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20300 Hickory St
C- Composite 50.29
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$32,000

20300 Hickory St · Detroit, MI 48205
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 918 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1942 5,227 sqft lot $35/sqft · 27% below area Est $44k · 27% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investor special! Solid 3-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow with a 2-car garage located just south of 8 Mile, offering quick access to major roads, shopping, and surrounding suburbs. This property presents a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add value. Classic bungalow layout with strong potential for renovation or rental income. Convenient location near the Detroit/8 Mile corridor makes it attractive for both tenants and future resale. Property is being sold as-is. Great chance to secure an affordable investment in a well-positioned Detroit location.

Key facts

  • 2-car garage
  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

2-CAR GARAGEQUICK ACCESS TO MAJOR ROADSPOTENTIAL FOR RENOVATIONPOTENTIAL FOR RENTAL INCOME

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Ground-level entry with steps; Aluminum siding exterior
  • Construction: Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 127.2 (0.12 acres)

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One and one-half level home (bedroom locations not specified)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; 5 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $32k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $848 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $32k).
  • Cap rate 38.1% vs local median 10.1% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.3%/yr); 376 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($39k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $221 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $960 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.3% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1942 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $32,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1942 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.23%
Cap rate
38.10%
Cash-on-cash
113.61%
DSCR
6.06
GRM
2.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$43,878
List price
$32,000
Delta
-27.07%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
20300 Hickory St 0.00mi 3/1.0 918 (0%) 1mo $31,000 $34 99
20218 Hickory St 0.08mi 3/1.0 930 (+1%) 1mo $26,000 $28 93
13452 Tacoma St 0.42mi 3/1.0 900 (-2%) 1mo $69,072 $77 76
20218 Goulburn St 0.32mi 3/1.0 965 (+5%) 1mo $12,000 $12 76
20543 Waltham St 0.41mi 3/1.0 890 (-3%) 1mo $50,000 $56 75
20020 Pelkey St 0.21mi 3/1.0 1,020 (+11%) 2mo $75,000 $74 70
12416 Vernon Ave 0.56mi 3/1.0 944 (+3%) 2mo $128,000 $136 67
13046 Sherman Ave 0.44mi 4/1.0 (+1) 870 (-5%) 1mo $120,000 $138 64
19730 Goulburn St 0.52mi 3/1.5 977 (+6%) 1mo $114,000 $117 62
20541 Barlow St 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 980 (+7%) 2mo $60,000 $61 60
14076 Rossini Dr 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,055 (+15%) 0mo $90,000 $85 48
19953 Regent Dr 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,038 (+13%) 2mo $55,000 $53 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
6.20×
Total profit
$46,626
Equity at exit
$4,771
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
12.31×
Total profit
$101,377
Equity at exit
$2,767

Cash invested: $8,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48205

Home prices YoY
-28.1%
Rents YoY
1.3%
Active inventory
376
Price-to-rent
2.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,354 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$168
Tax est. 1.5%
$40 /mo · $480/yr
Insurance
$13
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$284
Net cashflow
$848

Break-even live

Break-even rent $280
Max offer price $32,000
Occupancy floor 32%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $870 -5% $859 +0% $848 +5% $837 +10% $826
Rent -10% $741 -5% $795 +0% $848 +5% $902 +10% $955
Rate -1.0pp $864 -0.5pp $856 base $848 +0.5pp $840 +1.0pp $832

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,000
Closing costs
$960
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 30 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
20242 Hickory St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 747 $1,300 $1.74 12d 1 0.04mi
20227 Pelkey St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 968 $1,350 $1.39 18d 1 0.07mi
20215 Schoenherr St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 18d 1 0.12mi
20027 Alcoy St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,349 $1.35 18d 1 0.19mi
12846 Georgiana Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 912 $1,300 $1.43 25d 1 0.35mi
12807 Coleen Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1080 $1,250 $1.16 25d 1 0.35mi
13501 Vernon Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 850 $1,300 $1.53 25d 1 0.36mi
20296 Waltham St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 986 $1,300 $1.32 18d 1 0.36mi
20091 Barlow St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 930 $1,300 $1.40 18d 1 0.47mi
14068 Carlisle St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1020 $1,300 $1.27 25d 1 0.48mi
20553 Hamburg St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1074 $1,300 $1.21 4d 1 0.52mi
13050 Couwlier Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 850 $1,350 $1.59 25d 1 0.61mi
21412 Waltham Rd Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 696 $1,225 $1.76 44d 1 0.62mi
13669 Pfent St Detroit, MI 3.0 2.0 1031 $1,374 $1.33 18d 1 0.66mi
19220 Alcoy St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1023 $1,350 $1.32 18d 1 0.72mi
19170 Joann St Detroit, MI 4.0 1.0 1020 $1,400 $1.37 44d 1 0.78mi
19143 Fairport St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1070 $1,225 $1.14 18d 1 0.82mi
14461 Lappin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 989 $1,150 $1.16 18d 1 0.98mi
18703 Waltham St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 44d 1 1.06mi
18624 Fairport St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 874 $1,450 $1.66 22d 1 1.07mi
18624 Fairport St Unit NA Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 924 $1,450 $1.57 25d 1 1.07mi
22852 Sharrow Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 6d 1 1.10mi
18681 Barlow St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1041 $1,400 $1.34 25d 1 1.10mi
19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 620 $1,099 $1.77 18d 1 1.12mi
19335 Hoover St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 620 $1,099 $1.77 44d 1 1.12mi
18119 Joann St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,100 $1.38 25d 1 1.23mi
11228 Sherman Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 13d 1 1.28mi
11319 Chalmers Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 975 $1,500 $1.54 25d 1 1.36mi
11236 Studebaker Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 672 $1,175 $1.75 44d 1 1.42mi
15663 Carlisle St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 803 $1,050 $1.31 16d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-05-06
    status Pending 567-char remark
    Show marketing remark (567 chars)

    Investor special! Solid 3-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow with a 2-car garage located just south of 8 Mile, offering quick access to major roads, shopping, and surrounding suburbs. This property presents a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add value. Classic bungalow layout with strong potential for renovation or rental income. Convenient location near the Detroit/8 Mile corridor makes it attractive for both tenants and future resale. Property is being sold as-is. Great chance to secure an affordable investment in a well-positioned Detroit location.

  2. 2026-05-06
    status Pending 567-char remark
    Show marketing remark (567 chars)

    Investor special! Solid 3-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow with a 2-car garage located just south of 8 Mile, offering quick access to major roads, shopping, and surrounding suburbs. This property presents a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add value. Classic bungalow layout with strong potential for renovation or rental income. Convenient location near the Detroit/8 Mile corridor makes it attractive for both tenants and future resale. Property is being sold as-is. Great chance to secure an affordable investment in a well-positioned Detroit location.

  3. 2026-04-27
    listed $32,000 Active 567-char remark
    Show marketing remark (567 chars)

    Investor special! Solid 3-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow with a 2-car garage located just south of 8 Mile, offering quick access to major roads, shopping, and surrounding suburbs. This property presents a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add value. Classic bungalow layout with strong potential for renovation or rental income. Convenient location near the Detroit/8 Mile corridor makes it attractive for both tenants and future resale. Property is being sold as-is. Great chance to secure an affordable investment in a well-positioned Detroit location.

  4. 2026-04-27
    listed $32,000 Active 567-char remark
    Show marketing remark (567 chars)

    Investor special! Solid 3-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow with a 2-car garage located just south of 8 Mile, offering quick access to major roads, shopping, and surrounding suburbs. This property presents a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add value. Classic bungalow layout with strong potential for renovation or rental income. Convenient location near the Detroit/8 Mile corridor makes it attractive for both tenants and future resale. Property is being sold as-is. Great chance to secure an affordable investment in a well-positioned Detroit location.

  5. 2026-04-27
    historical
    Show marketing remark (567 chars)

    Investor special! Solid 3-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow with a 2-car garage located just south of 8 Mile, offering quick access to major roads, shopping, and surrounding suburbs. This property presents a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add value. Classic bungalow layout with strong potential for renovation or rental income. Convenient location near the Detroit/8 Mile corridor makes it attractive for both tenants and future resale. Property is being sold as-is. Great chance to secure an affordable investment in a well-positioned Detroit location.

  6. 2026-04-27
    historical
    Show marketing remark (567 chars)

    Investor special! Solid 3-bedroom, 1-bath bungalow with a 2-car garage located just south of 8 Mile, offering quick access to major roads, shopping, and surrounding suburbs. This property presents a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add value. Classic bungalow layout with strong potential for renovation or rental income. Convenient location near the Detroit/8 Mile corridor makes it attractive for both tenants and future resale. Property is being sold as-is. Great chance to secure an affordable investment in a well-positioned Detroit location.

  7. 2026-03-16
    listed $38,000 Active
  8. 2026-03-16
    listed $38,000 Active
  9. 1993-06-30
    soldstatus $27,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,245
− Mortgage interest
−$1,792
− Property taxes
−$480
− Insurance
−$160
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,300
− Management
−$1,300
− Depreciation
−$931
Taxable income
$10,282
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,468
After-tax cash flow
$7,712/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
34,187
Household income
$38,966
Rent vs Own
49.4% rent · 50.6% own
Severe rent burden
2121.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (93%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 93% White 3% Two or more races 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -91.80%
Current HPI
235.0926
Rent YoY
▲ 1.33%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+11.1% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Sold (MLS) $31,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-22 Sold (MLS) $31,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-06 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $32,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-27 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-04-27 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-27 Listed $32,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $38,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-16 Listed $38,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 1993-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $27,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,303 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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