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609 1st Ave
D+ Composite 47.67
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +10.8/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +2.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$105,000

609 1st Ave · Plentywood, MT 59254
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 672 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 153 Days on market
Built 1950 6,490 sqft lot $156/sqft · 31% above area Est $113k · 7% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Affordable and functional, this cozy 1-bedroom, 1-bath home in Plentywood, Montana offers more than meets the eye. With vintage midcentury touches and some original hardwood flooring, it's got just the right amount of character. The partially finished basement includes an extra room for storage, guests, or a home office. Appliances are all included—refrigerator, stove, freezer, washer, dryer, microwave, and a window unit AC—making this home truly move-in ready. Sitting on a drive-through lot with ample parking and a chainlink fence already set up for dogs, it's practical and pet-friendly. A newer roof, vinyl siding, and updated rain gutters keep maintenance low. Whether you're looking for a rental investment, hunting house, employee housing, a starter home, or a place to downsize, this property checks the boxes. Call or text today to set up an appointment to see this nice property!

Key facts

  • Move-in ready
  • Ample parking
  • Newer roof

Tags

ORIGINAL HARDWOOD FLOORINGPARTIALLY FINISHED BASEMENTEXTRA ROOM FOR STORAGEMOVE-IN READYAMPLE PARKINGNEWER ROOF

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-33 ($-391/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $99k (5.5% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $79k (25.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $79k (25.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#27 in MT, #3,371 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
  • Plentywood K-12 Schools (rural): math 35% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #142 of 339 in MT (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 18 active listings in the ZIP; 5 units permitted in Sheridan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $5k of equity ($726 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (3.9% local appreciation)).
  • Sheridan County population projected at +62% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (3.9% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 153 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $78,763 (25.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 153 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 25% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.75%
Cap rate
5.92%
Cash-on-cash
-1.33%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
11.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$113,213
List price
$105,000
Delta
-7.25%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
10 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
209 Chestnut St 0.29mi 1/1.0 612 (-9%) 15mo $75,000 $123 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

3.88% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.8%
Equity multiple
1.53×
Total profit
$15,528
Equity at exit
$52,516
10-year hold
IRR
10.8%
Equity multiple
2.78×
Total profit
$52,221
Equity at exit
$85,325

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Montana
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
30-day notice; no rent control; preempted; rural-skewed market.

ZIP-level market 59254

Home prices YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
18
Price-to-rent
11.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$788 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$60 /mo · $725/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$165
Net cashflow
$-33

Break-even live

Break-even rent $829
Max offer price $99,246
Occupancy floor 99%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-04
    status Active 906-char remark
    Show marketing remark (906 chars)

    Affordable and functional, this cozy 1-bedroom, 1-bath home in Plentywood, Montana offers more than meets the eye. With vintage midcentury touches and some original hardwood flooring, it's got just the right amount of character. The partially finished basement includes an extra room for storage, guests, or a home office. Appliances are all included—refrigerator, stove, freezer, washer, dryer, microwave, and a window unit AC—making this home truly move-in ready. Sitting on a drive-through lot with ample parking and a chainlink fence already set up for dogs, it's practical and pet-friendly. A newer roof, vinyl siding, and updated rain gutters keep maintenance low. Whether you're looking for a rental investment, hunting house, employee housing, a starter home, or a place to downsize, this property checks the boxes. Call or text today to set up an appointment to see this nice property!

  2. 2025-10-25
    historical 906-char remark
    Show marketing remark (906 chars)

    Affordable and functional, this cozy 1-bedroom, 1-bath home in Plentywood, Montana offers more than meets the eye. With vintage midcentury touches and some original hardwood flooring, it's got just the right amount of character. The partially finished basement includes an extra room for storage, guests, or a home office. Appliances are all included—refrigerator, stove, freezer, washer, dryer, microwave, and a window unit AC—making this home truly move-in ready. Sitting on a drive-through lot with ample parking and a chainlink fence already set up for dogs, it's practical and pet-friendly. A newer roof, vinyl siding, and updated rain gutters keep maintenance low. Whether you're looking for a rental investment, hunting house, employee housing, a starter home, or a place to downsize, this property checks the boxes. Call or text today to set up an appointment to see this nice property!

  3. 2025-06-16
    listed $105,000 Active 906-char remark
    Show marketing remark (906 chars)

    Affordable and functional, this cozy 1-bedroom, 1-bath home in Plentywood, Montana offers more than meets the eye. With vintage midcentury touches and some original hardwood flooring, it's got just the right amount of character. The partially finished basement includes an extra room for storage, guests, or a home office. Appliances are all included—refrigerator, stove, freezer, washer, dryer, microwave, and a window unit AC—making this home truly move-in ready. Sitting on a drive-through lot with ample parking and a chainlink fence already set up for dogs, it's practical and pet-friendly. A newer roof, vinyl siding, and updated rain gutters keep maintenance low. Whether you're looking for a rental investment, hunting house, employee housing, a starter home, or a place to downsize, this property checks the boxes. Call or text today to set up an appointment to see this nice property!

  4. 2023-06-27
    soldstatus 619-char remark
    Show marketing remark (619 chars)

    Very well maintained one bedroom, one bath home. on the most solid basement you'll ever find on a midcentury home. Newer siding, windows, roof, insulation and rain gutters outside. Inside find modern paint, original hardwood floors in bedroom, original, meticulously kept cabinetry in the kitchen, and a spacious living/dining area. Appliances include refrigerator, stove, chest freezer, and new washer and dryer. Basement is unfinished, but has an extra room sheetrocked. This little gem is a perfect downsize, starter, hunting house, or rental property. Call or text today to make an appointment to see this property!

  5. 2023-06-07
    listed $75,000 619-char remark
    Show marketing remark (619 chars)

    Very well maintained one bedroom, one bath home. on the most solid basement you'll ever find on a midcentury home. Newer siding, windows, roof, insulation and rain gutters outside. Inside find modern paint, original hardwood floors in bedroom, original, meticulously kept cabinetry in the kitchen, and a spacious living/dining area. Appliances include refrigerator, stove, chest freezer, and new washer and dryer. Basement is unfinished, but has an extra room sheetrocked. This little gem is a perfect downsize, starter, hunting house, or rental property. Call or text today to make an appointment to see this property!

  6. 2004-05-28
    soldstatus
  7. 1996-08-13
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MT · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$725 · $60/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$882 · $74/mo
Expected delta
+$157/yr (+$13/mo · 21.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate 21% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 6 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,452
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$725
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$756
− Management
−$756
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable loss
−$2,247
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$539
After-tax cash flow
$148/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Plentywood K-12 Schools
NCES district ID
3020960
Math proficiency
35% ▲ 5.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$46,145
Composite
36.53/100
National rank
#9299
State rank
#142 of 339 in MT

Livability — Plentywood

Score
76/100
State rank
#27
US rank
#3371

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment C+ Housing B Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Plentywood, MT
Population (ZIP)
1,845

Population outlook (Sheridan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
4,481 people
By 2030
4,951 · +10.5%
By 2040
6,013 · +34.2%
By 2050
7,266 · +62.2%
By 2075
10,842 · +142.0%
By 2100
13,272 · +196.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (89%)
Race & ethnicity
White 89% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Native American 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 13% Scottish 5% Italian 4%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Sheridan

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.5) · D 26.6% · R 69.1% · Other 4.3%
2008→2024 swing
-40.8pp toward R · 2008: -1.7pp · 2024: -42.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.5 2020: R+40.8 2016: R+41.7 2012: R+28.2 2008: R+1.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 3.88%
Current HPI
177.4482
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.41%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+40.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-04 Relisted GNMLS
  • 2025-10-25 Delisted GNMLS
  • 2025-06-16 Listed $105,000 GNMLS
  • 2023-06-27 Sold (MLS) GNMLS
  • 2023-06-07 Listed $75,000 GNMLS
  • 2004-05-28 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1996-08-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+7.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $725 · -7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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