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38 County Road 512
B Composite 71.64
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Appreciation +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.1/10.0

$59,900

38 County Road 512 · Clanton, AL 36091
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,092 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1971 1.00 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Attention investors and DIY enthusiasts! Multiple exit strategies: finish this remodel then either flip, rent or move in! Home being sold as is. Cash preferred but will consider financed all offers. Seller is assisted by an Attorney in Fact. Do not knock on door or approach house without prior communication.

Key facts

  • 1 acre lot
  • Built 1971
  • Listed 13 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property sits on 1 acre; Flood plain: No; Lot view: No

Exterior

  • Parking: Off-street parking
  • Security: No security features listed
  • Utilities: Public water; Underground utilities; Internet service availability unknown
  • Home design: Existing structure; Single-story living (rooms listed at level 1)
  • Construction: Siding (other) exterior; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: No waterfront; No pool; No patio; No garden/patio; No decks

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: Bedroom on main level
  • Flooring: Hardwood laminate floors
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom with tub/shower combo
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceilings: other (see remarks); No additional interior features listed
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry details provided

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $392 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($946 rent vs $60k).
  • Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 3.4% in Clanton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#259 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Chilton County (rural): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #94 of 129 in AL (top 73%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: Chilton County High School (math 17% / reading 17%, grade F, #195 of 305 statewide, top 68%, 783 students, 69% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 33 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Chilton County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-2.0%/yr); year-one equity from $414 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Chilton County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-2.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $59,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1971 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.58%
Cap rate
14.15%
Cash-on-cash
28.08%
DSCR
2.25
GRM
5.3

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.96% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
24.5%
Equity multiple
2.07×
Total profit
$17,915
Equity at exit
$11,750
10-year hold
IRR
30.9%
Equity multiple
3.98×
Total profit
$50,063
Equity at exit
$10,152

Cash invested: $16,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36091

Home prices YoY
-1.1%
Active inventory
33
Price-to-rent
5.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$946 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$314
Tax from tax record
$16 /mo · $190/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$199
Net cashflow
$392

Break-even live

Break-even rent $449
Max offer price $59,900
Occupancy floor 54%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,975
Closing costs
$1,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    status $59,900 Pending 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,900 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,900 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-05-19
    listed $59,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$190 · $16/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$246 · $20/mo
Expected delta
+$56/yr (+$5/mo · 29.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,352
− Mortgage interest
−$3,355
− Property taxes
−$190
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$908
− Management
−$908
− Depreciation
−$1,743
Taxable income
$3,948
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$948
After-tax cash flow
$3,762/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Chilton County
NCES district ID
0100660
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
34% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$41,269
Composite
20.73/100
National rank
#8520
State rank
#94 of 129 in AL

Livability — Clanton

Score
61/100
State rank
#259
US rank
#18072

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D- Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
15,324
Population (ZIP)
3,707

Population outlook (Chilton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
44,064 people
By 2030
43,694 · -0.8%
By 2040
42,168 · -4.3%
By 2050
39,667 · -10.0%
By 2075
31,397 · -28.7%
By 2100
21,319 · -51.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Black 12% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Chilton

2024 margin
Solid R (+72.1) · D 13.7% · R 85.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.3pp toward R · 2008: -57.8pp · 2024: -72.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+72.1 2020: R+67.4 2016: R+66.6 2012: R+60.3 2008: R+57.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.96%
Current HPI
170.1585
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Listed $59,900 Greater Alabama MLS

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2022): $190 · +10.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…