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515 N 7th St
D Composite 44.26
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.3/10.0

$15,000

515 N 7th St · Louisiana, MO 63353
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,400 sqft · Other · 509 Days on market
Built 1900 10,324 sqft lot $11/sqft · 85% below area ↓ 40% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Let your imagination run wild! This property could possibly be residential and commercial?? Consists of home with attached building that used to be a market! And also includes parcel #08-04-18-003-011-002.0000 with 1949 older 474 sq ft home that should not be entered! selling as is where is!!

Key facts

  • Parcel included
  • 0.24 acre lot
  • Built 1900

Tags

ATTACHED COMMERCIAL BUILDINGPARCEL INCLUDED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $15k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $869 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $15k).
  • Recommended offer: $13k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 75.8% vs local median 9.2% in Louisiana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#105 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Louisiana R-II (town): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #227 of 324 in MO (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 32 active listings in the ZIP; 38 units permitted in Pike County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $104 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $450 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pike County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 509 days — a 12% lower offer ($13k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (40%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $13,200 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 509 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
8.21%
Cap rate
75.79%
Cash-on-cash
248.19%
DSCR
12.04
GRM
1.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$99,572
List price
$15,000
Delta
-84.94%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
12 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.60×
Total profit
$52,915
Equity at exit
$2,237
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
28.95×
Total profit
$117,394
Equity at exit
$1,297

Cash invested: $4,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Missouri
81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Generally landlord-friendly; St Louis has some habitability requirements.

ZIP-level market 63353

Home prices YoY
-5.0%
Active inventory
32
Price-to-rent
1.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,231 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$79
Tax est. 1.5%
$19 /mo · $225/yr
Insurance
$6
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$258
Net cashflow
$869

Break-even live

Break-even rent $131
Max offer price $15,000
Occupancy floor 24%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $879 -5% $874 +0% $869 +5% $863 +10% $858
Rent -10% $771 -5% $820 +0% $869 +5% $917 +10% $966
Rate -1.0pp $876 -0.5pp $872 base $869 +0.5pp $865 +1.0pp $861

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$3,750
Closing costs
$450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 22 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $15,000 Active 509 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $15,000 Active 508 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $15,000 Active 506 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $15,000 Active 505 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $15,000 Active 504 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $15,000 Active 503 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $15,000 Active 501 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $15,000 Active 500 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $15,000 Active 497 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $15,000 Active 496 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $15,000 Active 495 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $15,000 Active 494 DOM
  13. 2026-06-04
    days on market $15,000 Active 491 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $15,000 Active 490 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $15,000 Active 489 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $15,000 Active 488 DOM
  17. 2025-09-25
    price $15,000 295-char remark
    Show marketing remark (295 chars)

    Let your imagination run wild! This property could possibly be residential and commercial?? Consists of home with attached building that used to be a market! And also includes parcel #08-04-18-003-011-002.0000 with 1949 older 474 sq ft home that should not be entered! selling as is where is!!

  18. 2025-06-06
    price $19,000 295-char remark
    Show marketing remark (295 chars)

    Let your imagination run wild! This property could possibly be residential and commercial?? Consists of home with attached building that used to be a market! And also includes parcel #08-04-18-003-011-002.0000 with 1949 older 474 sq ft home that should not be entered! selling as is where is!!

  19. 2025-02-27
    status Active 295-char remark
    Show marketing remark (295 chars)

    Let your imagination run wild! This property could possibly be residential and commercial?? Consists of home with attached building that used to be a market! And also includes parcel #08-04-18-003-011-002.0000 with 1949 older 474 sq ft home that should not be entered! selling as is where is!!

  20. 2024-11-22
    status Pending 295-char remark
    Show marketing remark (295 chars)

    Let your imagination run wild! This property could possibly be residential and commercial?? Consists of home with attached building that used to be a market! And also includes parcel #08-04-18-003-011-002.0000 with 1949 older 474 sq ft home that should not be entered! selling as is where is!!

  21. 2024-10-23
    listed $25,000 Active 295-char remark
    Show marketing remark (295 chars)

    Let your imagination run wild! This property could possibly be residential and commercial?? Consists of home with attached building that used to be a market! And also includes parcel #08-04-18-003-011-002.0000 with 1949 older 474 sq ft home that should not be entered! selling as is where is!!

  22. 1988-12-01
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,770
− Mortgage interest
−$840
− Property taxes
−$225
− Insurance
−$75
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,182
− Management
−$1,182
− Depreciation
−$436
Taxable income
$10,830
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,599
After-tax cash flow
$7,825/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Louisiana R-II
NCES district ID
2919260
Math proficiency
31% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$37,149
Composite
29.1/100
National rank
#6595
State rank
#227 of 324 in MO

Livability — Louisiana

Score
71/100
State rank
#105
US rank
#6899

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Louisiana, MO
Population (ZIP)
4,935

Population outlook (Pike County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,895 people
By 2030
17,591 · -1.7%
By 2040
17,080 · -4.6%
By 2050
16,589 · -7.3%
By 2075
14,761 · -17.5%
By 2100
11,606 · -35.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada, China
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Pike

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.9) · D 20.7% · R 78.6%
2008→2024 swing
-48.0pp toward R · 2008: -9.9pp · 2024: -57.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.9 2020: R+53.9 2016: R+47.0 2012: R+27.3 2008: R+9.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -9.40%
Current HPI
180.6084
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.84%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-40.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2025-09-25 Price Changed $15,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-06-06 Price Changed $19,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-02-27 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-11-22 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-10-23 Listed $25,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1988-12-01 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

-9.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $29 · -76.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…