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304 Feltus Blvd 🔨 Auction
F Composite 31.19
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • DSCR +2.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0
  • Schools +0.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,000

304 Feltus Blvd · Leland, MS 38756
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,987 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 50 Days on market
Built 1950 0.45 ac lot ↓ 38% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

AUCTION - OCCUPIED. This affordable ranch home offers 3 beds, 2 baths and the home sits on a large lot offering ample room to expand. Property is sold as-is with NO property disclosure or inspection reports, NO interior photos, NO ACCESS - the seller does not represent or guarantee occupancy status. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. ''As is'' CASH ONLY sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing.

Key facts

  • 0.45 acre lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1950

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…
🔨 Auction listing. The $49,000 list price is a nominal opening bid, not a real ask — every metric below is computed on the estimated value $165,865 (ARV from comps), not the list price.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $49k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-109 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $49k).
  • Recommended offer: $48k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#73 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Leland School District (town): math 5% / reading 15% proficiency, ranked #117 of 130 in MS (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 10 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Washington County population projected at -36% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $47,530 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
5.51%
Cash-on-cash
-2.81%
DSCR
0.87
GRM
11.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$165,865
List price
$49,000
Delta
-70.46%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
306 Willeroy St 0.42mi 3/2.5 1,960 (-1%) 12mo $100,000 $51 62

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-21.0%
Equity multiple
0.27×
Total profit
$-33,861
Equity at exit
$24,731
10-year hold
IRR
-14.5%
Equity multiple
0.17×
Total profit
$-38,621
Equity at exit
$14,341

Cash invested: $46,442 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 38756

Active inventory
30
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,170 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$870
Tax from tax record
$94 /mo · $1,132/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$246
Net cashflow
$-109

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,308
Max offer price $146,638
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-15 -5% $-62 +0% $-109 +5% $-156 +10% $-203
Rent -10% $-201 -5% $-155 +0% $-109 +5% $-63 +10% $-16
Rate -1.0pp $-25 -0.5pp $-67 base $-109 +0.5pp $-152 +1.0pp $-196

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,466
Closing costs
$4,976
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-11
    price $49,000 488-char remark
    Show marketing remark (488 chars)

    AUCTION - OCCUPIED. This affordable ranch home offers 3 beds, 2 baths and the home sits on a large lot offering ample room to expand. Property is sold as-is with NO property disclosure or inspection reports, NO interior photos, NO ACCESS - the seller does not represent or guarantee occupancy status. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. ''As is'' CASH ONLY sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing.

  2. 2026-04-23
    price $59,200 488-char remark
    Show marketing remark (488 chars)

    AUCTION - OCCUPIED. This affordable ranch home offers 3 beds, 2 baths and the home sits on a large lot offering ample room to expand. Property is sold as-is with NO property disclosure or inspection reports, NO interior photos, NO ACCESS - the seller does not represent or guarantee occupancy status. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. ''As is'' CASH ONLY sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing.

  3. 2026-04-07
    listed $78,500 Active 488-char remark
    Show marketing remark (488 chars)

    AUCTION - OCCUPIED. This affordable ranch home offers 3 beds, 2 baths and the home sits on a large lot offering ample room to expand. Property is sold as-is with NO property disclosure or inspection reports, NO interior photos, NO ACCESS - the seller does not represent or guarantee occupancy status. Please DO NOT DISTURB the occupant. ''As is'' CASH ONLY sale with no contingencies or inspections. Buyer will be responsible for obtaining possession of the property upon closing.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,132 · $94/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,132 · $94/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,042
− Mortgage interest
−$9,291
− Property taxes
−$1,132
− Insurance
−$829
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,123
− Management
−$1,123
− Depreciation
−$4,825
Taxable loss
−$4,282
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,028
After-tax cash flow
$-278/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Leland School District
NCES district ID
2802610
Math proficiency
5% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
15% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$30,773
Composite
7.75/100
National rank
#9936
State rank
#117 of 130 in MS

Livability — Leland

Score
68/100
State rank
#73
US rank
#10033

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Leland, MS
Population (ZIP)
6,568

Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
41,424 people
By 2030
38,061 · -8.1%
By 2040
31,752 · -23.3%
By 2050
26,394 · -36.3%
By 2075
17,180 · -58.5%
By 2100
12,936 · -68.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
Black 54% White 39% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 5%

Political lean MEDSL · Washington

2024 margin
Solid D (+35.0) · D 67.0% · R 32.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+0.2pp no change · 2008: 34.7pp · 2024: 35.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+35.0 2020: D+40.0 2016: D+36.4 2012: D+42.7 2008: D+34.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -64.23%
Current HPI
51.6345
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

-37.6% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-11 Price Changed $49,000 MLSU
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $59,200 MLSU
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $78,500 MLSU

Property tax history

+0.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,132 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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