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354 Ridgeview Cir
B- Composite 68.64
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,000

354 Ridgeview Cir · Morganton, GA 30560
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 728 sqft · Manufactured public records · 156 Days on market
Built 1998 0.26 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Single wide mobile home that is within walking distance to LAKE BLUE RIDGE! Being sold as is!

Key facts

  • Walking distance
  • Lake blue ridge
  • 0.26 acre lot

Tags

WALKING DISTANCELAKE BLUE RIDGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
  • Recommended offer: $122k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.0% vs local median 2.7% in Morganton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#456 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime D-.
  • Fannin County (rural): math 40% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #51 of 174 in GA (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 306 active listings in the ZIP; 375 units permitted in Fannin County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($122k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $18k; list at $139k implies a 679% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $122,320 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.79%
Cap rate
14.98%
Cash-on-cash
31.04%
DSCR
2.38
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$282,060
List price
$139,000
Delta
-50.72%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
25.8%
Equity multiple
2.07×
Total profit
$41,627
Equity at exit
$20,725
10-year hold
IRR
33.5%
Equity multiple
4.06×
Total profit
$118,958
Equity at exit
$12,018

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30560

Home prices YoY
-9.6%
Active inventory
306
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,490 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax est. 1.5%
$174 /mo · $2,085/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$523
Net cashflow
$1,007

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,216
Max offer price $139,000
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 28 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $139,000 Active 156 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $139,000 Active 155 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $139,000 Active 154 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $139,000 Active 153 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $139,000 Active 151 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $139,000 Active 150 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $139,000 Active 148 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,000 Active 147 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    remarks 93-char remark
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on marketlisting id $139,000 Active 146 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,000 Active 114 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,000 Active 113 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,000 Active 112 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,000 Active 111 DOM
  15. 2026-05-05
    status Active 93-char remark
    Show marketing remark (75 chars)

    Single wide mobile home that is within walking distance to Lake Blue Ridge.

  16. 2026-05-05
    status Back On Market 75-char remark
    Show marketing remark (75 chars)

    Single wide mobile home that is within walking distance to Lake Blue Ridge.

  17. 2026-04-29
    status Under Contract 75-char remark
    Show marketing remark (93 chars)

    Single wide mobile home that is within walking distance to LAKE BLUE RIDGE! Being sold as is!

  18. 2026-04-29
    status Pending 93-char remark
    Show marketing remark (93 chars)

    Single wide mobile home that is within walking distance to LAKE BLUE RIDGE! Being sold as is!

  19. 2025-12-04
    listed $139,000 New 75-char remark
    Show marketing remark (75 chars)

    Single wide mobile home that is within walking distance to Lake Blue Ridge.

  20. 2025-12-02
    listed $139,000 Active 93-char remark
    Show marketing remark (93 chars)

    Single wide mobile home that is within walking distance to LAKE BLUE RIDGE! Being sold as is!

  21. 2011-07-07
    soldstatus $17,841
  22. 2011-07-07
    soldstatus $17,841
  23. 2010-06-16
    listed $17,600
  24. 2010-06-03
    listed $17,600
  25. 2002-04-29
    soldstatus $28,000
  26. 1997-08-08
    soldstatus $10,000
  27. 1997-08-05
    soldstatus $4,400
  28. 1993-06-15
    soldstatus $12,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$29,882
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$2,085
− Insurance
−$695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,391
− Management
−$2,391
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable income
$10,491
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,518
After-tax cash flow
$9,562/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fannin County
NCES district ID
1302100
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$37,693
Composite
32.92/100
National rank
#5597
State rank
#51 of 174 in GA

Livability — Morganton

Score
57/100
State rank
#456
US rank
#21670

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Morganton, GA
Population (ZIP)
4,194

Population outlook (Fannin County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,218 people
By 2030
25,519 · +1.2%
By 2040
25,548 · +1.3%
By 2050
25,008 · -0.8%
By 2075
23,359 · -7.4%
By 2100
20,129 · -20.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Scottish 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Fannin

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.8) · D 17.4% · R 82.2%
2008→2024 swing
-15.7pp toward R · 2008: -49.1pp · 2024: -64.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.8 2020: R+64.6 2016: R+65.5 2012: R+58.2 2008: R+49.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.58%
Current HPI
316.822
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1058.3% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Relisted NEGBOR
  • 2026-05-05 Relisted GAMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Pending GAMLS
  • 2026-04-29 Pending NEGBOR
  • 2025-12-04 Listed $139,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-12-02 Listed $139,000 NEGBOR
  • 2011-07-07 Sold (MLS) $17,841 NEGBOR
  • 2011-07-07 Sold (MLS) $17,841 FMLS
  • 2010-06-16 Listed $17,600 FMLS
  • 2010-06-03 Listed $17,600 NEGBOR
  • 2002-04-29 Sold (Public Records) $28,000 Public Records
  • 1997-08-08 Sold (Public Records) $10,000 Public Records
  • 1997-08-05 Sold (Public Records) $4,400 Public Records
  • 1993-06-15 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-6.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $5 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…