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7131 Sonoma Dr
D Composite 40.51
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.9/30.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$332,000

7131 Sonoma Dr · Biloxi, MS 39532
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,404 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 18 Days on market
Built 2021 0.31 ac lot $138/sqft · 16% below area Est $409k · 19% under $33/mo HOA · 1% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Seller is willing to assist buyer with closing costs with acceptable offer. Beautifully Maintained Home in Sought-After Neighborhood - This 5-year-old, well-cared-for home offers comfort, space, and a thoughtful layout in a great neighborhood within the Harrison County School District. Featuring 4 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, the home boasts a spacious primary suite on the main level, providing privacy and convenience. Upstairs, you'll find three generously sized bedrooms, two of which are connected by a Jack-and-Jill bathroom, along with a large additional living area--perfect for a game room, kids' hangout, media room, designated homeschool area or just a second family space. The home is filled with abundant natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere throughout. A functional floor plan makes everyday living and entertaining effortless, while the 2-car garage adds convenience and storage.

Key facts

  • Close to schools
  • Wonderful kitchen
  • 0.31 acre lot

Tags

FIRST FLOOR LIVING ROOMFIRST FLOOR DINING AREAWONDERFUL KITCHENSPACIOUS PRIMARY SUITELARGE SECOND LIVING AREACLOSE TO SCHOOLS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $332k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-353 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $270k (18.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $225k (32.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $225k (32.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.5% in Biloxi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#6 in MS, #2,141 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D+, amenities F, employment D-.
  • Harrison County School District (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #14 of 130 in MS (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 393 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($327k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask is 28% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $224,671 (32.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.68%
Cap rate
5.02%
Cash-on-cash
-4.56%
DSCR
0.80
GRM
12.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$408,584
List price
$332,000
Delta
-17.79%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7134 Sonoma Dr 0.03mi 4/2.5 2,306 (-4%) 6mo $348,900 $151 85
7089 Glen Eagle Dr 0.13mi 4/2.5 2,306 (-4%) 12mo $334,000 $145 75
13486 Shriners Blvd 0.35mi 4/2.0 2,448 (+2%) 10mo $325,000 $133 73
6284 Emerald Lake Dr 0.73mi 4/2.0 2,320 (-4%) 5mo $336,850 $145 56
6289 Emerald Lake Dr 0.70mi 4/3.0 2,300 (-4%) 6mo $361,575 $157 51
13631 Mayberry Ct 0.71mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,513 (+4%) 0mo $364,990 $145 50
13824 Winterberry Dr 0.64mi 4/2.0 2,114 (-12%) 2mo $379,990 $180 48
14192 Old Highway 67 0.66mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,600 (+8%) 5mo $240,000 $92 46
7974 Deerberry Ct 0.65mi 4/3.0 2,219 (-8%) 8mo $360,815 $163 46
6280 Emerald Lake Dr 0.74mi 4/3.0 2,300 (-4%) 10mo $369,175 $161 46
6285 Emerald Lake Dr 0.71mi 4/2.0 2,202 (-8%) 12mo $357,625 $162 43
6567 Eastland Cir 0.59mi 4/2.0 2,079 (-14%) 12mo $287,000 $138 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.98% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-24.1%
Equity multiple
0.18×
Total profit
$-76,388
Equity at exit
$49,502
10-year hold
IRR
-19.4%
Equity multiple
-0.03×
Total profit
$-95,922
Equity at exit
$28,705

Cash invested: $92,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39532

Rents YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
393
Price-to-rent
12.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,247 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,741
Tax from tax record
$215 /mo · $2,585/yr
Insurance
$138
HOA
$33
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$472
Net cashflow
$-353

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,693
Max offer price $269,660
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-165 -5% $-259 +0% $-353 +5% $-447 +10% $-541
Rent -10% $-530 -5% $-442 +0% $-353 +5% $-264 +10% $-175
Rate -1.0pp $-186 -0.5pp $-268 base $-353 +0.5pp $-439 +1.0pp $-526

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$83,000
Closing costs
$9,960
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
6550 Eastland Cir Biloxi, MS 4.0 2.0 2037 $2,250 $1.10 45d 1 0.59mi
6248 Emerald Lake Dr Biloxi, MS 4.0 2.0 2557 $2,300 $0.90 15d 1 0.83mi
13913 Ruby Ln Biloxi, MS 4.0 3.0 2508 $2,500 $1.00 45d 1 1.00mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$33 · $396/yr

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $332,000 Active 18 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $332,000 Active 15 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $332,000 Active 14 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $332,000 Active 13 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $332,000 Active 12 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $332,000 Active 10 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $332,000 Active 9 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $332,000 Active 7 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $332,000 Active 6 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $332,000 Active 5 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on marketlisting id $332,000 Active 4 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $335,900 Active 133 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $335,900 Active 132 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $335,900 Active 131 DOM
  15. 2026-04-29
    price $335,900 916-char remark
    Show marketing remark (916 chars)

    Seller is willing to assist buyer with closing costs with acceptable offer. Beautifully Maintained Home in Sought-After Neighborhood - This 5-year-old, well-cared-for home offers comfort, space, and a thoughtful layout in a great neighborhood within the Harrison County School District. Featuring 4 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, the home boasts a spacious primary suite on the main level, providing privacy and convenience. Upstairs, you'll find three generously sized bedrooms, two of which are connected by a Jack-and-Jill bathroom, along with a large additional living area--perfect for a game room, kids' hangout, media room, designated homeschool area or just a second family space. The home is filled with abundant natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere throughout. A functional floor plan makes everyday living and entertaining effortless, while the 2-car garage adds convenience and storage.

  16. 2026-04-10
    price $344,900 916-char remark
    Show marketing remark (916 chars)

    Seller is willing to assist buyer with closing costs with acceptable offer. Beautifully Maintained Home in Sought-After Neighborhood - This 5-year-old, well-cared-for home offers comfort, space, and a thoughtful layout in a great neighborhood within the Harrison County School District. Featuring 4 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, the home boasts a spacious primary suite on the main level, providing privacy and convenience. Upstairs, you'll find three generously sized bedrooms, two of which are connected by a Jack-and-Jill bathroom, along with a large additional living area--perfect for a game room, kids' hangout, media room, designated homeschool area or just a second family space. The home is filled with abundant natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere throughout. A functional floor plan makes everyday living and entertaining effortless, while the 2-car garage adds convenience and storage.

  17. 2026-02-20
    price $349,900 916-char remark
    Show marketing remark (916 chars)

    Seller is willing to assist buyer with closing costs with acceptable offer. Beautifully Maintained Home in Sought-After Neighborhood - This 5-year-old, well-cared-for home offers comfort, space, and a thoughtful layout in a great neighborhood within the Harrison County School District. Featuring 4 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, the home boasts a spacious primary suite on the main level, providing privacy and convenience. Upstairs, you'll find three generously sized bedrooms, two of which are connected by a Jack-and-Jill bathroom, along with a large additional living area--perfect for a game room, kids' hangout, media room, designated homeschool area or just a second family space. The home is filled with abundant natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere throughout. A functional floor plan makes everyday living and entertaining effortless, while the 2-car garage adds convenience and storage.

  18. 2026-02-02
    price $354,900 916-char remark
    Show marketing remark (916 chars)

    Seller is willing to assist buyer with closing costs with acceptable offer. Beautifully Maintained Home in Sought-After Neighborhood - This 5-year-old, well-cared-for home offers comfort, space, and a thoughtful layout in a great neighborhood within the Harrison County School District. Featuring 4 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, the home boasts a spacious primary suite on the main level, providing privacy and convenience. Upstairs, you'll find three generously sized bedrooms, two of which are connected by a Jack-and-Jill bathroom, along with a large additional living area--perfect for a game room, kids' hangout, media room, designated homeschool area or just a second family space. The home is filled with abundant natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere throughout. A functional floor plan makes everyday living and entertaining effortless, while the 2-car garage adds convenience and storage.

  19. 2026-01-20
    price $359,000 916-char remark
    Show marketing remark (916 chars)

    Seller is willing to assist buyer with closing costs with acceptable offer. Beautifully Maintained Home in Sought-After Neighborhood - This 5-year-old, well-cared-for home offers comfort, space, and a thoughtful layout in a great neighborhood within the Harrison County School District. Featuring 4 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, the home boasts a spacious primary suite on the main level, providing privacy and convenience. Upstairs, you'll find three generously sized bedrooms, two of which are connected by a Jack-and-Jill bathroom, along with a large additional living area--perfect for a game room, kids' hangout, media room, designated homeschool area or just a second family space. The home is filled with abundant natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere throughout. A functional floor plan makes everyday living and entertaining effortless, while the 2-car garage adds convenience and storage.

  20. 2026-01-19
    listed $259,000 Active 916-char remark
    Show marketing remark (916 chars)

    Seller is willing to assist buyer with closing costs with acceptable offer. Beautifully Maintained Home in Sought-After Neighborhood - This 5-year-old, well-cared-for home offers comfort, space, and a thoughtful layout in a great neighborhood within the Harrison County School District. Featuring 4 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, the home boasts a spacious primary suite on the main level, providing privacy and convenience. Upstairs, you'll find three generously sized bedrooms, two of which are connected by a Jack-and-Jill bathroom, along with a large additional living area--perfect for a game room, kids' hangout, media room, designated homeschool area or just a second family space. The home is filled with abundant natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere throughout. A functional floor plan makes everyday living and entertaining effortless, while the 2-car garage adds convenience and storage.

  21. 2021-07-23
    soldstatus 619-char remark
    Show marketing remark (619 chars)

    This 2 story offers the open concept layout featuring two living areas. The owner's suite is on the bottom level while all the other bedrooms are upstairs along with a huge upstairs living/play room/mancave area. You will love the designer soft close cabinets, farmhouse sink, granite countertops, subway tile backsplash, crown molding, tile shower, and walk-in closets. Smart Home package. Enjoy the private serene nature setting from your covered back porch. *Home is under construction. Estimated completion April. Pics are of another home, same floor plan. Options and colors may vary. Cabinets will be light gray.*

  22. 2021-03-04
    historical
  23. 2021-03-02
    listed $311,900 619-char remark
    Show marketing remark (619 chars)

    This 2 story offers the open concept layout featuring two living areas. The owner's suite is on the bottom level while all the other bedrooms are upstairs along with a huge upstairs living/play room/mancave area. You will love the designer soft close cabinets, farmhouse sink, granite countertops, subway tile backsplash, crown molding, tile shower, and walk-in closets. Smart Home package. Enjoy the private serene nature setting from your covered back porch. *Home is under construction. Estimated completion April. Pics are of another home, same floor plan. Options and colors may vary. Cabinets will be light gray.*

  24. 2020-11-15
    listed $304,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,585 · $215/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,623 · $219/mo
Expected delta
+$38/yr (+$3/mo · 1.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,961
− Mortgage interest
−$18,597
− Property taxes
−$2,585
− Insurance
−$1,660
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,157
− Management
−$2,157
− HOA
−$396
− Depreciation
−$9,658
Taxable loss
−$10,249
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,460
After-tax cash flow
$-1,775/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harrison County School District
NCES district ID
2801770
Math proficiency
52% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$46,504
Composite
41.66/100
National rank
#3419
State rank
#14 of 130 in MS

Livability — Biloxi

Score
79/100
State rank
#6
US rank
#2141

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Biloxi, MS
County
Harrison County · 178,171 people
City population
63,281
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
Population (ZIP)
36,662
Household income
$68,710
Rent vs Own
36.7% rent · 63.3% own
Severe rent burden
954.0

Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
228,444 people
By 2030
241,942 · +5.9%
By 2040
267,531 · +17.1%
By 2050
291,062 · +27.4%
By 2075
346,711 · +51.8%
By 2100
378,165 · +65.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Black 15% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Vietnam, Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harrison

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -90.04%
Current HPI
154.9975
Rent YoY
▲ 2.98%
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+10.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $335,900 MLSU
  • 2026-04-10 Price Changed $344,900 MLSU
  • 2026-02-20 Price Changed $349,900 MLSU
  • 2026-02-02 Price Changed $354,900 MLSU
  • 2026-01-20 Price Changed $359,000 MLSU
  • 2026-01-19 Listed $259,000 MLSU
  • 2021-07-23 Sold (MLS) MLSU
  • 2021-03-04 Listing Removed MLSU
  • 2021-03-02 Listed $311,900 MLSU
  • 2020-11-15 Listed $304,900 MLSU

Property tax history

+64.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,585 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…