19650 Binder St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.71%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- ARV discount +2.7/15.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$49,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Solid investment opportunity in an established Detroit neighborhood. Major updates include Structural proactive I-Beams on foundation, repaired porch, and new windows (all but 1.) Property is currently tenant-occupied. No showings without accepted offer. Reach out to listing agent with any questions.
Key facts
- Repaired porch
- New windows
- 4,356 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding exterior
- Construction: Block foundation
- Exterior features: Asphalt roof; Paved road access; Sidewalks
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; 4 total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $501 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Cap rate 18.3% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 226 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $345 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 11 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.33% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 43.06%
- DSCR
- 2.92
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $45,126
- Comps found
- 9
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19942 Binder St | 0.16mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 696 (+6%) | 5mo | $70,000 | $101 | 73 |
| 19255 Binder St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 719 (+10%) | 3mo | $38,500 | $54 | 69 |
| 19667 Sunset St | 0.14mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 752 (+15%) | 4mo | $28,500 | $38 | 58 |
| 20499 Binder St | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 712 (+9%) | 6mo | $72,100 | $101 | 50 |
| 19623 Goddard St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 672 (+3%) | 16mo | $17,000 | $25 | 48 |
| 19676 Conley St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+10%) | 9mo | $50,000 | $69 | 47 |
| 20006 Anglin St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 | 726 (+11%) | 12mo | $55,000 | $76 | 44 |
| 19226 Eureka St | 0.43mi | 2/1.0 | 731 (+12%) | 20mo | $15,000 | $21 | 44 |
| 19200 Shields St | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 742 (+14%) | 15mo | $64,500 | $87 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 44.4%
- Equity multiple
- 3.03×
- Total profit
- $28,420
- Equity at exit
- $7,440
- IRR
- 52.2%
- Equity multiple
- 7.16×
- Total profit
- $86,115
- Equity at exit
- $4,314
Cash invested: $13,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48234
- Home prices YoY
- -11.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.7%
- Active inventory
- 226
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,163 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$135 /mo · $1,617/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$244
- Net cashflow
- $501
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,475
- Closing costs
- $1,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18662 Sunset St Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $1,250 | $1.72 | 17d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 18475 Wexford St Unit 1 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $950 | $1.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 21155 Warner Ave Warren, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $1,029 | $1.36 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 21516 Dequindre Rd Warren, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 837 | $1,375 | $1.64 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $49,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $49,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $49,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $49,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $49,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $49,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $49,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 301-char remark
-
2026-06-07$49,900 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,617 · $135/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,617 · $135/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 71% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,952
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,795
- − Property taxes
- −$1,617
- − Insurance
- −$250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,116
- − Management
- −$1,116
- − Depreciation
- −$1,452
- Taxable income
- $5,607
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,346
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,670/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,760
- Household income
- $35,322
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2372.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -44.65%
- Current HPI
- 328.8978
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.72%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-9.3% since first listed33 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-05 Listed $49,900 REALCOMP
- 2022-05-09 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 2022-04-26 Sold (MLS) $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-04-26 Sold (MLS) $45,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-04-04 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-04-04 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2022-03-17 Listed $60,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-03-17 Listed $60,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-03-14 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2022-03-14 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-02-09 Price Changed $45,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-02-09 Price Changed $45,000 REALCOMP
- 2022-01-28 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2022-01-13 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2021-12-17 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2021-12-16 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-11-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2021-11-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-07-01 Price Changed $49,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-07-01 Price Changed $49,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-07-01 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2021-07-01 Relisted — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-07-01 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2021-07-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-06-03 Price Changed $54,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-06-03 Price Changed $54,900 REALCOMP
- 2021-03-12 Price Changed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-03-11 Price Changed $55,000 REALCOMP
- 2021-01-29 Price Changed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2021-01-29 Price Changed $50,000 REALCOMP
- 2020-10-02 Listed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2020-10-02 Listed $55,000 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+4.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,617 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…