CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
103 W 31st St
B+ Composite 76.53
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.2/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.6/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

103 W 31st St · San Angelo, TX 76903
3 bd · 3.0 ba · 488 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 104 Days on market
Built 1960 0.56 ac lot Est $86k · 13% under ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Fixer-upper on two spacious lots! This 3-bedroom, 1-bath home needs extensive repairs throughout, making it a perfect opportunity for investors, flippers, or anyone looking for a project. The property includes city water and a private well, mature pecan trees, and a full perimeter chain-link fence. With two lots and plenty of potential, this property is ready to be brought back to life. Being sold as-is.

Key facts

  • Two spacious lots
  • Mature pecan trees
  • Private well

Tags

TWO SPACIOUS LOTSCITY WATERPRIVATE WELLMATURE PECAN TREES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $376 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $68k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.3% vs local median 3.8% in San Angelo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • San Angelo ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #627 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Goliad El (math 27% / reading 24%, grade F, #2,982 of 4,322 statewide, top 70%, 412 students, 81% FRL); Lincoln Middle (math 19% / reading 23%, grade F, #1,387 of 1,662 statewide, top 85%, 844 students, 78% FRL); Lake View H S (math 6% / reading 22%, grade F, #1,527 of 1,632 statewide, top 94%, 1,085 students, 64% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 53% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.5%/yr); 227 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 233 units permitted in Tom Green County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Tom Green County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($68k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.5% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $68,250 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.62%
Cap rate
12.31%
Cash-on-cash
21.49%
DSCR
1.96
GRM
5.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$85,888
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2817 N Irving St 0.22mi 2/1.0 (-1) 540 (+11%) 2mo $94,999 $176 58

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
20.0%
Equity multiple
1.87×
Total profit
$18,259
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
31.7%
Equity multiple
4.62×
Total profit
$76,121
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76903

Rents YoY
8.5%
Active inventory
227
Price-to-rent
5.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,212 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$157 /mo · $1,881/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$254
Net cashflow
$376

Break-even live

Break-even rent $736
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3302 N Bryant Blvd San Angelo, TX 3.0 1.0 559 $975 $1.74 20d 1 0.69mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-04-13
    soldstatus
  2. 2026-03-18
    status Pending
  3. 2026-03-17
    status Active
  4. 2026-03-17
    status Pending
  5. 2026-02-03
    price $75,000
  6. 2025-12-04
    listed $80,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,881 · $157/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,881 · $157/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 14% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,542
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$1,881
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,163
− Management
−$1,163
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$3,576
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$858
After-tax cash flow
$3,654/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
San Angelo ISD
NCES district ID
4838700
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$43,501
Composite
25.56/100
National rank
#7427
State rank
#627 of 826 in TX

Livability — San Angelo

Score
73/100
State rank
#199
US rank
#5030

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
San Angelo, TX
County
Tom Green County · 113,188 people
City population
81,357
Metro
San Angelo, TX
Population (ZIP)
29,947
Household income
$49,498
Rent vs Own
39.8% rent · 60.2% own
Severe rent burden
1255.0

Population outlook (Tom Green County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
135,110 people
By 2030
144,090 · +6.6%
By 2040
162,561 · +20.3%
By 2050
182,158 · +34.8%
By 2075
232,274 · +71.9%
By 2100
268,218 · +98.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 56% White 36% Two or more races 26% Black 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 49% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
66% English-only · Spanish 33%

Political lean MEDSL · Tom Green

2024 margin
Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.5% · R 73.5% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-6.3pp toward R · 2008: -41.7pp · 2024: -48.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+48.0 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+47.9 2012: R+47.9 2008: R+41.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -164.90%
Current HPI
217.0406
Rent YoY
▲ 8.46%
Metro
San Angelo, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2026-03-18 Pending SAAR TX
  • 2026-03-17 Relisted SAAR TX
  • 2026-03-17 Pending SAAR TX
  • 2026-02-03 Price Changed $75,000 SAAR TX
  • 2025-12-04 Listed $80,000 SAAR TX

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,881 · +26.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…