🏷️ Likely Rental
2035 N US-31 N #2402 · Traverse City, MI
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Livability +4.5/5.0
- Schools +4.4/10.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$29,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Tamarack Lodge! Pine Cone room 2402, an end unit on the NW corner of the 4th floor of a 5 story building that has an elevator. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this 1/8th fractional ownership waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. See rotation C schedule for the 6 weeks that are included for the coming years (weeks change slightly each year). $177 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. Financing available (this is not a timeshare) through TBACU. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully stocked kitchen (appliances, pots, pans, silverware, etc).
Key facts
- $177 HOA
- Built 2006
- Listed 870 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $30k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $719 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $30k).
- Recommended offer: $26k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 35.1% vs local median 1.7% in Traverse City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 91/100 on livability (#4 in MI, #46 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Traverse City Area Public Schools (town): math 45% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #94 of 540 in MI (top 17%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 322 active listings in the ZIP; 883 units permitted in Grand Traverse County in 2024 (501 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $207 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $897 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Grand Traverse County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 871 days — a 12% lower offer ($26k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 871 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 4.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 35.14%
- Cash-on-cash
- 103.04%
- DSCR
- 5.58
- GRM
- 1.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $49,890
- List price
- $29,900
- Delta
- -40.07%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 5.42×
- Total profit
- $36,981
- Equity at exit
- $4,458
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 10.06×
- Total profit
- $75,882
- Equity at exit
- $2,585
Cash invested: $8,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 49686
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 322
- Price-to-rent
- 1.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,396 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$37 /mo · $448/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$177
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$293
- Net cashflow
- $719
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,475
- Closing costs
- $897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $177 · $2,124/yr
- Likely covers
- water
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $29,900 Active 871 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $29,900 Active 870 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $29,900 Active 869 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $29,900 Active 868 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $29,900 Active 867 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $29,900 Active 865 DOM
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2026-06-12days on market $29,900 Active 864 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $29,900 Active 861 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $29,900 Active 860 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $29,900 Active 859 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $29,900 Active 855 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $29,900 Active 854 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $29,900 Active 853 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $29,900 Active 852 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $29,900 Active 851 DOM
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2026-02-07price $29,900 709-char remark
Show marketing remark (709 chars)
Tamarack Lodge! Pine Cone room 2402, an end unit on the NW corner of the 4th floor of a 5 story building that has an elevator. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this 1/8th fractional ownership waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. See rotation C schedule for the 6 weeks that are included for the coming years (weeks change slightly each year). $177 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. Financing available (this is not a timeshare) through TBACU. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully stocked kitchen (appliances, pots, pans, silverware, etc).
-
2025-07-08price $38,900 709-char remark
Show marketing remark (709 chars)
Tamarack Lodge! Pine Cone room 2402, an end unit on the NW corner of the 4th floor of a 5 story building that has an elevator. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this 1/8th fractional ownership waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. See rotation C schedule for the 6 weeks that are included for the coming years (weeks change slightly each year). $177 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. Financing available (this is not a timeshare) through TBACU. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully stocked kitchen (appliances, pots, pans, silverware, etc).
-
2025-06-14price $43,900 709-char remark
Show marketing remark (709 chars)
Tamarack Lodge! Pine Cone room 2402, an end unit on the NW corner of the 4th floor of a 5 story building that has an elevator. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this 1/8th fractional ownership waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. See rotation C schedule for the 6 weeks that are included for the coming years (weeks change slightly each year). $177 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. Financing available (this is not a timeshare) through TBACU. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully stocked kitchen (appliances, pots, pans, silverware, etc).
-
2024-05-29price $49,900 709-char remark
Show marketing remark (709 chars)
Tamarack Lodge! Pine Cone room 2402, an end unit on the NW corner of the 4th floor of a 5 story building that has an elevator. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this 1/8th fractional ownership waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. See rotation C schedule for the 6 weeks that are included for the coming years (weeks change slightly each year). $177 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. Financing available (this is not a timeshare) through TBACU. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully stocked kitchen (appliances, pots, pans, silverware, etc).
-
2024-01-30$65,000 Active 709-char remark
Show marketing remark (709 chars)
Tamarack Lodge! Pine Cone room 2402, an end unit on the NW corner of the 4th floor of a 5 story building that has an elevator. Absolutely outstanding water views and the best sugar sand beach imaginable from this 1/8th fractional ownership waterfront condo in Traverse City on Lake Michigan's East Grand Traverse Bay. See rotation C schedule for the 6 weeks that are included for the coming years (weeks change slightly each year). $177 per month association dues cover pretty much everything except for room cleaning and property taxes. Financing available (this is not a timeshare) through TBACU. All furnishings and linens included, even the fully stocked kitchen (appliances, pots, pans, silverware, etc).
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,747
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,675
- − Property taxes
- −$448
- − Insurance
- −$150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,340
- − Management
- −$1,340
- − HOA
- −$2,124
- − Depreciation
- −$870
- Taxable income
- $8,801
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,112
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,514/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 2 photos
This waterfront condo is in excellent condition with no visible repairs needed. It offers outstanding water views and is move-in ready, making it an attractive option for both resale and rental.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Upgrade furnishings and linens — Fresh furnishings and linens can enhance the appeal and comfort of the property, making it more attractive for both resale and rental.
- Both Enhance water views — The property already has outstanding water views, which can be further enhanced with additional landscaping or water features to make the property stand out.
- Both Improve lighting — Adding better lighting can make the property more inviting and visually appealing, both during the day and at night.
- Both Upgrade kitchen appliances — Upgrading the kitchen appliances can make the property more appealing to potential buyers or renters who are looking for modern and functional kitchens.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Upgrade furnishings and linens — Fresh furnishings and linens can enhance the appeal and comfort of the property, making it more attractive for both resale and rental. ↑
- Both Enhance water views — The property already has outstanding water views, which can be further enhanced with additional landscaping or water features to make the property stand out. ↑
- Both Improve lighting — Adding better lighting can make the property more inviting and visually appealing, both during the day and at night. ↑
- Both Upgrade kitchen appliances — Upgrading the kitchen appliances can make the property more appealing to potential buyers or renters who are looking for modern and functional kitchens. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Traverse City Area Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2633870
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,645
- Composite
- 43.51/100
- National rank
- #2990
- State rank
- #94 of 540 in MI
Livability — Traverse City
- Score
- 91/100
- State rank
- #4
- US rank
- #46
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Grand Traverse County · 47,077 people
- City population
- 47,077
- Metro
- Traverse City, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,492
- Household income
- $71,609
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 676.0
Population outlook (Grand Traverse County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 102,241 people
- By 2030
- 107,172 · +4.8%
- By 2040
- 115,676 · +13.1%
- By 2050
- 122,377 · +19.7%
- By 2075
- 136,554 · +33.6%
- By 2100
- 137,871 · +34.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 11% Lithuanian 5% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Grand Traverse
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.3% · R 50.1% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.3pp toward D · 2008: -3.0pp · 2024: -1.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.7 2020: R+3.0 2016: R+12.5 2012: R+11.8 2008: R+3.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -276.28%
- Current HPI
- 352.4866
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.49%
- Metro
- Traverse City, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-54.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-07 Price Changed $29,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-07-08 Price Changed $38,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-06-14 Price Changed $43,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-05-29 Price Changed $49,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-01-30 Listed $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…