19811 Pine Wind Dr · Atascocita, TX 77346

$365,000

4 bd · 3.5 ba · 3,756 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 114 Days on market

Built 1987 0.28 ac lot $97/sqft · 6% below area Est $387k · 6% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +14.2/30.0
• ARV discount +10.0/15.0
• 1% rule +5.2/10.0
• Appreciation +4.5/10.0
• DSCR +4.3/10.0
• Schools +3.9/10.0
• Livability +3.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0

Listing remarks MLS

Beautiful custom-built 4 bed, 3.5 bath traditional home situated on a large, private cul-de-sac lot in the Pinehurst golf course community. Primary suite on the main level with adjoining flex room ideal for a study or nursery. Upstairs includes three generous bedrooms and a secondary living/game room with wet bar, offering excellent flexibility for entertaining or extended living. The kitchen offers a large custom island, cooktop, double ovens, trash compactor, and stainless appliances. Expansive backyard includes a detached game room/man cave with two private entrances and a shed/workshop—ideal for secondary living or multi-generational use. Oversized finished garage with extra parking. Property is being sold as-is and presents an excellent opportunity for buyers looking to personalize and add value.

Key facts

• Wet bar
• Primary suite
• Flex room

Tags

• CUSTOM BUILT
• PRIVATE CUL-DE-SAC LOT
• PRIMARY SUITE
• FLEX ROOM
• SECONDARY LIVING ROOM
• WET BAR

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $365k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $61 ($731/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $365k).
• Recommended offer: $332k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.1% in Atascocita — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 70/100 on livability (#346 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Humble ISD (urban): math 38% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #262 of 826 in TX (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: Rents flat; 669 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($122k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-0.9%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 114 days — a 9% lower offer ($332k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price.
• Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $332,150 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 114 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.02% ✓
• Cap rate: 6.49%
• Cash-on-cash: 0.71%
• DSCR: 1.03
• GRM: 8.1

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $386,580
• List price: $365,000
• Delta: -5.58%
• Verdict: FAIR
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
19718 Powerscourt Dr	0.16mi	4/4.5	3,643 (-3%)	1mo	$445,000	$122	83
19819 Cherry Oaks Ln	0.22mi	5/3.5 (+1)	3,722 (-1%)	3mo	$457,999	$123	81
20003 Powerscourt Dr	0.24mi	4/3.5	3,464 (-8%)	6mo	$325,000	$94	71
19835 January Dr	0.30mi	4/2.5	3,560 (-5%)	12mo	$375,000	$105	63
19823 Powerscourt Dr	0.17mi	4/3.5	3,366 (-10%)	16mo	$412,000	$122	62
7411 Auburn Oak Trl	0.62mi	4/3.5	3,889 (+4%)	4mo	$450,000	$116	61
19715 Satinwood Trl	0.58mi	5/3.5 (+1)	3,735 (-1%)	9mo	$450,000	$120	59
20103 Cherry Oaks Ln	0.34mi	4/3.5	3,256 (-13%)	6mo	$370,000	$114	57
7415 Auburn Oak Trl	0.62mi	5/3.5 (+1)	3,559 (-5%)	15mo	$415,000	$117	45
7414 Oakland Wood Ct	0.66mi	5/3.5 (+1)	4,134 (+10%)	7mo	$565,900	$137	42
8003 Hurst Forest Dr	0.57mi	4/2.5	3,294 (-12%)	9mo	$305,000	$93	41
8022 Rebawood Dr	0.67mi	3/2.5 (-1)	3,219 (-14%)	12mo	$450,000	$140	25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-0.95% appreciation · 0.09% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -7.6%
• Equity multiple: 0.68×
• Total profit: $-33,198
• Equity at exit: $88,910

10-year hold

• IRR: -3.9%
• Equity multiple: 0.67×
• Total profit: $-33,414
• Equity at exit: $94,049

Cash invested: $102,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 77346

• Home prices YoY: -0.4%
• Rents YoY: 0.1%
• Active inventory: 669
• Price-to-rent: 8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,737 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,914
• Tax from tax record: −$825 /mo · $9,897/yr
• Insurance: −$152
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$785
• Net cashflow: $61

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,659

Max offer price $365,000

Occupancy floor 93%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $91,250
• Closing costs: $10,950
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 3 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
19706 Water Point Trl Humble, TX	4.0	2.5	2753	$2,550	$0.93	24d	1	0.70mi
19603 Fairway Island Dr Humble, TX	5.0	2.5	3329	$6,500	$1.95	24d	1	0.75mi
18810 Summer Anne Dr Humble, TX	4.0	2.5	3000	$2,376	$0.79	43d	1	1.26mi

Listing history 27 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $365,000 Active 114 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $365,000 Active 113 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $365,000 Active 112 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $365,000 Active 111 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $365,000 Active 109 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $365,000 Active 108 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $365,000 Active 105 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $365,000 Active 104 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $365,000 Active 103 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $365,000 Active 100 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $365,000 Active 99 DOM
12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $365,000 Active 98 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $365,000 Active 97 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $365,000 Active 96 DOM
15. 2026-02-24
    listed $375,000 Active 818-char remark

    Show marketing remark (818 chars)

    Beautiful custom-built 4 bed, 3.5 bath traditional home situated on a large, private cul-de-sac lot in the Pinehurst golf course community. Primary suite on the main level with adjoining flex room ideal for a study or nursery. Upstairs includes three generous bedrooms and a secondary living/game room with wet bar, offering excellent flexibility for entertaining or extended living. The kitchen offers a large custom island, cooktop, double ovens, trash compactor, and stainless appliances. Expansive backyard includes a detached game room/man cave with two private entrances and a shed/workshop—ideal for secondary living or multi-generational use. Oversized finished garage with extra parking. Property is being sold as-is and presents an excellent opportunity for buyers looking to personalize and add value.

16. 2021-05-28
    soldstatus Sold 944-char remark

    Show marketing remark (944 chars)

    Beautiful Custom built 4 BR/3.5 BA traditional home situated on a large, private cul-de-sac lot in the golf course community of Pinehurst. Primary bedroom has a room attached that can be a study or nursery. Three large bedrooms and a game room with a wet bar upstairs. Lots of closet space. Huge “Texas Basement” and cedar lined walk-in closet. The kitchen offers a large custom island and cooktop, double ovens, and trash compactor. Large backyard is perfect for entertaining, it includes a spa that is negotiable, a game room/man cave with two private entrances and a shed/workshop. Extra parking with an oversized finished garage. Solar screens were installed on the back windows along with “Trex” decking and a flagstone patio flanking. The whole home, including baths, include granite, stone, marble, tile, hardwood flooring, carpet and stainless appliances. Original owners have taken meticulous care of this home.

17. 2021-04-29
    status Pending 944-char remark

    Show marketing remark (944 chars)

    Beautiful Custom built 4 BR/3.5 BA traditional home situated on a large, private cul-de-sac lot in the golf course community of Pinehurst. Primary bedroom has a room attached that can be a study or nursery. Three large bedrooms and a game room with a wet bar upstairs. Lots of closet space. Huge “Texas Basement” and cedar lined walk-in closet. The kitchen offers a large custom island and cooktop, double ovens, and trash compactor. Large backyard is perfect for entertaining, it includes a spa that is negotiable, a game room/man cave with two private entrances and a shed/workshop. Extra parking with an oversized finished garage. Solar screens were installed on the back windows along with “Trex” decking and a flagstone patio flanking. The whole home, including baths, include granite, stone, marble, tile, hardwood flooring, carpet and stainless appliances. Original owners have taken meticulous care of this home.

18. 2021-04-20
    status Option Pending 944-char remark

    Show marketing remark (944 chars)

    Beautiful Custom built 4 BR/3.5 BA traditional home situated on a large, private cul-de-sac lot in the golf course community of Pinehurst. Primary bedroom has a room attached that can be a study or nursery. Three large bedrooms and a game room with a wet bar upstairs. Lots of closet space. Huge “Texas Basement” and cedar lined walk-in closet. The kitchen offers a large custom island and cooktop, double ovens, and trash compactor. Large backyard is perfect for entertaining, it includes a spa that is negotiable, a game room/man cave with two private entrances and a shed/workshop. Extra parking with an oversized finished garage. Solar screens were installed on the back windows along with “Trex” decking and a flagstone patio flanking. The whole home, including baths, include granite, stone, marble, tile, hardwood flooring, carpet and stainless appliances. Original owners have taken meticulous care of this home.

19. 2021-04-17
    price $369,999 944-char remark

    Show marketing remark (944 chars)

    Beautiful Custom built 4 BR/3.5 BA traditional home situated on a large, private cul-de-sac lot in the golf course community of Pinehurst. Primary bedroom has a room attached that can be a study or nursery. Three large bedrooms and a game room with a wet bar upstairs. Lots of closet space. Huge “Texas Basement” and cedar lined walk-in closet. The kitchen offers a large custom island and cooktop, double ovens, and trash compactor. Large backyard is perfect for entertaining, it includes a spa that is negotiable, a game room/man cave with two private entrances and a shed/workshop. Extra parking with an oversized finished garage. Solar screens were installed on the back windows along with “Trex” decking and a flagstone patio flanking. The whole home, including baths, include granite, stone, marble, tile, hardwood flooring, carpet and stainless appliances. Original owners have taken meticulous care of this home.

20. 2021-04-10
    listed $374,999 Active 944-char remark

    Show marketing remark (944 chars)

    Beautiful Custom built 4 BR/3.5 BA traditional home situated on a large, private cul-de-sac lot in the golf course community of Pinehurst. Primary bedroom has a room attached that can be a study or nursery. Three large bedrooms and a game room with a wet bar upstairs. Lots of closet space. Huge “Texas Basement” and cedar lined walk-in closet. The kitchen offers a large custom island and cooktop, double ovens, and trash compactor. Large backyard is perfect for entertaining, it includes a spa that is negotiable, a game room/man cave with two private entrances and a shed/workshop. Extra parking with an oversized finished garage. Solar screens were installed on the back windows along with “Trex” decking and a flagstone patio flanking. The whole home, including baths, include granite, stone, marble, tile, hardwood flooring, carpet and stainless appliances. Original owners have taken meticulous care of this home.

21. 2019-08-30
    historical
22. 2019-08-08
    price $334,900
23. 2019-08-08
    status Active
24. 2019-07-14
    status Option Pending
25. 2019-07-13
    historical
26. 2019-06-07
    listed $344,900 Active
27. 1988-09-21
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $9,897 · $825/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $9,897 · $825/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $44,838
• − Mortgage interest: −$20,446
• − Property taxes: −$9,897
• − Insurance: −$1,825
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,587
• − Management: −$3,587
• − Depreciation: −$10,618
• Taxable loss: −$5,122
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$1,229
• After-tax cash flow: $1,960/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Humble ISD
• NCES district ID: 4823910
• Math proficiency: 38% ▼ -11.00%
• Reading proficiency: 44% ▼ -7.00%
• Median HH income: $83,946
• Composite: 38.55/100
• National rank: #4171
• State rank: #262 of 826 in TX

Livability — Atascocita

• Score: 70/100
• State rank: #346
• US rank: #7586

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Atascocita, TX
• County: Harris County · 4,702,590 people
• City population: 79,538
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• Population (ZIP): 79,538
• Household income: $122,241
• Rent vs Own: 18.3% rent · 81.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 1072.0

Population outlook (Harris County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 5,571,493 people
• By 2030: 6,089,821 · +9.3%
• By 2040: 7,142,806 · +28.2%
• By 2050: 8,185,864 · +46.9%
• By 2075: 10,574,329 · +89.8%
• By 2100: 12,109,958 · +117.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
• Race & ethnicity: White 42% Hispanic / Latino 28% Black 21% Two or more races 18% Asian 4%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 20% Puerto Rican 2%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 4% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
• Foreign-born: 10% · Canada, Vietnam, China
• Languages at home: 78% English-only · Spanish 17% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harris

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+5.5) · D 52.0% · R 46.4% · Other 1.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +3.9pp toward D · 2008: 1.6pp · 2024: 5.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+5.5 2020: D+13.3 2016: D+12.4 2012: D+0.1 2008: D+1.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -0.95%
• Current HPI: 218.0478
• Rent YoY: ▲ 0.09%
• Metro: Houston-The Woodlands-Sugar Land, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

+8.7% since first listed

13 events — show timeline

• 2026-02-24 Listed $375,000 HARMLS
• 2021-05-28 Sold (MLS) — HARMLS
• 2021-04-29 Pending — HARMLS
• 2021-04-20 Pending — HARMLS
• 2021-04-17 Price Changed $369,999 HARMLS
• 2021-04-10 Listed $374,999 HARMLS
• 2019-08-30 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2019-08-08 Price Changed $334,900 HARMLS
• 2019-08-08 Relisted — HARMLS
• 2019-07-14 Pending — HARMLS
• 2019-07-13 Listing Removed — HARMLS
• 2019-06-07 Listed $344,900 HARMLS
• 1988-09-21 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+7.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $9,897 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.