7131 Sonoma Dr · Biloxi, MS
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.68%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +7.9/30.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.0/10.0
- 1% rule +1.8/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$332,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Seller is willing to assist buyer with closing costs with acceptable offer. Beautifully Maintained Home in Sought-After Neighborhood - This 5-year-old, well-cared-for home offers comfort, space, and a thoughtful layout in a great neighborhood within the Harrison County School District. Featuring 4 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, the home boasts a spacious primary suite on the main level, providing privacy and convenience. Upstairs, you'll find three generously sized bedrooms, two of which are connected by a Jack-and-Jill bathroom, along with a large additional living area--perfect for a game room, kids' hangout, media room, designated homeschool area or just a second family space. The home is filled with abundant natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere throughout. A functional floor plan makes everyday living and entertaining effortless, while the 2-car garage adds convenience and storage.
Key facts
- Close to schools
- Wonderful kitchen
- 0.31 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $332k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-353 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $270k (18.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $225k (32.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $225k (32.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.5% in Biloxi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#6 in MS, #2,141 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D+, amenities F, employment D-.
- Harrison County School District (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #14 of 130 in MS (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.0%/yr); 393 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($69k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $10k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 18 days — a 2% lower offer ($327k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask is 28% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.68% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.56%
- DSCR
- 0.80
- GRM
- 12.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $408,584
- List price
- $332,000
- Delta
- -17.79%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7134 Sonoma Dr | 0.03mi | 4/2.5 | 2,306 (-4%) | 6mo | $348,900 | $151 | 85 |
| 7089 Glen Eagle Dr | 0.13mi | 4/2.5 | 2,306 (-4%) | 12mo | $334,000 | $145 | 75 |
| 13486 Shriners Blvd | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 | 2,448 (+2%) | 10mo | $325,000 | $133 | 73 |
| 6284 Emerald Lake Dr | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 | 2,320 (-4%) | 5mo | $336,850 | $145 | 56 |
| 6289 Emerald Lake Dr | 0.70mi | 4/3.0 | 2,300 (-4%) | 6mo | $361,575 | $157 | 51 |
| 13631 Mayberry Ct | 0.71mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,513 (+4%) | 0mo | $364,990 | $145 | 50 |
| 13824 Winterberry Dr | 0.64mi | 4/2.0 | 2,114 (-12%) | 2mo | $379,990 | $180 | 48 |
| 14192 Old Highway 67 | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,600 (+8%) | 5mo | $240,000 | $92 | 46 |
| 7974 Deerberry Ct | 0.65mi | 4/3.0 | 2,219 (-8%) | 8mo | $360,815 | $163 | 46 |
| 6280 Emerald Lake Dr | 0.74mi | 4/3.0 | 2,300 (-4%) | 10mo | $369,175 | $161 | 46 |
| 6285 Emerald Lake Dr | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 | 2,202 (-8%) | 12mo | $357,625 | $162 | 43 |
| 6567 Eastland Cir | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 | 2,079 (-14%) | 12mo | $287,000 | $138 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.98% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -24.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.18×
- Total profit
- $-76,388
- Equity at exit
- $49,502
- IRR
- -19.4%
- Equity multiple
- -0.03×
- Total profit
- $-95,922
- Equity at exit
- $28,705
Cash invested: $92,960 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39532
- Rents YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 393
- Price-to-rent
- 12.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,247 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,741
- Tax from tax record
- −$215 /mo · $2,585/yr
- Insurance
- −$138
- HOA
- −$33
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$472
- Net cashflow
- $-353
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-165 | -5% $-259 | +0% $-353 | +5% $-447 | +10% $-541 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-530 | -5% $-442 | +0% $-353 | +5% $-264 | +10% $-175 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-186 | -0.5pp $-268 | base $-353 | +0.5pp $-439 | +1.0pp $-526 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $83,000
- Closing costs
- $9,960
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6550 Eastland Cir Biloxi, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2037 | $2,250 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 6248 Emerald Lake Dr Biloxi, MS | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2557 | $2,300 | $0.90 | 15d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 13913 Ruby Ln Biloxi, MS | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2508 | $2,500 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $33 · $396/yr
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $332,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $332,000 Active 15 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $332,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $332,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $332,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $332,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $332,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $332,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $332,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $332,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $332,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $335,900 Active 133 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $335,900 Active 132 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $335,900 Active 131 DOM
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2026-04-29price $335,900 916-char remark
Show marketing remark (916 chars)
Seller is willing to assist buyer with closing costs with acceptable offer. Beautifully Maintained Home in Sought-After Neighborhood - This 5-year-old, well-cared-for home offers comfort, space, and a thoughtful layout in a great neighborhood within the Harrison County School District. Featuring 4 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, the home boasts a spacious primary suite on the main level, providing privacy and convenience. Upstairs, you'll find three generously sized bedrooms, two of which are connected by a Jack-and-Jill bathroom, along with a large additional living area--perfect for a game room, kids' hangout, media room, designated homeschool area or just a second family space. The home is filled with abundant natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere throughout. A functional floor plan makes everyday living and entertaining effortless, while the 2-car garage adds convenience and storage.
-
2026-04-10price $344,900 916-char remark
Show marketing remark (916 chars)
Seller is willing to assist buyer with closing costs with acceptable offer. Beautifully Maintained Home in Sought-After Neighborhood - This 5-year-old, well-cared-for home offers comfort, space, and a thoughtful layout in a great neighborhood within the Harrison County School District. Featuring 4 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, the home boasts a spacious primary suite on the main level, providing privacy and convenience. Upstairs, you'll find three generously sized bedrooms, two of which are connected by a Jack-and-Jill bathroom, along with a large additional living area--perfect for a game room, kids' hangout, media room, designated homeschool area or just a second family space. The home is filled with abundant natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere throughout. A functional floor plan makes everyday living and entertaining effortless, while the 2-car garage adds convenience and storage.
-
2026-02-20price $349,900 916-char remark
Show marketing remark (916 chars)
Seller is willing to assist buyer with closing costs with acceptable offer. Beautifully Maintained Home in Sought-After Neighborhood - This 5-year-old, well-cared-for home offers comfort, space, and a thoughtful layout in a great neighborhood within the Harrison County School District. Featuring 4 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, the home boasts a spacious primary suite on the main level, providing privacy and convenience. Upstairs, you'll find three generously sized bedrooms, two of which are connected by a Jack-and-Jill bathroom, along with a large additional living area--perfect for a game room, kids' hangout, media room, designated homeschool area or just a second family space. The home is filled with abundant natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere throughout. A functional floor plan makes everyday living and entertaining effortless, while the 2-car garage adds convenience and storage.
-
2026-02-02price $354,900 916-char remark
Show marketing remark (916 chars)
Seller is willing to assist buyer with closing costs with acceptable offer. Beautifully Maintained Home in Sought-After Neighborhood - This 5-year-old, well-cared-for home offers comfort, space, and a thoughtful layout in a great neighborhood within the Harrison County School District. Featuring 4 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, the home boasts a spacious primary suite on the main level, providing privacy and convenience. Upstairs, you'll find three generously sized bedrooms, two of which are connected by a Jack-and-Jill bathroom, along with a large additional living area--perfect for a game room, kids' hangout, media room, designated homeschool area or just a second family space. The home is filled with abundant natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere throughout. A functional floor plan makes everyday living and entertaining effortless, while the 2-car garage adds convenience and storage.
-
2026-01-20price $359,000 916-char remark
Show marketing remark (916 chars)
Seller is willing to assist buyer with closing costs with acceptable offer. Beautifully Maintained Home in Sought-After Neighborhood - This 5-year-old, well-cared-for home offers comfort, space, and a thoughtful layout in a great neighborhood within the Harrison County School District. Featuring 4 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, the home boasts a spacious primary suite on the main level, providing privacy and convenience. Upstairs, you'll find three generously sized bedrooms, two of which are connected by a Jack-and-Jill bathroom, along with a large additional living area--perfect for a game room, kids' hangout, media room, designated homeschool area or just a second family space. The home is filled with abundant natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere throughout. A functional floor plan makes everyday living and entertaining effortless, while the 2-car garage adds convenience and storage.
-
2026-01-19$259,000 Active 916-char remark
Show marketing remark (916 chars)
Seller is willing to assist buyer with closing costs with acceptable offer. Beautifully Maintained Home in Sought-After Neighborhood - This 5-year-old, well-cared-for home offers comfort, space, and a thoughtful layout in a great neighborhood within the Harrison County School District. Featuring 4 bedrooms and 3.5 bathrooms, the home boasts a spacious primary suite on the main level, providing privacy and convenience. Upstairs, you'll find three generously sized bedrooms, two of which are connected by a Jack-and-Jill bathroom, along with a large additional living area--perfect for a game room, kids' hangout, media room, designated homeschool area or just a second family space. The home is filled with abundant natural light, creating a warm and inviting atmosphere throughout. A functional floor plan makes everyday living and entertaining effortless, while the 2-car garage adds convenience and storage.
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2021-07-23soldstatus 619-char remark
Show marketing remark (619 chars)
This 2 story offers the open concept layout featuring two living areas. The owner's suite is on the bottom level while all the other bedrooms are upstairs along with a huge upstairs living/play room/mancave area. You will love the designer soft close cabinets, farmhouse sink, granite countertops, subway tile backsplash, crown molding, tile shower, and walk-in closets. Smart Home package. Enjoy the private serene nature setting from your covered back porch. *Home is under construction. Estimated completion April. Pics are of another home, same floor plan. Options and colors may vary. Cabinets will be light gray.*
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2021-03-04historical
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2021-03-02$311,900 619-char remark
Show marketing remark (619 chars)
This 2 story offers the open concept layout featuring two living areas. The owner's suite is on the bottom level while all the other bedrooms are upstairs along with a huge upstairs living/play room/mancave area. You will love the designer soft close cabinets, farmhouse sink, granite countertops, subway tile backsplash, crown molding, tile shower, and walk-in closets. Smart Home package. Enjoy the private serene nature setting from your covered back porch. *Home is under construction. Estimated completion April. Pics are of another home, same floor plan. Options and colors may vary. Cabinets will be light gray.*
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2020-11-15$304,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,585 · $215/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,623 · $219/mo
- Expected delta
- +$38/yr (+$3/mo · 1.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 68% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,961
- − Mortgage interest
- −$18,597
- − Property taxes
- −$2,585
- − Insurance
- −$1,660
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,157
- − Management
- −$2,157
- − HOA
- −$396
- − Depreciation
- −$9,658
- Taxable loss
- −$10,249
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,460
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,775/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrison County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801770
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,504
- Composite
- 41.66/100
- National rank
- #3419
- State rank
- #14 of 130 in MS
Livability — Biloxi
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #2141
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Biloxi, MS
- County
- Harrison County · 178,171 people
- City population
- 63,281
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,662
- Household income
- $68,710
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 954.0
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,444 people
- By 2030
- 241,942 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 267,531 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +27.4%
- By 2075
- 346,711 · +51.8%
- By 2100
- 378,165 · +65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Black 15% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Vietnam, Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -90.04%
- Current HPI
- 154.9975
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.98%
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+10.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-29 Price Changed $335,900 MLSU
- 2026-04-10 Price Changed $344,900 MLSU
- 2026-02-20 Price Changed $349,900 MLSU
- 2026-02-02 Price Changed $354,900 MLSU
- 2026-01-20 Price Changed $359,000 MLSU
- 2026-01-19 Listed $259,000 MLSU
- 2021-07-23 Sold (MLS) — MLSU
- 2021-03-04 Listing Removed — MLSU
- 2021-03-02 Listed $311,900 MLSU
- 2020-11-15 Listed $304,900 MLSU
Property tax history
+64.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,585 · +5.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…