🏷️ Likely Rental
2255 Pratt Dr · Mobile, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +8.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Rent growth +4.6/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$110,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Attention Buyers! This character-filled mid-century home already has many updates. With some TLC, it will be ready for a tenant or a new owner.Don't miss this opportunity for a quick turnaround. Situated on a corner lot in a quiet, established neighborhood near Dog River, this property offers a peaceful,nature-connected setting. The kitchen, bathroom, and flooring have already been updated. You'll love the spacious layout, abundant natural light, and clean mid-century lines. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
Key facts
- Kitchen updated
- Flooring updated
- Bathroom updated
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $252 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $107k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 4.9% in Mobile — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#20 in AL, #4,262 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment D-.
- Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.3%/yr); 139 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($44k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $94k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1962 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.04%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.82%
- DSCR
- 1.44
- GRM
- 7.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $138,881
- List price
- $110,000
- Delta
- -20.80%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2255 Pratt Dr | 0.00mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,334 (0%) | 1mo | $95,000 | $71 | 94 |
| 2130 Barron Pl | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,326 (-1%) | 4mo | $136,000 | $103 | 73 |
| 2108 Old Military Rd | 0.30mi | 2/1.5 | 1,331 (-0%) | 22mo | $292,000 | $219 | 65 |
| 2331 S Dog River Dr | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,366 (+2%) | 8mo | $167,000 | $122 | 60 |
| 2329 Dog River Dr S | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 | 1,410 (+6%) | 11mo | $160,000 | $113 | 57 |
| 2224 Dauphin Island Pkwy | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,365 (+2%) | 21mo | $160,000 | $117 | 52 |
| 2109 Pratt Dr | 0.17mi | 2/1.5 | 1,520 (+14%) | 23mo | $147,000 | $97 | 48 |
| 2312 Dauphin Island Pkwy | 0.43mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,525 (+14%) | 16mo | $95,000 | $62 | 37 |
| 2126 Barron Pl | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,534 (+15%) | 20mo | $175,900 | $115 | 36 |
| 2305 Cassie Ln | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,205 (-10%) | 20mo | $105,000 | $87 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.14×
- Total profit
- $4,376
- Equity at exit
- $16,401
- IRR
- 17.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.70×
- Total profit
- $52,481
- Equity at exit
- $9,511
Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36605
- Rents YoY
- 8.3%
- Active inventory
- 139
- Price-to-rent
- 7.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,170 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$577
- Tax from tax record
- −$50 /mo · $597/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$246
- Net cashflow
- $252
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,500
- Closing costs
- $3,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2115 Barron Pl Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 44d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 1815 Ogburn Ave Unit B Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $900 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2359 Vermillion Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1064 | $895 | $0.84 | 21d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1601 Neshota Dr Apt 86 Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $900 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1601 Neshota Dr Mobile, AL | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 815 | $735 | $0.90 | 13d | 7 | 1.18mi |
| 2055 Steiner St Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1797 | $895 | $0.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 2366 White St Unit B Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $845 | $0.94 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 3210 Ward Rd Unit 1043617P Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1593 | $2,395 | $1.50 | 13d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 3311 Alba Club Rd Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,200 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-13$120,000 Active 534-char remark
Show marketing remark (535 chars)
Attention Buyers! This character-filled mid-century home already has many updates. With some TLC, it will be ready for a tenant or a new owner. Don't miss this opportunity for a quick turnaround. Situated on a corner lot in a quiet, established neighborhood near Dog River, this property offers a peaceful, nature-connected setting. The kitchen, bathroom, and flooring have already been updated. You'll love the spacious layout, abundant natural light, and clean mid-century lines. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2026-04-13$120,000 Active 535-char remark
Show marketing remark (535 chars)
Attention Buyers! This character-filled mid-century home already has many updates. With some TLC, it will be ready for a tenant or a new owner. Don't miss this opportunity for a quick turnaround. Situated on a corner lot in a quiet, established neighborhood near Dog River, this property offers a peaceful, nature-connected setting. The kitchen, bathroom, and flooring have already been updated. You'll love the spacious layout, abundant natural light, and clean mid-century lines. Buyer to verify all information during due diligence.
-
2019-06-12soldstatus $93,805
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $597 · $50/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $597 · $50/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,043
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,162
- − Property taxes
- −$597
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,123
- − Management
- −$1,123
- − Depreciation
- −$3,200
- Taxable income
- $1,287
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$309
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,716/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mobile County
- NCES district ID
- 0102370
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,455
- Composite
- 22.9/100
- National rank
- #8002
- State rank
- #81 of 129 in AL
Livability — Mobile
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #4262
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mobile, AL
- County
- Mobile County · 246,577 people
- City population
- 205,729
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,104
- Household income
- $43,538
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1521.0
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 67% White 27% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -96.46%
- Current HPI
- 125.9526
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 8.26%
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+27.9% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-13 Listed $120,000 GCMLS AL
- 2026-04-13 Listed $120,000 BCAR
- 2019-06-12 Sold (Public Records) $93,805 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $597 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…