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434 Mellon St Duplex
C+ Composite 62.86
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.9/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.2/15.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$112,500

434 Mellon St · Columbus, GA 31903
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,443 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 43 Days on market
Built 1961 9,147 sqft lot Est $105k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Turnkey Duplex ready for you to start or expand your passive investment portfolio. 100% managed remotely (with an average of just couple of hours per quarter). Although interior and exterior have had major renovations, there are still plenty of value add opportunities & future revenue increases available.

Key facts

  • 9,147 sq ft lot
  • Built 1961
  • Listed 43 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Unit 1 rent: $690 (deposit $690) — tenant occupies; Unit 2 rent: $700 (deposit $700) — tenant occupies; Garbage included for each unit; Electric, gas, and water not included; Maintenance included for each unit

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Cable available; Electricity available; Water available; Sewer available
  • Home design: One level; Multi-family property with 2 total units
  • Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Driveway; Open parking available

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range/oven in each unit; Refrigerator in each unit
  • Bedrooms: Unit 1: 2 bedrooms; Unit 2: 2 bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: Unit 1: 1 bathroom; Unit 2: 1 bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Window unit(s) for cooling; Space heater for heating
  • Interior features: Updated/remodeled condition
  • Laundry & utility: Maintenance included for each unit

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $112k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $439 ($5k/yr) — positive. Per door: $219/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $112k).
  • Recommended offer: $109k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 4.7% in Columbus — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#254 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B; Watch: amenities D+, crime F, commute F.
  • Muscogee County (urban): math 21% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #120 of 174 in GA (top 69%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Martin Luther King- Jr. Elementary School (math 8% / reading 8%, grade F, #1,125 of 1,228 statewide, top 93%, 456 students, 96% FRL); Carver High School (math 10% / reading 75%, grade F, #51 of 424 statewide, top 12%, 916 students, 97% FRL) — zoned schools average 97% FRL vs 61% district-wide (36 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 100 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 291 units permitted in Muscogee County in 2024 (30 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,449/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($32k/yr) (locally 1878% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $778 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Muscogee County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 43 days — a 3% lower offer ($109k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $6k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $112k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $109,125 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 43 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.29%
Cap rate
10.98%
Cash-on-cash
16.72%
DSCR
1.74
GRM
6.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$104,733
List price
$112,500
Delta
7.42%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
11 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.6%
Equity multiple
1.25×
Total profit
$8,006
Equity at exit
$16,774
10-year hold
IRR
14.9%
Equity multiple
2.15×
Total profit
$36,069
Equity at exit
$9,727

Cash invested: $31,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 31903

Home prices YoY
-14.5%
Rents YoY
1.8%
Active inventory
100
Price-to-rent
12.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,449 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$590
Tax from tax record
$69 /mo · $827/yr
Insurance
$47
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$304
Net cashflow
$439

Break-even live

Break-even rent $893
Max offer price $112,500
Occupancy floor 65%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $1,449

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,125
Closing costs
$3,375
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 18 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2602 Garden Dr Columbus, GA 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,175 $0.94 20d 1 0.19mi
2823 Lee St Columbus, GA 4.0 2.0 1328 $1,500 $1.13 20d 1 0.48mi
564 Chesterfield Ave Columbus, GA 3.0 2.0 1230 $1,100 $0.89 20d 1 0.51mi
3320 N Lumpkin Rd Columbus, GA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1098 $1,099 $1.00 13d 8 0.86mi
2728 9th St Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 880 $865 $0.98 43d 1 0.86mi
2309 Willard St Columbus, GA 3.0 2.0 1803 $1,700 $0.94 13d 1 0.90mi
3552 Irwin Way Columbus, GA 4.0 2.0 1536 $1,725 $1.12 13d 1 0.90mi
3122 Baldwin St Columbus, GA 5.0 2.0 1780 $1,500 $0.84 20d 1 0.92mi
2944 10th St Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 1550 $925 $0.60 13d 1 1.06mi
3128 Carver St Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 988 $1,000 $1.01 43d 1 1.07mi
3128 Carver St Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 988 $925 $0.94 20d 1 1.07mi
3390 N Lumpkin Rd Columbus, GA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1073 $1,099 $1.02 13d 14 1.11mi
3309 10th St Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 1080 $950 $0.88 43d 1 1.19mi
1111 Henry Ave Columbus, GA 3.0 2.0 1407 $1,200 $0.85 43d 1 1.23mi
3775 Steam Mill Rd Columbus, GA 3.0 2.0 1613 $2,100 $1.30 43d 1 1.29mi
1401 Coffee Ct Columbus, GA 4.0 1.0 1444 $1,250 $0.87 20d 1 1.35mi
3503 Ruben St Columbus, GA 4.0 1.0 1054 $1,100 $1.04 13d 1 1.42mi
822 Ragland Ct Unit B Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 882 $875 $0.99 43d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $112,500 Active 43 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $112,500 Active 42 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $112,500 Active 41 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $112,500 Active 40 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $112,500 Active 38 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $112,500 Active 37 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $119,000 Active 35 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $119,000 Active 34 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $119,000 Active 33 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,000 Active 32 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $119,000 Active 29 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,000 Active 28 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $119,000 Active 27 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $119,000 Active 26 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $119,000 Active 25 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $119,000 Active 24 DOM
  17. 2026-05-06
    listed $119,000 Active 310-char remark
  18. 2026-01-15
    historical
  19. 2025-12-14
    listed $125,000 New
  20. 2025-12-13
    historical
  21. 2022-04-01
    soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$827 · $69/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,035 · $86/mo
Expected delta
+$208/yr (+$17/mo · 25.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,388
− Mortgage interest
−$6,302
− Property taxes
−$827
− Insurance
−$562
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,391
− Management
−$1,391
− Depreciation
−$3,273
Taxable income
$3,642
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$874
After-tax cash flow
$4,394/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Muscogee County
NCES district ID
1303870
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$41,176
Composite
21.6/100
National rank
#8297
State rank
#120 of 174 in GA

Livability — Columbus

Score
64/100
State rank
#254
US rank
#14102

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Columbus, GA
County
Muscogee County · 180,764 people
City population
180,764
Metro
Columbus, GA-AL
Population (ZIP)
20,644
Household income
$32,401
Rent vs Own
71.9% rent · 28.1% own
Severe rent burden
1878.0

Population outlook (Muscogee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
216,729 people
By 2030
224,504 · +3.6%
By 2040
238,318 · +10.0%
By 2050
249,027 · +14.9%
By 2075
264,862 · +22.2%
By 2100
254,786 · +17.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (77%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 77% Hispanic / Latino 11% White 9% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Muscogee

2024 margin
Strong D (+23.4) · D 61.4% · R 38.0%
2008→2024 swing
+3.7pp toward D · 2008: 19.7pp · 2024: 23.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+18.6 2012: D+21.3 2008: D+19.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -22.30%
Current HPI
131.4761
Rent YoY
▲ 1.82%
Metro
Columbus, GA-AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+150.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Price Changed $112,500 FMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $119,000 FMLS
  • 2026-01-15 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-12-14 Listed $125,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-12-13 Coming Soon GAMLS
  • 2022-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $827 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…