2204 N 5th Ave · Evansville, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$44,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
2 Bedroom, 1 Bathroom close to Cedar Hall
Key facts
- 3,325 sq ft lot
- Built 1947
- Listed 77 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family site-built home; One-story
- Construction: Aluminum and vinyl siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Level lot; Lot dimensions approximately 25 x 133
Interior
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; No central cooling
- Interior features: Crawl space basement; Total of 4 rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $378 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($842 rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $42k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.4% vs local median 4.6% in Evansville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#416 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, commute F, employment D-.
- Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation (urban): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 301 in IN (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Cedar Hall Community School (math 13% / reading 19%, grade F, #854 of 994 statewide, top 86%, 509 students, 93% FRL); Washington Middle School (math 14% / reading 24%, grade F, #274 of 330 statewide, top 83%, 353 students, 70% FRL); Central High School (math 38% / reading 74%, grade C, #73 of 369 statewide, top 20%, 1,090 students, 52% FRL) — zoned schools average 72% FRL vs 50% district-wide (22 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 88 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 508 units permitted in Vanderburgh County in 2024 (32 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $310 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 77 days — a 6% lower offer ($42k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 77 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.88% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.04%
- DSCR
- 2.60
- GRM
- 4.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $74,340
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1404 Cody St | 0.10mi | 2/1.0 | 658 (+4%) | 1mo | $20,000 | $30 | 87 |
| 1423 Allens Ln | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 690 (+10%) | 0mo | $119,500 | $173 | 54 |
| 1527 W Dresden St | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+14%) | 8mo | $24,000 | $33 | 51 |
| 827 Allens Ln | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 704 (+12%) | 3mo | $83,000 | $118 | 46 |
| 829 Allens Ln | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 | 704 (+12%) | 4mo | $99,500 | $141 | 46 |
| 1511 Dresden St | 0.38mi | 2/1.0 | 696 (+10%) | 23mo | $40,000 | $57 | 46 |
| 2705 Edgar St | 0.65mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (+14%) | 11mo | $112,900 | $157 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 31.8%
- Equity multiple
- 2.33×
- Total profit
- $16,775
- Equity at exit
- $6,695
- IRR
- 38.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.62×
- Total profit
- $45,573
- Equity at exit
- $3,882
Cash invested: $12,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47710
- Home prices YoY
- -29.7%
- Active inventory
- 88
- Price-to-rent
- 4.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $842 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$235
- Tax from tax record
- −$34 /mo · $404/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$177
- Net cashflow
- $378
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $403 | -5% $390 | +0% $378 | +5% $365 | +10% $352 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $311 | -5% $344 | +0% $378 | +5% $411 | +10% $444 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $400 | -0.5pp $389 | base $378 | +0.5pp $366 | +1.0pp $354 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,225
- Closing costs
- $1,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1151 Diamond Pl Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $780 | $1.11 | 22d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 702 Fairway Dr Evansville, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $640 | $0.80 | 22d | 2 | 0.90mi |
| 1210 Vista Ct Unit 3951 Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 567 | $795 | $1.40 | 22d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1210 Vista Ct Unit 3901 Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 567 | $750 | $1.32 | 22d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3321 N 12th Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,250 | $1.74 | 14d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 2025 W Columbia St Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 465 | $625 | $1.34 | 14d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 109 E Eichel Ave Unit A Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 675 | $745 | $1.10 | 22d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 3900 N Fulton Ave Evansville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 620 | $1,015 | $1.64 | 14d | 6 | 1.25mi |
| 406 Edgar St Unit 1 Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 530 | $1,500 | $2.83 | 22d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 605 W Michigan St Unit 1 Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 484 | $795 | $1.64 | 22d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 500 Richardt Ave Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $700 | $1.27 | 22d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1125 Wellington Dr Evansville, IN | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 975 | $1,340 | $1.37 | 14d | 15 | 1.43mi |
| 613 Hess Ave Unit 1 Evansville, IN | 1.0 | 1.0 | 500 | $600 | $1.20 | 22d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-03-24price $44,900
-
2026-03-09$53,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $404 · $34/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $404 · $34/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,108
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,515
- − Property taxes
- −$404
- − Insurance
- −$224
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$809
- − Management
- −$809
- − Depreciation
- −$1,306
- Taxable income
- $4,041
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$970
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,562/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Evansville Vanderburgh School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803450
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,270
- Composite
- 33.41/100
- National rank
- #5471
- State rank
- #153 of 301 in IN
Livability — Evansville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #416
- US rank
- #15047
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Evansville, IN
- County
- Vanderburgh County · 146,793 people
- City population
- 146,793
- Metro
- Evansville, IN-KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,309
- Household income
- $47,292
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 722.0
Population outlook (Vanderburgh County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 187,038 people
- By 2030
- 188,907 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 190,272 · +1.7%
- By 2050
- 188,871 · +1.0%
- By 2075
- 180,751 · -3.4%
- By 2100
- 163,015 · -12.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (83%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 83% Two or more races 7% Black 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Scotch-Irish 2% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Vanderburgh
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.7) · D 43.0% · R 55.6% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -15.1pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -12.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.7 2020: R+9.6 2016: R+16.9 2012: R+10.8 2008: D+2.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -91.84%
- Current HPI
- 217.586
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Evansville, IN-KY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-15.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $44,900 IRMLS
- 2026-03-09 Listed $53,000 IRMLS
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2024): $404 · +137.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…