5231 Philip Ave · Maple Heights, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.9/30.0
- ARV discount +10.1/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 5231 Philip Ave, a beautifully updated Colonial that blends timeless Maple Heights charm with modern style and convenience. This move-in-ready home features 3 bedrooms and 1.5 baths, all completely refreshed from top to bottom. , Step inside to discover bright, neutral tones, all-new flooring, updated lighting, and a warm, inviting layout perfect for everyday living. It also has a brand new roof, gutters, and windows, along with a brand new kitchen and baths. The brand-new kitchen is the star of the show—featuring crisp white cabinetry, stylish backsplash, and new countertops that create a clean, modern look. Both bathrooms have been tastefully remodeled, offering a fresh a
Key facts
- Brand new garage
- Brand new roof
- Brand new kitchen
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Garage (2 spaces)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Two-story home; Asbestos shingle roof; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Built in public-record year; Vinyl siding construction; Asbestos shingle roof; Full unfinished basement
- Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Full unfinished basement; Updated/remodeled condition
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $245 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#470 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety A-; Watch: schools D+, crime D, employment D.
- Maple Heights City (suburban): math 14% / reading 25% proficiency, ranked #630 of 656 in OH (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 78% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.8%/yr); 84 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,441 units permitted in Cuyahoga County in 2024 (700 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cuyahoga County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $155k implies a 182% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.19%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.77%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $164,672
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18408 Raymond St | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,284 (-3%) | 0mo | $115,000 | $90 | 71 |
| 18851 Raymond St | 0.55mi | 4/1.5 | 1,330 (+0%) | 2mo | $135,000 | $102 | 71 |
| 5127 Erwin St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,308 (-2%) | 2mo | $93,500 | $71 | 70 |
| 5234 Erwin St | 0.29mi | 4/1.5 | 1,204 (-9%) | 1mo | $185,000 | $154 | 68 |
| 5100 Erwin St | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,192 (-10%) | 1mo | $149,000 | $125 | 56 |
| 5210 Theodore St | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,186 (-11%) | 2mo | $123,700 | $104 | 55 |
| 157 Flora Dr | 0.72mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,296 (-2%) | 2mo | $164,000 | $127 | 54 |
| 5585 South Blvd | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,251 (-6%) | 1mo | $138,000 | $110 | 50 |
| 5435 Beechwood Ave | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,184 (-11%) | 1mo | $137,100 | $116 | 49 |
| 19520 Maple Heights Blvd | 0.75mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,236 (-7%) | 2mo | $167,000 | $135 | 45 |
| 5666 Waterbury Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,147 (-14%) | 2mo | $142,500 | $124 | 37 |
| 5165 Camden Rd | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,150 (-13%) | 2mo | $173,000 | $150 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.99×
- Total profit
- $-255
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- 14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.43×
- Total profit
- $62,027
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44137
- Home prices YoY
- -34.7%
- Rents YoY
- 14.8%
- Active inventory
- 84
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,743 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$255 /mo · $3,055/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$366
- Net cashflow
- $245
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5153 Cato St Maple Heights, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $1,850 | $1.19 | 24d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 5107 Philip Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1188 | $1,800 | $1.52 | 7d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 5246 Joseph St Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 890 | $1,300 | $1.46 | 3d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 5120 Clement Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1122 | $1,450 | $1.29 | 15d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 18107 North Blvd Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1190 | $1,350 | $1.13 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 18004 North Blvd Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1396 | $1,700 | $1.22 | 44d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 5331 South Blvd Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1078 | $1,500 | $1.39 | 16d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 17488 McCracken Rd Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1284 | $1,699 | $1.32 | 10d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 5225 Theodore St Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1785 | $1,450 | $0.81 | 4d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 18123 McCracken Rd Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1215 | $1,600 | $1.32 | 7d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 16914 Maple Heights Blvd Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1212 | $1,425 | $1.18 | 10d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 17206 Mapleboro Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,325 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 17204 Mapleboro Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1074 | $1,475 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 18509 Raymond St Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1083 | $1,395 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 5461 Clement Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,350 | $1.07 | 16d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 5461 Clement Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1260 | $1,350 | $1.07 | 20d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 18512 Lewis Dr Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,995 | $1.66 | 2d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 18505 Maple Heights Blvd Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 989 | $1,411 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 5333 Hollywood Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1092 | $1,450 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 18851 Raymond St Maple Heights, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1330 | $2,500 | $1.88 | 7d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 5508 Grasmere Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1834 | $1,710 | $0.93 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 5435 Beechwood Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1664 | $2,000 | $1.20 | 3d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 18990 Raymond St Maple Heights, OH | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1480 | $1,750 | $1.18 | 2d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 19001 Nitra Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1170 | $1,450 | $1.24 | 16d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 5440 Hollywood Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,445 | $1.34 | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 5554 Dalewood Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,500 | $1.30 | 12d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 19101 Nitra Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,295 | $1.08 | 15d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 18308 Edinboro Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,349 | $1.12 | 7d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 5223 Paine Ave Maple Heights, OH | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1344 | $1,650 | $1.23 | 2d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 5470 Hollywood Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1150 | $1,375 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 19203 Nitra Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,350 | $1.29 | 4d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 18413 Waterbury Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1175 | $1,850 | $1.57 | 2d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 15913 Grant Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1400 | $1,390 | $0.99 | 16d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 19500 Libby Rd Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1092 | $2,300 | $2.11 | 2d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 19409 Raymond St Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1180 | $1,656 | $1.40 | 2d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 19313 Longview Ave Maple Heights, OH | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1796 | $1,970 | $1.10 | 4d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 5535 Oakwood Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $1,350 | $1.21 | 4d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 5535 Oakwood Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $1,350 | $1.21 | 7d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 5627 Jefferson Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1136 | $1,250 | $1.10 | 7d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 5074 Miller Ave Maple Heights, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 962 | $1,400 | $1.46 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $155,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $155,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $155,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $155,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $155,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $155,000 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $155,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $155,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $155,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $155,000 Active 129 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $155,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $155,000 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $155,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-05-18status Active
-
2026-04-28historical Contingent
-
2026-04-16price $155,000
-
2026-01-25$159,999 Active
-
2025-10-09$165,000 Active
-
2025-03-25soldstatus $55,000
-
1977-05-01soldstatus $35,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,055 · $255/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,055 · $255/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,913
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$3,055
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,673
- − Management
- −$1,673
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable income
- $545
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$131
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,806/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Maple Heights City
- NCES district ID
- 3904430
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 25% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,856
- Composite
- 16.39/100
- National rank
- #9197
- State rank
- #630 of 656 in OH
Livability — Maple Heights
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #470
- US rank
- #7818
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Maple Heights, OH
- County
- Cuyahoga County · 1,090,369 people
- City population
- 23,285
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,285
- Household income
- $53,918
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 971.0
Population outlook (Cuyahoga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,244,621 people
- By 2030
- 1,230,093 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 1,189,108 · -4.5%
- By 2050
- 1,145,706 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 1,076,557 · -13.5%
- By 2100
- 978,987 · -21.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 74% White 20% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Scotch-Irish 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cuyahoga
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+31.5) · D 65.4% · R 33.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.4pp toward R · 2008: 38.9pp · 2024: 31.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+31.5 2020: D+34.1 2016: D+35.0 2012: D+38.7 2008: D+38.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -87.37%
- Current HPI
- 164.4326
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 14.82%
- Metro
- Cleveland-Elyria, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+342.9% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-18 Relisted — MLSNOW
- 2026-04-28 Contingent — MLSNOW
- 2026-04-16 Price Changed $155,000 MLSNOW
- 2026-01-25 Listed $159,999 MLSNOW
- 2025-10-09 Listed $165,000 MLSNOW
- 2025-03-25 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 1977-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $3,055 · -10.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…