107 3rd Ave · Bellingham, MN
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Appreciation +5.0/10.0
- Schools +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this spacious 4 bedroom, 2 bath home in Bellingham! As you enter you'll see the large updated kitchen with main floor bath, a formal dining room, high ceilings and large living room for entertaining all on the main level. This home offers a main floor bedroom, 3 additional bedrooms on the upper level and a finished basement for relaxing or get togethers! There is also a canning kitchen in the basement and a canning closet to store all your goodies! This property is located on 4 city lots and is over 1/2 acre of land with lots of space for outdoor activities, get togethers or expanding the existing garden off the east side of the home. Take a peak inside the double stall garage next to the house and as an added bonus there's a triple stall, heated garage off the back alley! Enjoy the rhubarb patch in the front and the 2 apple trees on the south side of your lot -I've heard the honeycrisp are pretty tasty! Garage by house is 24x24; back heated garage is 24x38
Key facts
- Canning closet
- Canning kitchen
- Finished basement
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $266 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $117k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#651 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, schools F.
- Market conditions: 4 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Lac qui Parle County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $5k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.0% local appreciation)).
- Lac qui Parle County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 8, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($117k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.85%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.12%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.91×
- Total profit
- $31,935
- Equity at exit
- $56,160
- IRR
- 17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.57×
- Total profit
- $89,931
- Equity at exit
- $86,550
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 56212
- Active inventory
- 4
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,311 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$63 /mo · $752/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$275
- Net cashflow
- $266
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
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- Monthly cashflow
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- DSCR
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- Eligible?
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Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
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- Monthly P&I
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- Monthly cashflow
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- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
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2026-06-18days on market $124,900 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $124,900 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $124,900 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $124,900 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $124,900 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $124,900 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $124,900 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $124,900 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $124,900 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $124,900 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $124,900 Active 47 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $124,900 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $124,900 Active 45 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $124,900 Active 44 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $124,900 Active 43 DOM
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2026-04-16$139,900 Active 987-char remark
Show marketing remark (987 chars)
Welcome to this spacious 4 bedroom, 2 bath home in Bellingham! As you enter you'll see the large updated kitchen with main floor bath, a formal dining room, high ceilings and large living room for entertaining all on the main level. This home offers a main floor bedroom, 3 additional bedrooms on the upper level and a finished basement for relaxing or get togethers! There is also a canning kitchen in the basement and a canning closet to store all your goodies! This property is located on 4 city lots and is over 1/2 acre of land with lots of space for outdoor activities, get togethers or expanding the existing garden off the east side of the home. Take a peak inside the double stall garage next to the house and as an added bonus there's a triple stall, heated garage off the back alley! Enjoy the rhubarb patch in the front and the 2 apple trees on the south side of your lot -I've heard the honeycrisp are pretty tasty! Garage by house is 24x24; back heated garage is 24x38
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2025-11-29historical
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2025-08-22price $154,900
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2025-05-28$174,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $752 · $63/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,075 · $90/mo
- Expected delta
- +$323/yr (+$27/mo · 43.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,729
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$752
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,258
- − Management
- −$1,258
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable income
- $1,206
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$289
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,900/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
No district data.
Livability — Bellingham
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #651
- US rank
- #15630
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bellingham, MN
- Population (ZIP)
- 486
Population outlook (Lac qui Parle County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 6,291 people
- By 2030
- 6,021 · -4.3%
- By 2040
- 5,517 · -12.3%
- By 2050
- 5,094 · -19.0%
- By 2075
- 4,640 · -26.2%
- By 2100
- 4,173 · -33.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 95% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 18% Lithuanian 1% Danish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Lac qui Parle
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+32.2) · D 32.9% · R 65.2% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.2pp toward R · 2008: 5.9pp · 2024: -32.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+32.2 2020: R+26.8 2016: R+25.9 2012: D+0.9 2008: D+5.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
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- Current HPI
- —
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
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| Retail | 2 | $150B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
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| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
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Price history
-20.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Listed $139,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-29 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-22 Price Changed $154,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-05-28 Listed $174,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.3%/yrLatest (2026): $752 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…