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19650 Binder St
C+ Composite 64.38
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • ARV discount +2.7/15.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$49,900

19650 Binder St · Detroit, MI 48234
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 654 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 13 Days on market
Built 1941 4,356 sqft lot Est $45k · 11% over ↓ 9% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Solid investment opportunity in an established Detroit neighborhood. Major updates include Structural proactive I-Beams on foundation, repaired porch, and new windows (all but 1.) Property is currently tenant-occupied. No showings without accepted offer. Reach out to listing agent with any questions.

Key facts

  • Repaired porch
  • New windows
  • 4,356 sq ft lot

Tags

INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITYSTRUCTURAL PROACTIVE I-BEAMSREPAIRED PORCHNEW WINDOWS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding exterior
  • Construction: Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Paved road access; Sidewalks

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Unfinished basement; 4 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $501 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
  • Cap rate 18.3% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 11 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $49,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.33%
Cap rate
18.35%
Cash-on-cash
43.06%
DSCR
2.92
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$45,126
Comps found
9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19942 Binder St 0.16mi 3/1.0 (+1) 696 (+6%) 5mo $70,000 $101 73
19255 Binder St 0.25mi 2/1.0 719 (+10%) 3mo $38,500 $54 69
19667 Sunset St 0.14mi 3/1.5 (+1) 752 (+15%) 4mo $28,500 $38 58
20499 Binder St 0.54mi 3/1.0 (+1) 712 (+9%) 6mo $72,100 $101 50
19623 Goddard St 0.73mi 2/1.0 672 (+3%) 16mo $17,000 $25 48
19676 Conley St 0.61mi 2/1.0 720 (+10%) 9mo $50,000 $69 47
20006 Anglin St 0.58mi 2/1.0 726 (+11%) 12mo $55,000 $76 44
19226 Eureka St 0.43mi 2/1.0 731 (+12%) 20mo $15,000 $21 44
19200 Shields St 0.37mi 3/1.0 (+1) 742 (+14%) 15mo $64,500 $87 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
44.4%
Equity multiple
3.03×
Total profit
$28,420
Equity at exit
$7,440
10-year hold
IRR
52.2%
Equity multiple
7.16×
Total profit
$86,115
Equity at exit
$4,314

Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48234

Home prices YoY
-11.9%
Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
226
Price-to-rent
3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,163 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$262
Tax from tax record
$135 /mo · $1,617/yr
Insurance
$21
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$244
Net cashflow
$501

Break-even live

Break-even rent $528
Max offer price $49,900
Occupancy floor 52%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,475
Closing costs
$1,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
18662 Sunset St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 726 $1,250 $1.72 17d 1 0.61mi
18475 Wexford St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 500 $950 $1.90 24d 1 0.73mi
21155 Warner Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 756 $1,029 $1.36 24d 1 1.06mi
21516 Dequindre Rd Warren, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 837 $1,375 $1.64 21d 1 1.35mi

Listing history 10 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $49,900 Active 13 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $49,900 Active 12 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $49,900 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $49,900 Active 10 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,900 Active 8 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $49,900 Active 7 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $49,900 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $49,900 Active 3 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    remarks 301-char remark
  10. 2026-06-07
    listed $49,900 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,617 · $135/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,617 · $135/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,952
− Mortgage interest
−$2,795
− Property taxes
−$1,617
− Insurance
−$250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,116
− Management
−$1,116
− Depreciation
−$1,452
Taxable income
$5,607
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,346
After-tax cash flow
$4,670/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
32,760
Household income
$35,322
Rent vs Own
47.0% rent · 53.0% own
Severe rent burden
2372.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
Languages at home
97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.65%
Current HPI
328.8978
Rent YoY
▲ 6.72%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-9.3% since first listed
33 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
  • 2022-05-09 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
  • 2022-04-26 Sold (MLS) $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-04-26 Sold (MLS) $45,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-04-04 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-04-04 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2022-03-17 Listed $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-03-17 Listed $60,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-03-14 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2022-03-14 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-02-09 Price Changed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-02-09 Price Changed $45,000 REALCOMP
  • 2022-01-28 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2022-01-13 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2021-12-17 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2021-12-16 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-11-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2021-11-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-07-01 Price Changed $49,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-07-01 Price Changed $49,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-07-01 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2021-07-01 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-07-01 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2021-07-01 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-06-03 Price Changed $54,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-06-03 Price Changed $54,900 REALCOMP
  • 2021-03-12 Price Changed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-03-11 Price Changed $55,000 REALCOMP
  • 2021-01-29 Price Changed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2021-01-29 Price Changed $50,000 REALCOMP
  • 2020-10-02 Listed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2020-10-02 Listed $55,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+4.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,617 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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