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Oklahoma
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.7% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +15.1pp toward D · 2008: -16.8pp · 2024: -1.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.7 2020: R+1.1 2016: R+10.5 2012: R+16.7 2008: R+16.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -55.25%
- Current HPI
- 272.5731
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+426.5% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-23 Listed $179,000 MLSOK
- 2022-10-03 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
- 2022-09-30 Sold (MLS) $140,000 MLSOK
- 2022-09-20 Pending — MLSOK
- 2022-08-29 Pending — MLSOK
- 2022-08-26 Listed $130,000 MLSOK
- 2018-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $97,500 Public Records
- 2018-05-25 Sold (MLS) $97,500 MLSOK
- 2018-04-20 Pending — MLSOK
- 2018-03-23 Listed $94,500 MLSOK
- 1994-12-06 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records
- 1978-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,795 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…