20300 Hickory St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$32,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investor special! Solid 3-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow with a 2-car garage located just south of 8 Mile, offering quick access to major roads, shopping, and surrounding suburbs. This property presents a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add value. Classic bungalow layout with strong potential for renovation or rental income. Convenient location near the Detroit/8 Mile corridor makes it attractive for both tenants and future resale. Property is being sold as-is. Great chance to secure an affordable investment in a well-positioned Detroit location.
Key facts
- 2-car garage
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Ground-level entry with steps; Aluminum siding exterior
- Construction: Block foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 127.2 (0.12 acres)
Interior
- Bedrooms: One and one-half level home (bedroom locations not specified)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; 5 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $32k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $848 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $32k).
- Cap rate 38.1% vs local median 10.1% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 376 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $221 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $960 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 38.10%
- Cash-on-cash
- 113.61%
- DSCR
- 6.06
- GRM
- 2.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $43,878
- List price
- $32,000
- Delta
- -27.07%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20300 Hickory St | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 | 918 (0%) | 1mo | $31,000 | $34 | 99 |
| 20218 Hickory St | 0.08mi | 3/1.0 | 930 (+1%) | 1mo | $26,000 | $28 | 93 |
| 13452 Tacoma St | 0.42mi | 3/1.0 | 900 (-2%) | 1mo | $69,072 | $77 | 76 |
| 20218 Goulburn St | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 | 965 (+5%) | 1mo | $12,000 | $12 | 76 |
| 20543 Waltham St | 0.41mi | 3/1.0 | 890 (-3%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $56 | 75 |
| 20020 Pelkey St | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,020 (+11%) | 2mo | $75,000 | $74 | 70 |
| 12416 Vernon Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 | 944 (+3%) | 2mo | $128,000 | $136 | 67 |
| 13046 Sherman Ave | 0.44mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 870 (-5%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $138 | 64 |
| 19730 Goulburn St | 0.52mi | 3/1.5 | 977 (+6%) | 1mo | $114,000 | $117 | 62 |
| 20541 Barlow St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 980 (+7%) | 2mo | $60,000 | $61 | 60 |
| 14076 Rossini Dr | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 | 1,055 (+15%) | 0mo | $90,000 | $85 | 48 |
| 19953 Regent Dr | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,038 (+13%) | 2mo | $55,000 | $53 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 6.20×
- Total profit
- $46,626
- Equity at exit
- $4,771
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 12.31×
- Total profit
- $101,377
- Equity at exit
- $2,767
Cash invested: $8,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48205
- Home prices YoY
- -28.1%
- Rents YoY
- 1.3%
- Active inventory
- 376
- Price-to-rent
- 2.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,354 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$168
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$40 /mo · $480/yr
- Insurance
- −$13
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $848
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $870 | -5% $859 | +0% $848 | +5% $837 | +10% $826 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $741 | -5% $795 | +0% $848 | +5% $902 | +10% $955 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $864 | -0.5pp $856 | base $848 | +0.5pp $840 | +1.0pp $832 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,000
- Closing costs
- $960
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20242 Hickory St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 747 | $1,300 | $1.74 | 12d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 20227 Pelkey St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 968 | $1,350 | $1.39 | 18d | 1 | 0.07mi |
| 20215 Schoenherr St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 18d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 20027 Alcoy St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,349 | $1.35 | 18d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 12846 Georgiana Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,300 | $1.43 | 25d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 12807 Coleen Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,250 | $1.16 | 25d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 13501 Vernon Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,300 | $1.53 | 25d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 20296 Waltham St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 986 | $1,300 | $1.32 | 18d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 20091 Barlow St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,300 | $1.40 | 18d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 14068 Carlisle St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,300 | $1.27 | 25d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 20553 Hamburg St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1074 | $1,300 | $1.21 | 4d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 13050 Couwlier Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,350 | $1.59 | 25d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 21412 Waltham Rd Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 696 | $1,225 | $1.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 13669 Pfent St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1031 | $1,374 | $1.33 | 18d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 19220 Alcoy St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1023 | $1,350 | $1.32 | 18d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 19170 Joann St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,400 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 19143 Fairport St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,225 | $1.14 | 18d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 14461 Lappin St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 989 | $1,150 | $1.16 | 18d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 18703 Waltham St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 18624 Fairport St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 874 | $1,450 | $1.66 | 22d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 18624 Fairport St Unit NA Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $1,450 | $1.57 | 25d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 22852 Sharrow Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 6d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 18681 Barlow St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1041 | $1,400 | $1.34 | 25d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,099 | $1.77 | 18d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,099 | $1.77 | 44d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 18119 Joann St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 25d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 11228 Sherman Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 13d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 11319 Chalmers Ave Warren, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,500 | $1.54 | 25d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 11236 Studebaker Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $1,175 | $1.75 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 15663 Carlisle St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 803 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 16d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-05-06status Pending 567-char remark
Show marketing remark (567 chars)
Investor special! Solid 3-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow with a 2-car garage located just south of 8 Mile, offering quick access to major roads, shopping, and surrounding suburbs. This property presents a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add value. Classic bungalow layout with strong potential for renovation or rental income. Convenient location near the Detroit/8 Mile corridor makes it attractive for both tenants and future resale. Property is being sold as-is. Great chance to secure an affordable investment in a well-positioned Detroit location.
-
2026-05-06status Pending 567-char remark
Show marketing remark (567 chars)
Investor special! Solid 3-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow with a 2-car garage located just south of 8 Mile, offering quick access to major roads, shopping, and surrounding suburbs. This property presents a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add value. Classic bungalow layout with strong potential for renovation or rental income. Convenient location near the Detroit/8 Mile corridor makes it attractive for both tenants and future resale. Property is being sold as-is. Great chance to secure an affordable investment in a well-positioned Detroit location.
-
2026-04-27$32,000 Active 567-char remark
Show marketing remark (567 chars)
Investor special! Solid 3-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow with a 2-car garage located just south of 8 Mile, offering quick access to major roads, shopping, and surrounding suburbs. This property presents a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add value. Classic bungalow layout with strong potential for renovation or rental income. Convenient location near the Detroit/8 Mile corridor makes it attractive for both tenants and future resale. Property is being sold as-is. Great chance to secure an affordable investment in a well-positioned Detroit location.
-
2026-04-27$32,000 Active 567-char remark
Show marketing remark (567 chars)
Investor special! Solid 3-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow with a 2-car garage located just south of 8 Mile, offering quick access to major roads, shopping, and surrounding suburbs. This property presents a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add value. Classic bungalow layout with strong potential for renovation or rental income. Convenient location near the Detroit/8 Mile corridor makes it attractive for both tenants and future resale. Property is being sold as-is. Great chance to secure an affordable investment in a well-positioned Detroit location.
-
2026-04-27historical
Show marketing remark (567 chars)
Investor special! Solid 3-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow with a 2-car garage located just south of 8 Mile, offering quick access to major roads, shopping, and surrounding suburbs. This property presents a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add value. Classic bungalow layout with strong potential for renovation or rental income. Convenient location near the Detroit/8 Mile corridor makes it attractive for both tenants and future resale. Property is being sold as-is. Great chance to secure an affordable investment in a well-positioned Detroit location.
-
2026-04-27historical
Show marketing remark (567 chars)
Investor special! Solid 3-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow with a 2-car garage located just south of 8 Mile, offering quick access to major roads, shopping, and surrounding suburbs. This property presents a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add value. Classic bungalow layout with strong potential for renovation or rental income. Convenient location near the Detroit/8 Mile corridor makes it attractive for both tenants and future resale. Property is being sold as-is. Great chance to secure an affordable investment in a well-positioned Detroit location.
-
2026-03-16$38,000 Active
-
2026-03-16$38,000 Active
-
1993-06-30soldstatus $27,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,245
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,792
- − Property taxes
- −$480
- − Insurance
- −$160
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,300
- − Management
- −$1,300
- − Depreciation
- −$931
- Taxable income
- $10,282
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,468
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,712/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,187
- Household income
- $38,966
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2121.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.80%
- Current HPI
- 235.0926
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.33%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+11.1% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Sold (MLS) $31,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-22 Sold (MLS) $31,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-06 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-06 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-27 Listed $32,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-04-27 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-04-27 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-27 Listed $32,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-16 Listed $38,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-16 Listed $38,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 1993-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $27,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $2,303 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…