842 Holiday Ave · Hazelwood, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$107,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Large bank-owned fixer upper with tons of potential in the Hazelwood West School District. This 4 bedroom, 3 bath home offers an impressive amount of space on the main level, making it a great opportunity for investors or buyers looking to add their own improvements. Features include a one-car attached garage, fenced backyard, and kitchen/dining combo. Conveniently located near schools, parks, shopping, dining, and major highways. This property is being sold strictly as-is and is priced to reflect the work needed. Don't miss this chance to customize your dream home on a beautiful lot! Property is being sold as-is. If property was built prior to 1978, Lead Based Paint Potentially Exists
Key facts
- Beautiful lot
- Kitchen dining combo
- Fenced backyard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Lease not considered
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 garage space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service: Ameren
- Home design: Single-family residence (residential); One level; Bank-owned; Property listed as fixer
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Basement: full, concrete
- Exterior features: Back yard fencing; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven
- Bedrooms: Four bedrooms on the main level (sizes: 13x10, 13x9, 10x10; plus a 20x16 room on main level)
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating with natural gas; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Open floorplan; Kitchen and dining room combined; Vaulted ceilings
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in the basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $108k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $714 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $108k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.3% vs local median 7.3% in Hazelwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#395 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Hazelwood (suburban): math 11% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #306 of 324 in MO (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Armstrong Elem. (math 8% / reading 22%, grade F, #982 of 1,115 statewide, top 89%, 348 students, 83% FRL); West Middle (math 17% / reading 33%, grade F, #321 of 391 statewide, top 82%, 730 students, 56% FRL); Hazelwood West High (math 16% / reading 42%, grade F, #407 of 521 statewide, top 78%, 2,042 students, 54% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.5%/yr); 68 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 920 units permitted in St. Louis County in 2024 (250 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,926/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($49k/yr) (locally 766% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $743 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.5% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $88k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.26%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.45%
- DSCR
- 2.27
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $210,947
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7057 Howdershell Rd | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,559 (-6%) | 3mo | $209,900 | $135 | 74 |
| 725 Riderwood Dr | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,650 (-1%) | 5mo | $209,900 | $127 | 69 |
| 630 Lamplight Ln | 0.49mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,647 (-1%) | 2mo | $195,500 | $119 | 65 |
| 1528 Coachway Ln | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,686 (+2%) | 3mo | $209,500 | $124 | 62 |
| 728 Undercliff Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,760 (+6%) | 4mo | $199,900 | $114 | 59 |
| 815 Holiday Ave | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,412 (-15%) | 6mo | $169,900 | $120 | 58 |
| 583 Candle Light Ln | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,700 (+2%) | 4mo | $180,000 | $106 | 57 |
| 1640 Tahoe Dr | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,717 (+3%) | 1mo | $228,000 | $133 | 57 |
| 1466 El Camino Dr | 0.54mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,556 (-6%) | 1mo | $215,000 | $138 | 56 |
| 6803 Olivewood Dr | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,575 (-5%) | 6mo | $180,000 | $114 | 56 |
| 698 Carriage Ln | 0.45mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,452 (-13%) | 4mo | $239,999 | $165 | 48 |
| 1035 Rosary Tree Ct | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,498 (-10%) | 4mo | $190,000 | $127 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.45% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.03×
- Total profit
- $30,951
- Equity at exit
- $16,029
- IRR
- 33.2%
- Equity multiple
- 4.25×
- Total profit
- $97,804
- Equity at exit
- $9,295
Cash invested: $30,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63042
- Rents YoY
- 4.5%
- Active inventory
- 68
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,926 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$564
- Tax from tax record
- −$199 /mo · $2,392/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$404
- Net cashflow
- $714
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $774 | -5% $744 | +0% $714 | +5% $683 | +10% $653 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $561 | -5% $638 | +0% $714 | +5% $790 | +10% $866 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $768 | -0.5pp $741 | base $714 | +0.5pp $686 | +1.0pp $657 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,875
- Closing costs
- $3,225
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 855 Teson Rd Hazelwood, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1562 | $1,799 | $1.15 | 19d | 1 | 0.09mi |
| 750 Carriage Ln Hazelwood, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1701 | $2,026 | $1.19 | 13d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 623 Holiday Ave Hazelwood, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1176 | $1,591 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 537 Lynn Haven Ln Hazelwood, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1242 | $1,675 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 14 Rivermeadows Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1587 | $2,386 | $1.50 | 16d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 452 Chapel Ridge Dr Hazelwood, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $1,400 | $1.12 | 18d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 785 Florland Dr Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 19d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 16 Mary Rose Ct Hazelwood, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1506 | $1,706 | $1.13 | 16d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 17 Elwood Ct Florissant, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1572 | $1,945 | $1.24 | 3d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-05status $107,500 Pending 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $107,500 Active Under Contract 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $107,500 Active Under Contract 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $107,500 Active Under Contract 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $107,500 Active Under Contract 20 DOM
-
2026-05-15historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-05-11$107,500 Active
-
2000-05-31soldstatus $88,000
-
1999-05-07soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,392 · $199/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,392 · $199/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,112
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,022
- − Property taxes
- −$2,392
- − Insurance
- −$538
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,849
- − Management
- −$1,849
- − Depreciation
- −$3,127
- Taxable income
- $7,335
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,760
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,803/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hazelwood
- NCES district ID
- 2913830
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,621
- Composite
- 16.77/100
- National rank
- #9156
- State rank
- #306 of 324 in MO
Livability — Hazelwood
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #395
- US rank
- #16956
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hazelwood, MO
- County
- Saint Louis County · 888,823 people
- City population
- 17,813
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,813
- Household income
- $49,453
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 766.0
Population outlook (St. Louis County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,025,227 people
- By 2030
- 1,028,023 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 1,020,940 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 1,007,280 · -1.8%
- By 2075
- 987,277 · -3.7%
- By 2100
- 921,984 · -10.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Black 38% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Vietnamese 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Louis
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.4) · D 60.8% · R 37.4% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 19.9pp · 2024: 23.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.4 2020: D+24.0 2016: D+16.2 2012: D+13.7 2008: D+19.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -204.48%
- Current HPI
- 234.7353
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.45%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
|
||
| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
|
||
Price history
+22.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-11 Listed $107,500 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $88,000 Public Records
- 1999-05-07 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2022): $2,392 · +1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…