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4318 S Park Ave
D+ Composite 49.83
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.8/30.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$298,000

4318 S Park Ave · Dothan, AL 36301
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 2,230 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 364 Days on market
Built 1978 0.53 ac lot $134/sqft · 22% above area Est $245k · 22% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom 2-bath home boasting 2230 sq ft. of comfortable living space. Nestled in a well-established neighborhood, this home features a new roof, and a new HVAC system offering peace of mind and energy efficiency. The home also has remodeled kitchen, expanded patio, a drive-thru garage with upgraded garage doors to electric, repaired driveway, and remodeled main bath to walk-in shower. Conveniently located just minutes for Southeast Health Medical Center and Medical facilities, as well as a variety of popular restaurants and shopping centers, This home combines comfort with unbeatable accessibility. Don't miss out on this great opportunity to own a beautiful home in a prime location.

Key facts

  • Remodeled kitchen
  • Expanded patio
  • New roof

Tags

NEW ROOFNEW HVAC SYSTEMREMODELED KITCHENEXPANDED PATIOUPGRADED GARAGE DOORSREPAIRED DRIVEWAY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $298k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $627 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $298k).
  • Recommended offer: $262k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 4.4% in Dothan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#146 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, crime F.
  • Dothan City (urban): math 19% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #73 of 129 in AL (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 410 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 463 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (96 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Houston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 364 days — a 12% lower offer ($262k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $185k; list at $298k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $262,240 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 364 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
8.82%
Cash-on-cash
9.01%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$244,772
List price
$298,000
Delta
21.75%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2203 Saddlewood Trl 0.29mi 4/2.0 2,197 (-2%) 10mo $254,000 $116 71
103 Shadowood Dr 0.15mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,305 (+3%) 12mo $279,700 $121 68
4011 Woodberry Dr 0.11mi 4/3.0 2,480 (+11%) 1mo $232,750 $94 67
205 Creek Ridge Rd 0.23mi 3/3.5 (-1) 2,176 (-2%) 9mo $310,000 $142 63
2002 Spaulding Rd 0.39mi 4/2.0 2,045 (-8%) 2mo $216,900 $106 63
2002 Spaulding Rd 0.39mi 4/2.0 2,045 (-8%) 2mo $216,900 $106 63
110 Berry Patch Ln 0.40mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,052 (-8%) 1mo $291,500 $142 58
607 Lakewood Dr 0.24mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,004 (-10%) 7mo $241,500 $121 57
205 Greenbriar Dr 0.17mi 5/3.0 (+1) 1,962 (-12%) 5mo $210,000 $107 55
1601 Cone Dr 0.52mi 4/3.0 2,366 (+6%) 4mo $210,000 $89 54
114 Bluffton Rd 0.44mi 4/2.0 1,937 (-13%) 8mo $269,900 $139 47
414 Oliver Dr 0.65mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,016 (-10%) 8mo $290,000 $144 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.7%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-8,330
Equity at exit
$44,433
10-year hold
IRR
7.1%
Equity multiple
1.53×
Total profit
$44,343
Equity at exit
$25,766

Cash invested: $83,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36301

Home prices YoY
-24.9%
Active inventory
410
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,400 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,563
Tax est. 1.5%
$372 /mo · $4,470/yr
Insurance
$124
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$714
Net cashflow
$627

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,607
Max offer price $298,000
Occupancy floor 77%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,500
Closing costs
$8,940
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1605 Ivy Dr Dothan, AL 3.0 2.0 1888 $3,400 $1.80 43d 1 0.46mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2025-05-27
    listed $298,000 Active 718-char remark
    Show marketing remark (718 chars)

    Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom 2-bath home boasting 2230 sq ft. of comfortable living space. Nestled in a well-established neighborhood, this home features a new roof, and a new HVAC system offering peace of mind and energy efficiency. The home also has remodeled kitchen, expanded patio, a drive-thru garage with upgraded garage doors to electric, repaired driveway, and remodeled main bath to walk-in shower. Conveniently located just minutes for Southeast Health Medical Center and Medical facilities, as well as a variety of popular restaurants and shopping centers, This home combines comfort with unbeatable accessibility. Don't miss out on this great opportunity to own a beautiful home in a prime location.

  2. 2021-05-27
    soldstatus $185,000
  3. 2019-06-28
    soldstatus $141,000 456-char remark
    Show marketing remark (456 chars)

    Improvements are finished and home is ready for new owner!! New carpet, flooring, interior painted, smoothtop cooktop w/ vent hood, wall oven, dishwasher & fixtures. Over sized den w/ fireplace, formal dining, formal lvrm, eat-in kitchen w/ open view into den. Yard is fenced and unique garage (there is a driveway on S. Park side and Foxfire) There are garage doors from both entries which can be opened and you can "drive through" garage.

  4. 2019-06-28
    soldstatus $141,000
    Show marketing remark (456 chars)

    Improvements are finished and home is ready for new owner!! New carpet, flooring, interior painted, smoothtop cooktop w/ vent hood, wall oven, dishwasher & fixtures. Over sized den w/ fireplace, formal dining, formal lvrm, eat-in kitchen w/ open view into den. Yard is fenced and unique garage (there is a driveway on S. Park side and Foxfire) There are garage doors from both entries which can be opened and you can "drive through" garage.

  5. 2019-06-28
    soldstatus $141,000 456-char remark
    Show marketing remark (456 chars)

    Improvements are finished and home is ready for new owner!! New carpet, flooring, interior painted, smoothtop cooktop w/ vent hood, wall oven, dishwasher & fixtures. Over sized den w/ fireplace, formal dining, formal lvrm, eat-in kitchen w/ open view into den. Yard is fenced and unique garage (there is a driveway on S. Park side and Foxfire) There are garage doors from both entries which can be opened and you can "drive through" garage.

  6. 2019-03-28
    listed $139,900 456-char remark
    Show marketing remark (456 chars)

    Improvements are finished and home is ready for new owner!! New carpet, flooring, interior painted, smoothtop cooktop w/ vent hood, wall oven, dishwasher & fixtures. Over sized den w/ fireplace, formal dining, formal lvrm, eat-in kitchen w/ open view into den. Yard is fenced and unique garage (there is a driveway on S. Park side and Foxfire) There are garage doors from both entries which can be opened and you can "drive through" garage.

  7. 2019-03-28
    listed $139,900 456-char remark
    Show marketing remark (456 chars)

    Improvements are finished and home is ready for new owner!! New carpet, flooring, interior painted, smoothtop cooktop w/ vent hood, wall oven, dishwasher & fixtures. Over sized den w/ fireplace, formal dining, formal lvrm, eat-in kitchen w/ open view into den. Yard is fenced and unique garage (there is a driveway on S. Park side and Foxfire) There are garage doors from both entries which can be opened and you can "drive through" garage.

  8. 2018-07-29
    listed $144,900
  9. 2018-07-29
    listed $144,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$40,800
− Mortgage interest
−$16,693
− Property taxes
−$4,470
− Insurance
−$1,490
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,264
− Management
−$3,264
− Depreciation
−$8,669
Taxable income
$2,950
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$708
After-tax cash flow
$6,811/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dothan City
NCES district ID
0101230
Math proficiency
19% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$42,279
Composite
24.56/100
National rank
#7640
State rank
#73 of 129 in AL

Livability — Dothan

Score
64/100
State rank
#146
US rank
#13662

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dothan, AL
City population
47,783
Population (ZIP)
38,627

Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
110,280 people
By 2030
112,668 · +2.2%
By 2040
116,149 · +5.3%
By 2050
117,805 · +6.8%
By 2075
118,577 · +7.5%
By 2100
110,940 · +0.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Houston

2024 margin
Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.7% · R 73.5%
2008→2024 swing
-7.0pp toward R · 2008: -40.8pp · 2024: -47.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+47.8 2020: R+42.7 2016: R+47.6 2012: R+40.3 2008: R+40.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -53.46%
Current HPI
161.1212
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+105.7% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2025-05-27 Listed $298,000 SAMLS
  • 2021-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
  • 2019-06-28 Sold (MLS) $141,000 MAAR
  • 2019-06-28 Sold (MLS) $141,000 SAMLS
  • 2019-06-28 Sold (MLS) $141,000 WBR
  • 2019-03-28 Listed $139,900 MAAR
  • 2019-03-28 Listed $139,900 WBR
  • 2018-07-29 Listed $144,900 WBR
  • 2018-07-29 Listed $144,900 MAAR

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2021): $456 · +12.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…