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1472 N Foster Ave
B Composite 73.23
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.7/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +3.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.4/10.0

$84,900

1472 N Foster Ave · Decatur, IL 62526
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,040 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 49 Days on market
Built 1957 7,841 sqft lot $82/sqft · at area comps Est $99k · 14% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 3 bedroom ranch home with 2 car detached garage is located on the west end of HomePark on fenced lot that backs up to park/school property. It offers hardwood floors throughout, an eat-in kitchen with white cabinets and a large pantry. The bathroom will catch your attention as it was recently beautifully updated with tile floors, glassed-in tub-shower and more. The basement was waterproofed with a pump added in the past and offers a finished bonus room which could serve as a family room or 4th bedroom. Roof is believed to be less than 5 years. Inside photos to be posted.

Key facts

  • 7,841 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1957

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $279 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
  • Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 7.0% in Decatur — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,076 in IL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Decatur SD 61 (urban): math 3% / reading 6% proficiency, ranked #605 of 620 in IL (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 135 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 63 units permitted in Macon County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.2%/yr); year-one equity from $587 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macon County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-2.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 49 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $59k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1957 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $82,353 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 49 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1957 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.37%
Cap rate
10.24%
Cash-on-cash
14.10%
DSCR
1.63
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$98,582
List price
$84,900
Delta
-13.88%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2451 W Olive St 0.28mi 3/1.0 1,087 (+4%) 1mo $143,500 $132 79
2125 Clearmont Ave 0.30mi 3/1.5 1,083 (+4%) 6mo $65,000 $60 72
2227 Yorkshire Dr 0.27mi 3/2.0 1,004 (-4%) 9mo $131,000 $130 70
2192 Waggoner St 0.20mi 3/1.0 1,140 (+10%) 8mo $92,500 $81 68
1094 Westlawn Ave 0.42mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,004 (-4%) 2mo $75,000 $75 66
1675 W Center St 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,025 (-1%) 8mo $96,000 $94 63
1706 W Division St 0.56mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,040 (0%) 8mo $73,560 $71 63
2085 W Ramsey Dr 0.30mi 3/1.0 884 (-15%) 6mo $105,000 $119 56
1702 N Summit Ave 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,166 (+12%) 1mo $95,000 $81 52
1066 N Oakcrest Ave 0.49mi 2/1.5 (-1) 960 (-8%) 9mo $86,000 $90 50
1645 W Center St 0.64mi 3/1.0 925 (-11%) 6mo $55,000 $59 46
1530 W Cushing St 0.74mi 2/1.0 (-1) 972 (-6%) 6mo $64,500 $66 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-2.21% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.0%
Equity multiple
1.29×
Total profit
$6,901
Equity at exit
$15,662
10-year hold
IRR
15.1%
Equity multiple
2.33×
Total profit
$31,599
Equity at exit
$12,604

Cash invested: $23,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62526

Home prices YoY
-1.2%
Active inventory
135
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,160 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$445
Tax from tax record
$157 /mo · $1,880/yr
Insurance
$35
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$279

Break-even live

Break-even rent $807
Max offer price $84,900
Occupancy floor 71%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$21,225
Closing costs
$2,547
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1090 N Oakcrest Ave Decatur, IL 2.0 1.0 1344 $1,100 $0.82 44d 1 0.50mi
1345 N Fairview Ave Decatur, IL 3.0 1.0 785 $985 $1.25 44d 1 0.92mi
117 S Elder Ln Apt 9 Decatur, IL 2.0 1.0 857 $950 $1.11 44d 1 1.08mi
1311 N Walnut Grove Ave Decatur, IL 2.0 1.0 781 $1,100 $1.41 44d 1 1.31mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    historical Active Under Contract 582-char remark
    Show marketing remark (582 chars)

    This 3 bedroom ranch home with 2 car detached garage is located on the west end of HomePark on fenced lot that backs up to park/school property. It offers hardwood floors throughout, an eat-in kitchen with white cabinets and a large pantry. The bathroom will catch your attention as it was recently beautifully updated with tile floors, glassed-in tub-shower and more. The basement was waterproofed with a pump added in the past and offers a finished bonus room which could serve as a family room or 4th bedroom. Roof is believed to be less than 5 years. Inside photos to be posted.

  2. 2026-05-01
    price $84,900 582-char remark
    Show marketing remark (582 chars)

    This 3 bedroom ranch home with 2 car detached garage is located on the west end of HomePark on fenced lot that backs up to park/school property. It offers hardwood floors throughout, an eat-in kitchen with white cabinets and a large pantry. The bathroom will catch your attention as it was recently beautifully updated with tile floors, glassed-in tub-shower and more. The basement was waterproofed with a pump added in the past and offers a finished bonus room which could serve as a family room or 4th bedroom. Roof is believed to be less than 5 years. Inside photos to be posted.

  3. 2026-04-22
    status Active 582-char remark
    Show marketing remark (582 chars)

    This 3 bedroom ranch home with 2 car detached garage is located on the west end of HomePark on fenced lot that backs up to park/school property. It offers hardwood floors throughout, an eat-in kitchen with white cabinets and a large pantry. The bathroom will catch your attention as it was recently beautifully updated with tile floors, glassed-in tub-shower and more. The basement was waterproofed with a pump added in the past and offers a finished bonus room which could serve as a family room or 4th bedroom. Roof is believed to be less than 5 years. Inside photos to be posted.

  4. 2026-04-12
    historical Active Under Contract 582-char remark
    Show marketing remark (582 chars)

    This 3 bedroom ranch home with 2 car detached garage is located on the west end of HomePark on fenced lot that backs up to park/school property. It offers hardwood floors throughout, an eat-in kitchen with white cabinets and a large pantry. The bathroom will catch your attention as it was recently beautifully updated with tile floors, glassed-in tub-shower and more. The basement was waterproofed with a pump added in the past and offers a finished bonus room which could serve as a family room or 4th bedroom. Roof is believed to be less than 5 years. Inside photos to be posted.

  5. 2026-04-07
    listed $98,500 Active 582-char remark
    Show marketing remark (582 chars)

    This 3 bedroom ranch home with 2 car detached garage is located on the west end of HomePark on fenced lot that backs up to park/school property. It offers hardwood floors throughout, an eat-in kitchen with white cabinets and a large pantry. The bathroom will catch your attention as it was recently beautifully updated with tile floors, glassed-in tub-shower and more. The basement was waterproofed with a pump added in the past and offers a finished bonus room which could serve as a family room or 4th bedroom. Roof is believed to be less than 5 years. Inside photos to be posted.

  6. 2020-11-16
    soldstatus $59,000 77-char remark
    Show marketing remark (77 chars)

    Nice area. Great starter home. Basement has been waterproofed with sump pump.

  7. 2020-11-16
    soldstatus $59,000
    Show marketing remark (77 chars)

    Nice area. Great starter home. Basement has been waterproofed with sump pump.

  8. 2020-10-30
    soldstatus $59,000
  9. 2020-04-18
    listed $59,900 77-char remark
    Show marketing remark (77 chars)

    Nice area. Great starter home. Basement has been waterproofed with sump pump.

  10. 2020-04-18
    listed $59,900
    Show marketing remark (77 chars)

    Nice area. Great starter home. Basement has been waterproofed with sump pump.

  11. 2008-11-03
    soldstatus $72,000
  12. 2008-10-31
    soldstatus $72,000
  13. 2008-05-28
    listed $74,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,880 · $157/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,904 · $159/mo
Expected delta
+$24/yr (+$2/mo · 1.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,922
− Mortgage interest
−$4,756
− Property taxes
−$1,880
− Insurance
−$424
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,114
− Management
−$1,114
− Depreciation
−$2,470
Taxable income
$2,164
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$519
After-tax cash flow
$2,832/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Decatur SD 61
NCES district ID
1711850
Math proficiency
3% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
6% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$38,864
Composite
3.99/100
National rank
#10059
State rank
#605 of 620 in IL

Livability — Decatur

Score
59/100
State rank
#1076
US rank
#20533

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Decatur, IL
County
Macon County · 78,333 people
City population
78,333
Metro
Decatur, IL
Population (ZIP)
30,483
Household income
$49,062
Rent vs Own
39.2% rent · 60.8% own
Severe rent burden
1041.0

Population outlook (Macon County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
99,568 people
By 2030
94,973 · -4.6%
By 2040
85,250 · -14.4%
By 2050
75,920 · -23.8%
By 2075
55,962 · -43.8%
By 2100
36,468 · -63.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 22% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Macon

2024 margin
R (+18.9) · D 39.8% · R 58.7% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: 1.1pp · 2024: -18.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+18.9 2020: R+17.7 2016: R+18.1 2012: R+5.2 2008: D+1.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -2.21%
Current HPI
182.871
Rent YoY
Metro
Decatur, IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+13.4% since first listed
13 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Contingent CIBR
  • 2026-05-01 Price Changed $84,900 CIBR
  • 2026-04-22 Relisted CIBR
  • 2026-04-12 Contingent CIBR
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $98,500 CIBR
  • 2020-11-16 Sold (MLS) $59,000 CIBR
  • 2020-11-16 Sold (MLS) $59,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-10-30 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
  • 2020-04-18 Listed $59,900 CIBR
  • 2020-04-18 Listed $59,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $72,000 Public Records
  • 2008-10-31 Sold (MLS) $72,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-05-28 Listed $74,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.6%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,880 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…