174 Miller Ave · Trotwood, OH
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.7%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.6/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.3/10.0
- ARV discount +4.2/15.0
- Rent growth +3.5/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,920
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Diamond in the rough. Bungalow set on a deep lot with a detached garage. House is in need of repairs throughout and is being sold as is - no repairs to be made.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Newer roof
- Solid foundation
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Offered for sale
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Has cooling and heating
- Home design: Single-story home
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Residential lot (about 0.12 acres, approx. 133' x 20')
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two main-level bedrooms (approximately 9 x 11 and 9 x 10)
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Electric heating
- Interior features: Living room on the main level (approximately 11 x 15)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $76k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $274 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $76k).
- Cap rate 10.6% vs local median 6.5% in Trotwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 59/100 on livability (#1,014 in OH) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: employment D, schools F, crime F.
- Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.1%/yr); 135 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $525 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.1% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $17k; list at $76k implies a 347% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.45%
- DSCR
- 1.69
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $70,686
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 174 Miller Ave | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 918 (0%) | 18mo | $17,000 | $19 | 85 |
| 157 Drexel Ave | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (-6%) | 12mo | $66,560 | $77 | 76 |
| 255 Miller Ave | 0.08mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 912 (-1%) | 17mo | $97,000 | $106 | 74 |
| 6112 Carmin Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 875 (-5%) | 2mo | $40,100 | $46 | 59 |
| 277 N Northampton Ave | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 864 (-6%) | 10mo | $127,200 | $147 | 59 |
| 108 Oberlin Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 882 (-4%) | 18mo | $31,000 | $35 | 57 |
| 6236 Carmin Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 875 (-5%) | 4mo | $79,000 | $90 | 50 |
| 119 N Northampton Ave | 0.49mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-8%) | 21mo | $100,000 | $119 | 46 |
| 5227 Shasta Ave | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,008 (+10%) | 1mo | $122,500 | $122 | 45 |
| 6208 Lorimer St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 875 (-5%) | 17mo | $47,000 | $54 | 42 |
| 129 Colgate Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,016 (+11%) | 15mo | $15,000 | $15 | 36 |
| 36 Strand Ave | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,026 (+12%) | 19mo | $52,000 | $51 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.29×
- Total profit
- $6,239
- Equity at exit
- $11,320
- IRR
- 17.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.53×
- Total profit
- $32,514
- Equity at exit
- $6,564
Cash invested: $21,258 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45417
- Home prices YoY
- -32.3%
- Rents YoY
- 4.1%
- Active inventory
- 135
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,011 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$398
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$95 /mo · $1,139/yr
- Insurance
- −$32
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$212
- Net cashflow
- $274
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $326 | -5% $300 | +0% $274 | +5% $248 | +10% $221 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $194 | -5% $234 | +0% $274 | +5% $314 | +10% $354 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $312 | -0.5pp $293 | base $274 | +0.5pp $254 | +1.0pp $234 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,980
- Closing costs
- $2,278
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 126 Bluecrest Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 840 | $1,000 | $1.19 | 15d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 6229 Carmin Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $995 | $1.14 | 19d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 5336 Rockport Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,025 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 308 Bricker Ave Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 865 | $950 | $1.10 | 3d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 729 Cleverly Rd Dayton, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 626 | $950 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 1427 Stuben Dr Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 957 | $900 | $0.94 | 3d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 4109 Midway Ave Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 971 | $1,000 | $1.03 | 4d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1498 Elaine St Dayton, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 864 | $1,025 | $1.19 | 3d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,920 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-16pricedays on market $75,920 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,950 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $75,950 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,950 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-10remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-10$75,950 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,128
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,253
- − Property taxes
- −$1,139
- − Insurance
- −$380
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$970
- − Management
- −$970
- − Depreciation
- −$2,209
- Taxable income
- $2,208
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$530
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,755/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dayton City
- NCES district ID
- 3904384
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $28,688
- Composite
- 12.94/100
- National rank
- #9579
- State rank
- #641 of 656 in OH
Livability — Trotwood
- Score
- 59/100
- State rank
- #1014
- US rank
- #20073
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Trotwood, OH
- County
- Montgomery County · 459,541 people
- City population
- 19,754
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,186
- Household income
- $36,945
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1822.0
Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 523,241 people
- By 2030
- 514,948 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 493,378 · -5.7%
- By 2050
- 469,639 · -10.2%
- By 2075
- 418,360 · -20.0%
- By 2100
- 353,315 · -32.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 20% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -92.43%
- Current HPI
- 193.4175
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.06%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+281.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $75,950 Dayton MLS
- 2024-12-23 Listing Removed — Dayton MLS
- 2024-12-13 Sold (MLS) $17,000 Dayton MLS
- 2024-12-04 Contingent — Dayton MLS
- 2024-12-02 Price Changed $17,900 Dayton MLS
- 2024-11-25 Listed $19,900 Dayton MLS
Property tax history
+39.7%/yrLatest (2025): $5,424 · +1118.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…