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1401 E Prairie Ave Fourplex
B- Composite 66.01
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.1/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.7/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$295,000

1401 E Prairie Ave · St. Louis, MO 63107
16 bd · 4.0 ba · 3,450 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 74 Days on market
Built 1939 10,685 sqft lot $86/sqft · 502% above area ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Back on market. Turnkey, fully renovated 4-family offering strong income potential and modern upgrades throughout. Each unit features a spacious 1-bedroom layout, ideal for both long-term tenants and mid-term furnished rentals. Improvements include newer HVAC systems, water heaters, updated kitchens and baths, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, new flooring, and updated windows and doors. Select units are configured for furnished rentals, providing access to the high-demand mid-term market. Occupancy permits approved for all units, allowing for immediate rental use. Conveniently located near Barnes-Jewish Hospital, St. Louis University Hospital, and the VA Medical Center, attracting traveling nurses and medical professionals. Excellent opportunity for investors seeking a clean, income-producing asset with strong rental demand and long-term upside. Property sold as-is.

Key facts

  • Water heaters
  • Four year old roof
  • Fully furnished

Tags

BRAND NEW HVAC SYSTEMSWATER HEATERSAPPROVED OCCUPANCY PERMITSFULLY FURNISHEDFOUR YEAR OLD ROOFPRISTINE HARDWOOD FLOORS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $295k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $923 ($11k/yr) — positive. Per door: $231/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $295k).
  • Recommended offer: $277k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.0% vs local median 5.0% in St. Louis — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Louis City (urban): math 10% / reading 18% proficiency, ranked #312 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 58 active listings in the ZIP; 294 units permitted in St. Louis city in 2024 (227 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.8%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Louis County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-1.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $83k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($277k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1939 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $277,300 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1939 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.27%
Cap rate
10.05%
Cash-on-cash
13.41%
DSCR
1.60
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$49,000
List price
$295,000
Delta
502.04%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4200 College Ave 0.72mi 16/16.0 3,412 (-1%) 0mo $100,000 $29 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.75% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.6%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$26,762
Equity at exit
$60,708
10-year hold
IRR
14.9%
Equity multiple
2.37×
Total profit
$113,433
Equity at exit
$55,175

Cash invested: $82,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63107

Home prices YoY
-1.9%
Active inventory
58
Price-to-rent
26.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,749 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,547
Tax est. 1.5%
$369 /mo · $4,425/yr
Insurance
$123
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$787
Net cashflow
$923

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,581
Max offer price $295,000
Occupancy floor 70%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,127 -5% $1,025 +0% $923 +5% $821 +10% $719
Rent -10% $627 -5% $775 +0% $923 +5% $1,071 +10% $1,219
Rate -1.0pp $1,072 -0.5pp $998 base $923 +0.5pp $847 +1.0pp $769

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $3,749

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$73,750
Closing costs
$8,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $295,000 Active 74 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $295,000 Active 71 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $295,000 Active 70 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $295,000 Active 69 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    pricedays on market $295,000 Active 68 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $305,000 Active 66 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $305,000 Active 62 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $305,000 Active 61 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $305,000 Active 60 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $305,000 Active 57 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $305,000 Active 56 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $305,000 Active 55 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $305,000 Active 54 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $305,000 Active 53 DOM
  15. 2026-05-03
    status Active 894-char remark
    Show marketing remark (894 chars)

    Back on market. Turnkey, fully renovated 4-family offering strong income potential and modern upgrades throughout. Each unit features a spacious 1-bedroom layout, ideal for both long-term tenants and mid-term furnished rentals. Improvements include newer HVAC systems, water heaters, updated kitchens and baths, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, new flooring, and updated windows and doors. Select units are configured for furnished rentals, providing access to the high-demand mid-term market. Occupancy permits approved for all units, allowing for immediate rental use. Conveniently located near Barnes-Jewish Hospital, St. Louis University Hospital, and the VA Medical Center, attracting traveling nurses and medical professionals. Excellent opportunity for investors seeking a clean, income-producing asset with strong rental demand and long-term upside. Property sold as-is.

  16. 2026-05-03
    price $305,000 894-char remark
    Show marketing remark (894 chars)

    Back on market. Turnkey, fully renovated 4-family offering strong income potential and modern upgrades throughout. Each unit features a spacious 1-bedroom layout, ideal for both long-term tenants and mid-term furnished rentals. Improvements include newer HVAC systems, water heaters, updated kitchens and baths, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, new flooring, and updated windows and doors. Select units are configured for furnished rentals, providing access to the high-demand mid-term market. Occupancy permits approved for all units, allowing for immediate rental use. Conveniently located near Barnes-Jewish Hospital, St. Louis University Hospital, and the VA Medical Center, attracting traveling nurses and medical professionals. Excellent opportunity for investors seeking a clean, income-producing asset with strong rental demand and long-term upside. Property sold as-is.

  17. 2026-04-14
    status Pending 894-char remark
    Show marketing remark (894 chars)

    Back on market. Turnkey, fully renovated 4-family offering strong income potential and modern upgrades throughout. Each unit features a spacious 1-bedroom layout, ideal for both long-term tenants and mid-term furnished rentals. Improvements include newer HVAC systems, water heaters, updated kitchens and baths, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, new flooring, and updated windows and doors. Select units are configured for furnished rentals, providing access to the high-demand mid-term market. Occupancy permits approved for all units, allowing for immediate rental use. Conveniently located near Barnes-Jewish Hospital, St. Louis University Hospital, and the VA Medical Center, attracting traveling nurses and medical professionals. Excellent opportunity for investors seeking a clean, income-producing asset with strong rental demand and long-term upside. Property sold as-is.

  18. 2026-03-20
    listed $325,000 Active 894-char remark
    Show marketing remark (894 chars)

    Back on market. Turnkey, fully renovated 4-family offering strong income potential and modern upgrades throughout. Each unit features a spacious 1-bedroom layout, ideal for both long-term tenants and mid-term furnished rentals. Improvements include newer HVAC systems, water heaters, updated kitchens and baths, granite countertops, stainless steel appliances, new flooring, and updated windows and doors. Select units are configured for furnished rentals, providing access to the high-demand mid-term market. Occupancy permits approved for all units, allowing for immediate rental use. Conveniently located near Barnes-Jewish Hospital, St. Louis University Hospital, and the VA Medical Center, attracting traveling nurses and medical professionals. Excellent opportunity for investors seeking a clean, income-producing asset with strong rental demand and long-term upside. Property sold as-is.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$44,988
− Mortgage interest
−$16,525
− Property taxes
−$4,425
− Insurance
−$1,475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,599
− Management
−$3,599
− Depreciation
−$8,582
Taxable income
$6,784
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,628
After-tax cash flow
$9,448/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Louis City
NCES district ID
2929280
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
18% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,685
Composite
11.54/100
National rank
#9699
State rank
#312 of 324 in MO

Livability — St. Louis

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Louis, MO
City population
283,259
Population (ZIP)
9,082

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
315,737 people
By 2030
313,865 · -0.6%
By 2040
305,439 · -3.3%
By 2050
296,529 · -6.1%
By 2075
271,028 · -14.2%
By 2100
255,359 · -19.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (89%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 89% White 8% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Solid D (+64.7) · D 81.4% · R 16.7% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.5pp toward R · 2008: 68.2pp · 2024: 64.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+64.7 2020: D+66.2 2016: D+63.7 2012: D+66.6 2008: D+68.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.75%
Current HPI
92.7423
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-03 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-03 Price Changed $305,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-14 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-20 Listed $325,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $395 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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