4318 S Park Ave · Dothan, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.8/30.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$298,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom 2-bath home boasting 2230 sq ft. of comfortable living space. Nestled in a well-established neighborhood, this home features a new roof, and a new HVAC system offering peace of mind and energy efficiency. The home also has remodeled kitchen, expanded patio, a drive-thru garage with upgraded garage doors to electric, repaired driveway, and remodeled main bath to walk-in shower. Conveniently located just minutes for Southeast Health Medical Center and Medical facilities, as well as a variety of popular restaurants and shopping centers, This home combines comfort with unbeatable accessibility. Don't miss out on this great opportunity to own a beautiful home in a prime location.
Key facts
- Remodeled kitchen
- Expanded patio
- New roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $298k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $627 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $298k).
- Recommended offer: $262k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 4.4% in Dothan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#146 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D+, employment D, crime F.
- Dothan City (urban): math 19% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #73 of 129 in AL (top 57%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 410 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 463 units permitted in Houston County in 2024 (96 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Houston County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 364 days — a 12% lower offer ($262k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $185k; list at $298k implies a 61% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 364 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.14% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.01%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 7.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $244,772
- List price
- $298,000
- Delta
- 21.75%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2203 Saddlewood Trl | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 | 2,197 (-2%) | 10mo | $254,000 | $116 | 71 |
| 103 Shadowood Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,305 (+3%) | 12mo | $279,700 | $121 | 68 |
| 4011 Woodberry Dr | 0.11mi | 4/3.0 | 2,480 (+11%) | 1mo | $232,750 | $94 | 67 |
| 205 Creek Ridge Rd | 0.23mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 2,176 (-2%) | 9mo | $310,000 | $142 | 63 |
| 2002 Spaulding Rd | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 | 2,045 (-8%) | 2mo | $216,900 | $106 | 63 |
| 2002 Spaulding Rd | 0.39mi | 4/2.0 | 2,045 (-8%) | 2mo | $216,900 | $106 | 63 |
| 110 Berry Patch Ln | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,052 (-8%) | 1mo | $291,500 | $142 | 58 |
| 607 Lakewood Dr | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,004 (-10%) | 7mo | $241,500 | $121 | 57 |
| 205 Greenbriar Dr | 0.17mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 1,962 (-12%) | 5mo | $210,000 | $107 | 55 |
| 1601 Cone Dr | 0.52mi | 4/3.0 | 2,366 (+6%) | 4mo | $210,000 | $89 | 54 |
| 114 Bluffton Rd | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 | 1,937 (-13%) | 8mo | $269,900 | $139 | 47 |
| 414 Oliver Dr | 0.65mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,016 (-10%) | 8mo | $290,000 | $144 | 34 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.90×
- Total profit
- $-8,330
- Equity at exit
- $44,433
- IRR
- 7.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.53×
- Total profit
- $44,343
- Equity at exit
- $25,766
Cash invested: $83,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36301
- Home prices YoY
- -24.9%
- Active inventory
- 410
- Price-to-rent
- 7.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,400 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,563
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$372 /mo · $4,470/yr
- Insurance
- −$124
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$714
- Net cashflow
- $627
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,500
- Closing costs
- $8,940
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1605 Ivy Dr Dothan, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1888 | $3,400 | $1.80 | 43d | 1 | 0.46mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2025-05-27$298,000 Active 718-char remark
Show marketing remark (718 chars)
Welcome to this spacious 4-bedroom 2-bath home boasting 2230 sq ft. of comfortable living space. Nestled in a well-established neighborhood, this home features a new roof, and a new HVAC system offering peace of mind and energy efficiency. The home also has remodeled kitchen, expanded patio, a drive-thru garage with upgraded garage doors to electric, repaired driveway, and remodeled main bath to walk-in shower. Conveniently located just minutes for Southeast Health Medical Center and Medical facilities, as well as a variety of popular restaurants and shopping centers, This home combines comfort with unbeatable accessibility. Don't miss out on this great opportunity to own a beautiful home in a prime location.
-
2021-05-27soldstatus $185,000
-
2019-06-28soldstatus $141,000 456-char remark
Show marketing remark (456 chars)
Improvements are finished and home is ready for new owner!! New carpet, flooring, interior painted, smoothtop cooktop w/ vent hood, wall oven, dishwasher & fixtures. Over sized den w/ fireplace, formal dining, formal lvrm, eat-in kitchen w/ open view into den. Yard is fenced and unique garage (there is a driveway on S. Park side and Foxfire) There are garage doors from both entries which can be opened and you can "drive through" garage.
-
2019-06-28soldstatus $141,000
Show marketing remark (456 chars)
Improvements are finished and home is ready for new owner!! New carpet, flooring, interior painted, smoothtop cooktop w/ vent hood, wall oven, dishwasher & fixtures. Over sized den w/ fireplace, formal dining, formal lvrm, eat-in kitchen w/ open view into den. Yard is fenced and unique garage (there is a driveway on S. Park side and Foxfire) There are garage doors from both entries which can be opened and you can "drive through" garage.
-
2019-06-28soldstatus $141,000 456-char remark
Show marketing remark (456 chars)
Improvements are finished and home is ready for new owner!! New carpet, flooring, interior painted, smoothtop cooktop w/ vent hood, wall oven, dishwasher & fixtures. Over sized den w/ fireplace, formal dining, formal lvrm, eat-in kitchen w/ open view into den. Yard is fenced and unique garage (there is a driveway on S. Park side and Foxfire) There are garage doors from both entries which can be opened and you can "drive through" garage.
-
2019-03-28$139,900 456-char remark
Show marketing remark (456 chars)
Improvements are finished and home is ready for new owner!! New carpet, flooring, interior painted, smoothtop cooktop w/ vent hood, wall oven, dishwasher & fixtures. Over sized den w/ fireplace, formal dining, formal lvrm, eat-in kitchen w/ open view into den. Yard is fenced and unique garage (there is a driveway on S. Park side and Foxfire) There are garage doors from both entries which can be opened and you can "drive through" garage.
-
2019-03-28$139,900 456-char remark
Show marketing remark (456 chars)
Improvements are finished and home is ready for new owner!! New carpet, flooring, interior painted, smoothtop cooktop w/ vent hood, wall oven, dishwasher & fixtures. Over sized den w/ fireplace, formal dining, formal lvrm, eat-in kitchen w/ open view into den. Yard is fenced and unique garage (there is a driveway on S. Park side and Foxfire) There are garage doors from both entries which can be opened and you can "drive through" garage.
-
2018-07-29$144,900
-
2018-07-29$144,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,693
- − Property taxes
- −$4,470
- − Insurance
- −$1,490
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,264
- − Management
- −$3,264
- − Depreciation
- −$8,669
- Taxable income
- $2,950
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$708
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,811/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dothan City
- NCES district ID
- 0101230
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,279
- Composite
- 24.56/100
- National rank
- #7640
- State rank
- #73 of 129 in AL
Livability — Dothan
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #146
- US rank
- #13662
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dothan, AL
- City population
- 47,783
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,627
Population outlook (Houston County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 110,280 people
- By 2030
- 112,668 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 116,149 · +5.3%
- By 2050
- 117,805 · +6.8%
- By 2075
- 118,577 · +7.5%
- By 2100
- 110,940 · +0.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.55)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Italian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Houston
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+47.8) · D 25.7% · R 73.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.0pp toward R · 2008: -40.8pp · 2024: -47.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+47.8 2020: R+42.7 2016: R+47.6 2012: R+40.3 2008: R+40.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -53.46%
- Current HPI
- 161.1212
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
+105.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2025-05-27 Listed $298,000 SAMLS
- 2021-05-27 Sold (Public Records) $185,000 Public Records
- 2019-06-28 Sold (MLS) $141,000 MAAR
- 2019-06-28 Sold (MLS) $141,000 SAMLS
- 2019-06-28 Sold (MLS) $141,000 WBR
- 2019-03-28 Listed $139,900 MAAR
- 2019-03-28 Listed $139,900 WBR
- 2018-07-29 Listed $144,900 WBR
- 2018-07-29 Listed $144,900 MAAR
Property tax history
+4.6%/yrLatest (2021): $456 · +12.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…