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15733 River Road Rd
B- Composite 68.31
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.3/15.0
  • DSCR +9.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$184,000

15733 River Road Rd · Hahnville, LA 70057
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,490 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 258 Days on market
Built 1940 0.78 ac lot $123/sqft · 22% below area Est $211k · 13% under ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming cottage on River Road in Hahnville. This 3-bedroom home sits on an extra deep lot offering plenty of outdoor space, covered carport, and a large patio for entertaining. Inside, you'll find a spacious eat-in kitchen and cozy living area. Classic wood paneling and built-ins give the home character. Storage and utility space add functionality, and the location can't be beat! This home is minutes away from local schools and the Mississippi River. A wonderful opportunity you don't want to miss!

Key facts

  • Extra deep lot
  • Covered carport
  • Large patio

Tags

EXTRA DEEP LOTCOVERED CARPORTLARGE PATIOSPACIOUS EAT-IN KITCHENCOZY LIVING AREACLASSIC WOOD PANELING

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $184k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $454 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $184k).
  • Recommended offer: $162k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#258 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing B+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
  • St. Charles Parish (suburban): math 40% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #14 of 98 in LA (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 52 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 74 units permitted in St. Charles Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Charles County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 258 days — a 12% lower offer ($162k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $24k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $161,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 258 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.15%
Cap rate
9.69%
Cash-on-cash
12.13%
DSCR
1.54
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$211,159
List price
$184,000
Delta
-12.86%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
134 Gourgues St 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,521 (+2%) 2mo $261,000 $172 88
13 River Park Dr 0.26mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,500 (+1%) 20mo $197,000 $131 59
727 Sycamore St 0.34mi 3/2.0 1,693 (+14%) 1mo $200,000 $118 56
156 Pretty Acres Ave 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,450 (-3%) 18mo $260,000 $179 54
246 Pretty Acres Ave 0.52mi 3/2.0 1,623 (+9%) 7mo $285,000 $176 51
15457 River Rd 0.50mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,280 (-14%) 1mo $142,000 $111 47
312 Pretty Acres Ave 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,616 (+8%) 11mo $285,000 $176 46
147 Shaw St 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,636 (+10%) 23mo $325,000 $199 43
365 Smith St 0.68mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,388 (-7%) 21mo $65,000 $47 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.5%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-886
Equity at exit
$27,435
10-year hold
IRR
9.2%
Equity multiple
1.71×
Total profit
$36,485
Equity at exit
$15,909

Cash invested: $51,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 70057

Home prices YoY
-7.1%
Active inventory
52
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,122 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$965
Tax from tax record
$114 /mo · $1,371/yr
Insurance
$77
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$446
Net cashflow
$454

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,547
Max offer price $184,000
Occupancy floor 74%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,000
Closing costs
$5,520
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
240 Pretty Acres Ave Hahnville, LA 4.0 2.0 1875 $2,300 $1.23 3d 1 0.54mi
24 Mary St Norco, LA 3.0 1.0 1350 $1,750 $1.30 43d 1 1.29mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $184,000 Active 258 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $184,000 Active 257 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $184,000 Active 256 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $184,000 Active 255 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $184,000 Active 253 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $184,000 Active 252 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $184,000 Active 250 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $184,000 Active 249 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $184,000 Active 248 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $184,000 Active 247 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    pricedays on market $184,000 Active 244 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $193,000 Active 243 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $193,000 Active 242 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $193,000 Active 241 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $193,000 Active 240 DOM
  16. 2026-02-25
    price $193,000 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    Charming cottage on River Road in Hahnville. This 3-bedroom home sits on an extra deep lot offering plenty of outdoor space, covered carport, and a large patio for entertaining. Inside, you'll find a spacious eat-in kitchen and cozy living area. Classic wood paneling and built-ins give the home character. Storage and utility space add functionality, and the location can't be beat! This home is minutes away from local schools and the Mississippi River. A wonderful opportunity you don't want to miss!

  17. 2026-02-25
    price $193,000 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    Charming cottage on River Road in Hahnville. This 3-bedroom home sits on an extra deep lot offering plenty of outdoor space, covered carport, and a large patio for entertaining. Inside, you'll find a spacious eat-in kitchen and cozy living area. Classic wood paneling and built-ins give the home character. Storage and utility space add functionality, and the location can't be beat! This home is minutes away from local schools and the Mississippi River. A wonderful opportunity you don't want to miss!

  18. 2025-11-29
    price $198,000 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    Charming cottage on River Road in Hahnville. This 3-bedroom home sits on an extra deep lot offering plenty of outdoor space, covered carport, and a large patio for entertaining. Inside, you'll find a spacious eat-in kitchen and cozy living area. Classic wood paneling and built-ins give the home character. Storage and utility space add functionality, and the location can't be beat! This home is minutes away from local schools and the Mississippi River. A wonderful opportunity you don't want to miss!

  19. 2025-11-14
    price $198,000 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    Charming cottage on River Road in Hahnville. This 3-bedroom home sits on an extra deep lot offering plenty of outdoor space, covered carport, and a large patio for entertaining. Inside, you'll find a spacious eat-in kitchen and cozy living area. Classic wood paneling and built-ins give the home character. Storage and utility space add functionality, and the location can't be beat! This home is minutes away from local schools and the Mississippi River. A wonderful opportunity you don't want to miss!

  20. 2025-10-30
    status Active 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    Charming cottage on River Road in Hahnville. This 3-bedroom home sits on an extra deep lot offering plenty of outdoor space, covered carport, and a large patio for entertaining. Inside, you'll find a spacious eat-in kitchen and cozy living area. Classic wood paneling and built-ins give the home character. Storage and utility space add functionality, and the location can't be beat! This home is minutes away from local schools and the Mississippi River. A wonderful opportunity you don't want to miss!

  21. 2025-10-21
    historical Active Under Contract 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    Charming cottage on River Road in Hahnville. This 3-bedroom home sits on an extra deep lot offering plenty of outdoor space, covered carport, and a large patio for entertaining. Inside, you'll find a spacious eat-in kitchen and cozy living area. Classic wood paneling and built-ins give the home character. Storage and utility space add functionality, and the location can't be beat! This home is minutes away from local schools and the Mississippi River. A wonderful opportunity you don't want to miss!

  22. 2025-10-03
    listed $208,000 Active 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    Charming cottage on River Road in Hahnville. This 3-bedroom home sits on an extra deep lot offering plenty of outdoor space, covered carport, and a large patio for entertaining. Inside, you'll find a spacious eat-in kitchen and cozy living area. Classic wood paneling and built-ins give the home character. Storage and utility space add functionality, and the location can't be beat! This home is minutes away from local schools and the Mississippi River. A wonderful opportunity you don't want to miss!

  23. 2025-10-03
    listed $208,000 Active 503-char remark
    Show marketing remark (503 chars)

    Charming cottage on River Road in Hahnville. This 3-bedroom home sits on an extra deep lot offering plenty of outdoor space, covered carport, and a large patio for entertaining. Inside, you'll find a spacious eat-in kitchen and cozy living area. Classic wood paneling and built-ins give the home character. Storage and utility space add functionality, and the location can't be beat! This home is minutes away from local schools and the Mississippi River. A wonderful opportunity you don't want to miss!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,371 · $114/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,371 · $114/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,466
− Mortgage interest
−$10,307
− Property taxes
−$1,371
− Insurance
−$1,718
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,037
− Management
−$2,037
− Depreciation
−$5,353
Taxable income
$2,643
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$634
After-tax cash flow
$4,816/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Charles Parish
NCES district ID
2201440
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -38.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -32.00%
Median HH income
$60,261
Composite
40.0/100
National rank
#3830
State rank
#14 of 98 in LA

Livability — Hahnville

Score
60/100
State rank
#258
US rank
#19172

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment B Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Hahnville, LA
Population (ZIP)
4,475

Population outlook (St. Charles County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
53,296 people
By 2030
53,030 · -0.5%
By 2040
51,646 · -3.1%
By 2050
49,771 · -6.6%
By 2075
46,993 · -11.8%
By 2100
44,473 · -16.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 44% Black 39% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 10% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Charles

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.4) · D 33.0% · R 65.4% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-1.1pp toward R · 2008: -31.2pp · 2024: -32.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.4 2020: R+29.6 2016: R+30.8 2012: R+27.8 2008: R+31.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -15.65%
Current HPI
203.5157
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.2% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-25 Price Changed $193,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2026-02-25 Price Changed $193,000 GSREIN
  • 2025-11-29 Price Changed $198,000 AcadianaMLS
  • 2025-11-14 Price Changed $198,000 GSREIN
  • 2025-10-30 Relisted GSREIN
  • 2025-10-21 Contingent GSREIN
  • 2025-10-03 Listed $208,000 GSREIN
  • 2025-10-03 Listed $208,000 AcadianaMLS

Property tax history

+2.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,371 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…