Duplex
434 Mellon St · Columbus, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 69.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.9/10.0
- ARV discount +4.2/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$112,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks
Turnkey Duplex ready for you to start or expand your passive investment portfolio. 100% managed remotely (with an average of just couple of hours per quarter). Although interior and exterior have had major renovations, there are still plenty of value add opportunities & future revenue increases available.
Key facts
- 9,147 sq ft lot
- Built 1961
- Listed 43 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Unit 1 rent: $690 (deposit $690) — tenant occupies; Unit 2 rent: $700 (deposit $700) — tenant occupies; Garbage included for each unit; Electric, gas, and water not included; Maintenance included for each unit
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; Water available; Sewer available
- Home design: One level; Multi-family property with 2 total units
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Driveway; Open parking available
Interior
- Kitchen: Range/oven in each unit; Refrigerator in each unit
- Bedrooms: Unit 1: 2 bedrooms; Unit 2: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Unit 1: 1 bathroom; Unit 2: 1 bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Window unit(s) for cooling; Space heater for heating
- Interior features: Updated/remodeled condition
- Laundry & utility: Maintenance included for each unit
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $112k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $439 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $219/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $112k).
- Recommended offer: $109k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 4.7% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#254 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: amenities D+, crime F, commute F.
- Muscogee County (urban): math 21% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #120 of 174 in GA (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Martin Luther King- Jr. Elementary School (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,125 of 1,228 statewide, top 93%, 456 students, 96% FRL); Carver High School (math 10% / reading 75%, grade F, #51 of 424 statewide, top 12%, 916 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 61% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 100 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 291 units permitted in Muscogee County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,449/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($32k/yr) (locally 1878% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $778 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Muscogee County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $112k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.29% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.72%
- DSCR
- 1.74
- GRM
- 6.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $104,733
- List price
- $112,500
- Delta
- 7.42%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 11 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $8,006
- Equity at exit
- $16,774
- IRR
- 14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.15×
- Total profit
- $36,069
- Equity at exit
- $9,727
Cash invested: $31,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 31903
- Home prices YoY
- -14.5%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 100
- Price-to-rent
- 12.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,449 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$590
- Tax from tax record
- −$69 /mo · $827/yr
- Insurance
- −$47
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$304
- Net cashflow
- $439
Break-even live
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 2 | 1 | $1,450 |
| #1 | 2 | 1 | $725 |
| #2 | 2 | 1 | $725 |
| Total (2 units) | $1,449 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $28,125
- Closing costs
- $3,375
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2602 Garden Dr Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $1,175 | $0.94 | 20d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 2823 Lee St Columbus, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1328 | $1,500 | $1.13 | 20d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 564 Chesterfield Ave Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1230 | $1,100 | $0.89 | 20d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 3320 N Lumpkin Rd Columbus, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $1,099 | $1.00 | 13d | 8 | 0.86mi |
| 2728 9th St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $865 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2309 Willard St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1803 | $1,700 | $0.94 | 13d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3552 Irwin Way Columbus, GA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1536 | $1,725 | $1.12 | 13d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 3122 Baldwin St Columbus, GA | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1780 | $1,500 | $0.84 | 20d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2944 10th St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1550 | $925 | $0.60 | 13d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 3128 Carver St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,000 | $1.01 | 43d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3128 Carver St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $925 | $0.94 | 20d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3390 N Lumpkin Rd Columbus, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1073 | $1,099 | $1.02 | 13d | 14 | 1.11mi |
| 3309 10th St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $950 | $0.88 | 43d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 1111 Henry Ave Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1407 | $1,200 | $0.85 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3775 Steam Mill Rd Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1613 | $2,100 | $1.30 | 43d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 1401 Coffee Ct Columbus, GA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1444 | $1,250 | $0.87 | 20d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 3503 Ruben St Columbus, GA | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1054 | $1,100 | $1.04 | 13d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 822 Ragland Ct Unit B Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 882 | $875 | $0.99 | 43d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $112,500 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $112,500 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $112,500 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $112,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $112,500 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-13pricedays on market $112,500 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $119,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $119,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $119,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $119,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $119,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $119,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-05-06$119,000 Active 310-char remark
-
2026-01-15historical
-
2025-12-14$125,000 New
-
2025-12-13historical
-
2022-04-01soldstatus $45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $827 · $69/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,035 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- +$208/yr (+$17/mo · 25.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,388
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,302
- − Property taxes
- −$827
- − Insurance
- −$562
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,391
- − Management
- −$1,391
- − Depreciation
- −$3,273
- Taxable income
- $3,642
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$874
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,394/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Muscogee County
- NCES district ID
- 1303870
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,176
- Composite
- 21.6/100
- National rank
- #8297
- State rank
- #120 of 174 in GA
Livability — Columbus
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #254
- US rank
- #14102
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Columbus, GA
- County
- Muscogee County · 180,764 people
- City population
- 180,764
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,644
- Household income
- $32,401
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1878.0
Population outlook (Muscogee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 216,729 people
- By 2030
- 224,504 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 238,318 · +10.0%
- By 2050
- 249,027 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 264,862 · +22.2%
- By 2100
- 254,786 · +17.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 77% Hispanic / Latino 11% White 9% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Muscogee
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 61.4% · R 38.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.7pp toward D · 2008: 19.7pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+18.6 2012: D+21.3 2008: D+19.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -22.30%
- Current HPI
- 131.4761
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.82%
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+150.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-13 Price Changed $112,500 FMLS
- 2026-05-06 Listed $119,000 FMLS
- 2026-01-15 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-12-14 Listed $125,000 GAMLS
- 2025-12-13 Coming Soon — GAMLS
- 2022-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.2%/yrLatest (2025): $827 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…