2221 Palmer Ave Unit 3R · New Rochelle, NY
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 6 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.5/10.0
- ARV discount +9.5/15.0
- Schools +5.7/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$189,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Sun filled spacious 1 BR Close to all on Palmer Ave. Over sized kitchen with lots of storage, ceiling fan and a breakfast bar w 2 barstools, living room w/ceiling fan, a dining area, large bedroom with 2 closets and 1 yr old carpet. Hardwood floors throughout and a spotless bath. The apartment has a reserved parking space. Complex has a gym, pool and laundry in each building. 1 time gym fee $ 100. Pool fee $ 100 per person per summer.. Storage $ 30/mo
Key facts
- Large windows
- Recessed lighting
- King-size murphy bed
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Measured living area (approx. 750 sq ft)
- HOA & community: Association: Palmer Woods; Building amenities include elevator(s), fitness center, live-in superintendent; Association fee covers common area maintenance, heat, and hot water; Additional monthly assessment of $48.83
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking in parking lot; 1 parking space
- Utilities: Electric service by Con-Edison; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available
- Home design: Stock cooperative; Entry on level 3
- Construction: Brick exterior
- Exterior features: Outdoor space; Bicycle room; Not waterfront; Brick construction
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stainless steel appliances
- Bedrooms: 2 rooms total (includes dining area)
- Flooring: Carpet; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Hot water heating; Steam heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Built-in features; Recessed lighting; Common basement
- Laundry & utility: Shared laundry in common area; Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $189k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $851 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $189k).
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 4.5% in New Rochelle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#487 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, crime A, amenities B+; Watch: housing D+, commute F, cost of living F.
- New Rochelle City School District (suburban): math 63% / reading 66% proficiency, ranked #171 of 590 in NY (top 29%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Trinity Elementary School (math 40% / reading 47%, grade F, #1,350 of 2,108 statewide, top 64%, 863 students, 66% FRL); Isaac E Young Middle School (math 47% / reading 62%, grade B-, #214 of 729 statewide, top 31%, 1,138 students, 76% FRL); New Rochelle High School (math 87% / reading 72%, grade A-, #518 of 1,100 statewide, top 51%, 3,076 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools average 67% FRL vs 41% district-wide (26 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.4%/yr); 138 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($86k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.4% rent growth), your $53k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 9 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $115k; list at $189k implies a 64% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.45% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.70%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.31%
- DSCR
- 1.86
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $197,955
- List price
- $189,000
- Delta
- -4.52%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 9.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.37×
- Total profit
- $19,372
- Equity at exit
- $28,181
- IRR
- 17.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.32×
- Total profit
- $69,877
- Equity at exit
- $16,341
Cash invested: $52,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10801
- Rents YoY
- 1.4%
- Active inventory
- 138
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,731 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$991
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$236 /mo · $2,835/yr
- Insurance
- −$79
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$574
- Net cashflow
- $851
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $47,250
- Closing costs
- $5,670
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Lester Pl Unit 1 Larchmont, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $3,200 | $3.76 | 25d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 120 Stonelea Pl Apt 3M New Rochelle, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,300 | $3.07 | 19d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 110 Stonelea Pl Unit 3B New Rochelle, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,650 | $3.31 | 44d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1833 Palmer Ave Unit 3K Larchmont, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $2,700 | $3.09 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 29 Pratt St Unit 2 New Rochelle, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $2,600 | $3.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 245 Main St Unit 1 New Rochelle, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,750 | $2.33 | 18d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 600 North Ave New Rochelle, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 869 | $3,422 | $3.94 | 2d | 11 | 1.10mi |
| 10 Commerce Dr New Rochelle, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 792 | $3,094 | $3.91 | 1d | 11 | 1.10mi |
| 11 Park Pl New Rochelle, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1015 | $2,700 | $2.66 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 20 Burling Ln New Rochelle, NY | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $3,110 | $4.29 | 10d | 10 | 1.31mi |
| 10 Lecount Pl New Rochelle, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 740 | $3,764 | $5.08 | 1d | 14 | 1.32mi |
| 46 Locust Ave Unit 2 New Rochelle, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,950 | $3.93 | 19d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1 Shearwood Pl New Rochelle, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 896 | $2,922 | $3.26 | 3d | 31 | 1.38mi |
| 17 Dewitt Pl New Rochelle, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $2,500 | $4.55 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 4 Larchmont Acres Unit 4C Larchmont, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1074 | $2,985 | $2.78 | 25d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 12 Church St New Rochelle, NY | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 770 | $3,536 | $4.59 | 3d | 50 | 1.45mi |
| 314 Larchmont Acres Unit 4C Mamaroneck, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1074 | $2,985 | $2.78 | 25d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 40 Memorial Hwy New Rochelle, NY | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 917 | $3,158 | $3.44 | 1d | 51 | 1.46mi |
| 139 Sickles Ave Unit 2 New Rochelle, NY | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $3,100 | $3.10 | 21d | 1 | 1.48mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $0 · $0/yr
- Likely covers
- poolgym
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 23 events
-
2026-05-15status Pending 715-char remark
-
2026-05-01$189,000 Active 715-char remark
-
2014-09-12soldstatus $115,000 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Sun filled spacious 1 BR Close to all on Palmer Ave. Over sized kitchen with lots of storage, ceiling fan and a breakfast bar w 2 barstools, living room w/ ceiling fan, a dining area, large bedroom with 2 closets and 1 yr old carpet. Hardwood floors throughout and a spotless bath. The apartment has a reserved parking space. Complex has a gym, pool and laundry in each building. 1 time gym fee $ 100. Pool fee $ 100 per person per summer. . Storage $ 30/mo
-
2014-09-12price $115,000 Sold
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Sun filled spacious 1 BR Close to all on Palmer Ave. Over sized kitchen with lots of storage, ceiling fan and a breakfast bar w 2 barstools, living room w/ ceiling fan, a dining area, large bedroom with 2 closets and 1 yr old carpet. Hardwood floors throughout and a spotless bath. The apartment has a reserved parking space. Complex has a gym, pool and laundry in each building. 1 time gym fee $ 100. Pool fee $ 100 per person per summer. . Storage $ 30/mo
-
2014-09-12soldstatus $115,000 Sold
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Sun filled spacious 1 BR Close to all on Palmer Ave. Over sized kitchen with lots of storage, ceiling fan and a breakfast bar w 2 barstools, living room w/ ceiling fan, a dining area, large bedroom with 2 closets and 1 yr old carpet. Hardwood floors throughout and a spotless bath. The apartment has a reserved parking space. Complex has a gym, pool and laundry in each building. 1 time gym fee $ 100. Pool fee $ 100 per person per summer. . Storage $ 30/mo
-
2014-08-02historical Pending
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Sun filled spacious 1 BR Close to all on Palmer Ave. Over sized kitchen with lots of storage, ceiling fan and a breakfast bar w 2 barstools, living room w/ ceiling fan, a dining area, large bedroom with 2 closets and 1 yr old carpet. Hardwood floors throughout and a spotless bath. The apartment has a reserved parking space. Complex has a gym, pool and laundry in each building. 1 time gym fee $ 100. Pool fee $ 100 per person per summer. . Storage $ 30/mo
-
2014-08-02price $125,000
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Sun filled spacious 1 BR Close to all on Palmer Ave. Over sized kitchen with lots of storage, ceiling fan and a breakfast bar w 2 barstools, living room w/ ceiling fan, a dining area, large bedroom with 2 closets and 1 yr old carpet. Hardwood floors throughout and a spotless bath. The apartment has a reserved parking space. Complex has a gym, pool and laundry in each building. 1 time gym fee $ 100. Pool fee $ 100 per person per summer. . Storage $ 30/mo
-
2013-10-13$125,000 Active
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Sun filled spacious 1 BR Close to all on Palmer Ave. Over sized kitchen with lots of storage, ceiling fan and a breakfast bar w 2 barstools, living room w/ceiling fan, a dining area, large bedroom with 2 closets and 1 yr old carpet. Hardwood floors throughout and a spotless bath. The apartment has a reserved parking space. Complex has a gym, pool and laundry in each building. 1 time gym fee $ 100. Pool fee $ 100 per person per summer.. Storage $ 30/mo
-
2013-10-13historical Cancelled
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Sun filled spacious 1 BR Close to all on Palmer Ave. Over sized kitchen with lots of storage, ceiling fan and a breakfast bar w 2 barstools, living room w/ceiling fan, a dining area, large bedroom with 2 closets and 1 yr old carpet. Hardwood floors throughout and a spotless bath. The apartment has a reserved parking space. Complex has a gym, pool and laundry in each building. 1 time gym fee $ 100. Pool fee $ 100 per person per summer.. Storage $ 30/mo
-
2013-10-13$125,000 457-char remark
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Sun filled spacious 1 BR Close to all on Palmer Ave. Over sized kitchen with lots of storage, ceiling fan and a breakfast bar w 2 barstools, living room w/ceiling fan, a dining area, large bedroom with 2 closets and 1 yr old carpet. Hardwood floors throughout and a spotless bath. The apartment has a reserved parking space. Complex has a gym, pool and laundry in each building. 1 time gym fee $ 100. Pool fee $ 100 per person per summer.. Storage $ 30/mo
-
2013-10-13historical
Show marketing remark (457 chars)
Sun filled spacious 1 BR Close to all on Palmer Ave. Over sized kitchen with lots of storage, ceiling fan and a breakfast bar w 2 barstools, living room w/ceiling fan, a dining area, large bedroom with 2 closets and 1 yr old carpet. Hardwood floors throughout and a spotless bath. The apartment has a reserved parking space. Complex has a gym, pool and laundry in each building. 1 time gym fee $ 100. Pool fee $ 100 per person per summer.. Storage $ 30/mo
-
2013-09-23status Active
-
2013-08-14historical
-
2013-07-19historical Pending
-
2013-05-31status Active
-
2013-05-07historical
-
2013-03-14historical Pending
-
2013-02-04Active
-
2013-02-04$99,900
-
2013-01-02historical
-
2012-12-31historical
-
2012-05-16Active
-
2012-05-16$135,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,774
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,587
- − Property taxes
- −$2,835
- − Insurance
- −$945
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,622
- − Management
- −$2,622
- − Depreciation
- −$5,498
- Taxable income
- $7,665
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,840
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,378/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- New Rochelle City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3620490
- Math proficiency
- 63% ▲ 3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 66% ▲ 9.00%
- Median HH income
- $69,165
- Composite
- 56.63/100
- National rank
- #1139
- State rank
- #171 of 590 in NY
Livability — New Rochelle
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #487
- US rank
- #8572
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Rochelle, NY
- County
- Westchester County · 709,332 people
- City population
- 63,657
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- Population (ZIP)
- 42,754
- Household income
- $85,573
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2797.0
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 36% White 30% Black 24% Two or more races 16% Asian 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17% Puerto Rican 5% Dominican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 3% Scotch-Irish 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 34% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 54% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Indo-European 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -910.37%
- Current HPI
- 270.8019
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.42%
- Metro
- New York-Newark-Jersey City, NY-NJ-PA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+40.0% since first listed23 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-01 Listed $189,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-09-12 Sold (MLS) $115,000 HGMLS
- 2014-09-12 Price Changed $115,000 HGMLS
- 2014-09-12 Sold (MLS) $115,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-08-02 Contingent — HGMLS
- 2014-08-02 Price Changed $125,000 HGMLS
- 2013-10-13 Listed $125,000 HGMLS
- 2013-10-13 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2013-10-13 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-10-13 Listed $125,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-09-23 Relisted — HGMLS
- 2013-08-14 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2013-07-19 Contingent — HGMLS
- 2013-05-31 Relisted — HGMLS
- 2013-05-07 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2013-03-14 Contingent — HGMLS
- 2013-02-04 Listed — HGMLS
- 2013-02-04 Listed $99,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-01-02 Delisted — HGMLS
- 2012-12-31 Listing Removed — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-05-16 Listed — HGMLS
- 2012-05-16 Listed $135,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…