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1125 Apache Dr
A Composite 86.72
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.4/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0

$100,000

1125 Apache Dr · Florissant, MO 63033
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 957 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1965 7,501 sqft lot Est $149k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This property is being offered "AS-IS" only. Seller to make no repairs and no municipality inspections.

Key facts

  • 7,501 sq ft lot
  • Parking
  • Built 1965

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Lease not considered

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport with 1 space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story
  • Construction: Lap siding
  • Exterior features: Private, level backyard

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Ceiling fan(s) for cooling
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $501 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $100k).
  • Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 6.3% in Florissant — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#82 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime C-, amenities D+, commute F.
  • Ferguson-Florissant R-II (suburban): math 7% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #311 of 324 in MO (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Robinwood Elementary (math 11% / reading 25%, grade F, #962 of 1,115 statewide, top 86%, 312 students, 99% FRL); Mccluer North High (math 5% / reading 28%, grade F, #487 of 521 statewide, top 93%, 1,136 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 70% district-wide (30 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.5%/yr); 221 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($691 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 7.5% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $100,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.53%
Cap rate
12.30%
Cash-on-cash
21.46%
DSCR
1.95
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$149,292
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1125 Apache Dr 0.00mi 3/1.0 957 (0%) 1mo $100,000 $104 100
1145 S Waterford Dr 0.25mi 3/2.0 984 (+3%) 4mo $165,000 $168 76
1065 Cheyenne Dr 0.13mi 3/2.0 1,040 (+9%) 3mo $172,000 $165 73
2 Carson Ct 0.26mi 3/1.0 888 (-7%) 8mo $165,000 $186 70
190 Lynn Meadows Ln 0.41mi 3/1.0 864 (-10%) 0mo $119,900 $139 64
105 Capri Dr 0.43mi 3/1.0 864 (-10%) 7mo $144,900 $168 58
16 Montclair Ct 0.44mi 3/2.0 864 (-10%) 4mo $100,000 $116 56
2505 Saint Catherine St 0.51mi 3/1.5 1,040 (+9%) 5mo $123,000 $118 56
4 Saint James Ct 0.64mi 2/1.0 (-1) 898 (-6%) 7mo $130,000 $145 49
260 Saint Edward Ln 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,092 (+14%) 3mo $170,000 $156 46
675 Pimlico Dr 0.66mi 3/1.0 1,064 (+11%) 8mo $149,000 $140 44
355 Saint Eugene Ln 0.58mi 3/1.5 1,092 (+14%) 6mo $189,000 $173 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 7.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
42.9%
Equity multiple
4.34×
Total profit
$93,656
Equity at exit
$90,088
10-year hold
IRR
38.9%
Equity multiple
10.59×
Total profit
$268,437
Equity at exit
$194,278

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63033

Home prices YoY
2.5%
Rents YoY
7.5%
Active inventory
221
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,531 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$143 /mo · $1,710/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$321
Net cashflow
$501

Break-even live

Break-even rent $897
Max offer price $100,000
Occupancy floor 62%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $557 -5% $529 +0% $501 +5% $473 +10% $444
Rent -10% $380 -5% $440 +0% $501 +5% $561 +10% $622
Rate -1.0pp $551 -0.5pp $526 base $501 +0.5pp $475 +1.0pp $449

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 27 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1095 Ozment Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 984 $1,461 $1.48 25d 1 0.34mi
1050 Ozment Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 984 $1,525 $1.55 45d 1 0.34mi
765 Bobbins Ln Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 1107 $1,450 $1.31 45d 1 0.40mi
1670 Arundel Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 2.0 1012 $1,450 $1.43 25d 1 0.47mi
50 Lynn Meadows Ln Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 864 $1,450 $1.68 25d 1 0.51mi
297 Saint Eugene Ln Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,100 $1.00 45d 1 0.62mi
1502 Summer Run Dr #108 Florissant, MO 2.0 1.5 922 $1,200 $1.30 25d 1 0.69mi
20 Saint Benedict Ln Florissant, MO 3.0 1.5 1092 $1,525 $1.40 21d 1 0.75mi
1600 Washington St Florissant, MO 3.0 1.5 1095 $1,250 $1.14 21d 1 0.80mi
1725 Saint Catherine St Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 1107 $1,700 $1.54 0d 1 0.83mi
1465 W Duchesne Dr Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 896 $1,500 $1.67 45d 1 0.86mi
1180 S New Florissant Rd Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 925 $1,225 $1.32 25d 1 0.97mi
24 Barto Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 864 $1,400 $1.62 45d 1 1.08mi
36 Connolly Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1024 $1,149 $1.12 25d 1 1.14mi
11 Anistasia Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 1120 $1,345 $1.20 25d 1 1.17mi
1004 N New Florissant Rd Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 719 $1,375 $1.91 25d 1 1.18mi
1045 N New Florissant Rd Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 783 $1,250 $1.60 16d 1 1.21mi
221 Barto Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 2.0 958 $1,295 $1.35 21d 1 1.25mi
107 Anistasia Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 2.0 1030 $1,400 $1.36 25d 1 1.28mi
46 Bascom Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 932 $1,175 $1.26 45d 1 1.33mi
220 Du Bourg Ln Florissant, MO 2.0 1.0 816 $1,150 $1.41 45d 1 1.35mi
241 Flora Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 703 $1,075 $1.53 25d 1 1.41mi
153 Bascom Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.0 1076 $1,195 $1.11 21d 1 1.45mi
171 Elbring Dr Saint Louis, MO 3.0 1.5 1008 $1,395 $1.38 13d 1 1.45mi
135 Saint Maurice Ln Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 816 $1,395 $1.71 45d 1 1.45mi
24 Vierling Dr Saint Louis, MO 2.0 1.0 850 $1,290 $1.52 9d 1 1.47mi
305 S Lafayette St Florissant, MO 3.0 1.0 864 $1,384 $1.60 0d 1 1.49mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-13
    listed $100,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,710 · $143/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,710 · $143/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,371
− Mortgage interest
−$5,602
− Property taxes
−$1,710
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,470
− Management
−$1,470
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$4,711
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,131
After-tax cash flow
$4,879/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ferguson-Florissant R-II
NCES district ID
2912010
Math proficiency
7% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$44,610
Composite
11.96/100
National rank
#9666
State rank
#311 of 324 in MO

Livability — Florissant

Score
73/100
State rank
#82
US rank
#5406

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Florissant, MO
County
Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
City population
69,104
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
43,056
Household income
$66,776
Rent vs Own
33.4% rent · 66.6% own
Severe rent burden
1429.0

Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,025,227 people
By 2030
1,028,023 · +0.3%
By 2040
1,020,940 · -0.4%
By 2050
1,007,280 · -1.8%
By 2075
987,277 · -3.7%
By 2100
921,984 · -10.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (71%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 71% White 23% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 13.78%
Current HPI
570.6
Rent YoY
▲ 7.51%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $100,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+1.8%/yr

Latest (2022): $1,710 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…